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Update

Re-runs extraction for each period with period-end year from max(2023, current year − 2) through the current year, oldest first (up to three reporting years). This can take a long time.

Sector: Conglomerate

RU_AFKS

Price chart

13.28 RUBDay 0.21%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
13.28 RUB · 0.21%
Market cap
1.8 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
8.3%
Δ EBITDA y/y
-3.2%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
—
P/B (FY)
—
P/E (ann.)
<0
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
—
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
280.7x

Cash return

Dividend yield
—
FCF yield (LTM)
—

Liquidity

Daily turnover (MOEX)
202.7 mln RUB

Shares: connector/market_inputs

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

🔍 Sanity check — subtotal consistency (Level-1 + Level-2) OK: 5 / Warn: 0 / Err: 8 / Autofix applied: 0
Port of PHP subtotal-total + sign-flip detection logic
PeriodIssues
2023-03-31 Q1✗Errors 1Warn 2
2023-06-30 Q2✗Errors 1Warn 2
2023-09-30 Q3✓OK
2023-12-31 FY✓OK
2023-12-31 Q4✓OK
2024-06-30 H1✗Errors 3Warn 1
2024-09-30 Q3✓OK
2024-12-31 FY✗Errors 1Warn 2
2024-12-31 Q4✗Errors 1Warn 1
2025-06-30 H1✗Errors 1Warn 3
2025-12-31 FY✗Errors 2Warn 3
2025-12-31 H2✗Errors 1Warn 2
2026-03-31 Q1✓OK
✓ All checks pass · ⚠ Has warnings (review) · ✗ Has errors (needs fix) · ✓* Autofix applied (see evidence)

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)PARTIAL4.3
y/y —
—
y/y —
—
y/y —
1.6
y/y —
—
y/y —
———
y/y —
—
y/y —
—1752.4Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK10.0
y/y 9.2%
0.6
y/y -52.0%
1.2
y/y 9.2%
1.8
y/y -22.4%
-2.1
y/y -850.9%
1.1-84.240.4
y/y 4.2%
-1.7
y/y -230.5%
366.5%1423.5Report (PDF)
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK8.7
y/y 7.3%
1.3
y/y 14.3%
1.2
y/y 19.8%
2.5
y/y 16.8%
-1.1
y/y -2106.1%
0.6-84.240.6
y/y 14.9%
-0.1
y/y -108.2%
-396.2%1330.2Report (PDF)
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK9.2
y/y 160.5%
1.2
y/y 689.4%
1.1
y/y 106.4%
2.3
y/y 233.9%
-0.2
y/y 52.5%
0.5-111.038.7
y/y 17.1%
1.3
y/y -38.8%
—1281.2Report (PDF)
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)PARTIAL4.8
y/y 13.3%
0.6
y/y 58.4%
0.5
y/y 0.8%
1.1
y/y 24.5%
-0.1
y/y —
0.1-50.9—
y/y —
—
y/y —
—1614.3Report (PDF)
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK8.1
y/y —
1.2
y/y —
1.0
y/y —
2.2
y/y —
0.1
y/y —
-0.5-83.235.3
y/y —
1.4
y/y —
6.6%1193.8Report (PDF)
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK3.5
y/y —
0.1
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
0.7
y/y —
-0.5
y/y —
0.6-59.833.1
y/y —
2.1
y/y —
—1137.6Report (PDF)
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)PARTIAL4.3
y/y —
0.4
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
0.9
y/y —
-0.1
y/y —
0.3-49.6—
y/y —
—
y/y —
—1385.8Report (PDF)
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK3.4
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
1.0
y/y —
0.2
y/y —
0.1-39.430.4
y/y —
2.7
y/y —
—1097.2Report (PDF)
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)PARTIAL3.5
y/y —
0.6
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
1.1
y/y —
0.2
y/y —
0.1-39.4—
y/y —
—
y/y —
—1276.7Report (PDF)
Data quality — review suggested

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

-5 00005 00010 0002023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 H12024 q32024 q42025 H12025 H22026 q1

Year-over-year change

-400%-200%0%200%2023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 H12024 q32024 q42025 H12025 H22026 q1

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-4 000-2 00002 0002023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 H12024 q32024 q42025 H12025 H22026 q1

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

0500 0001 000 0001 500 0002 000 0002023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 q22024 q32024 q42025 H12025 FY2026 q1

Sum-of-the-parts valuation

AFKS upside (to typical discount): +20%

Valued sum-of-the-parts: listed stakes at market + unlisted assets net of holdco debt = NAV. AFKS always trades at a discount to NAV; upside = reverting from today's discount to the typical (3-yr median) one. The NAV discount is computed daily by eninvs.com (history since 2020, n=1081 over 3y).

1 · Stakes in listed subsidiaries (share × market cap)
Segezha (SGZH) · 72.0% × 6849 bn RUB
MTS (MTSS) · 50.3% × 427215 bn RUB
Ozon (OZON) · 32.4% × 833270 bn RUB
Etalon (ETLN) · 50.1% × 2110 bn RUB
Element (ELMT) · 42.9% × 4821 bn RUB
Σ listed stakes565 bn RUB
2 · Unlisted assets − holdco net debt
Other, net (Medsi/Steppe/Binnopharm/Cosmos − debt)-393 bn RUB
= Net asset value (NAV)171 bn RUB
3 · Discount to NAV → upside
AFK Sistema market cap127 bn RUB
Current discount to NAV-26%
Typical discount (3-yr median)-11%

Upside = (1 + typical discount) ÷ (1 + current discount) − 1 = +20%

Dividend potential

Dividends suspended (~1.9 yr without a payout)

The company has not paid a dividend for over 18 months — profit is going to capex or deleveraging (e.g. Nornickel, NLMK, RusHydro, FSK). The forecast payout is zeroed until distributions resume; profit and cash flow may still be healthy.

1 · Forecast dividend (per policy)
Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY)-232 bn RUB
Payout ratio10%
Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) — caps payout-49 bn RUB
Recent actual dividend (3-yr median)0.52 ₽
= Forecast dividend per share0.00 ₽
2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate)
CBR key rate14.5%
Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median)-14.5 pp
= Fair dividend yield7.0%
3 · Valuation → upside
Current price13.27 ₽
Forecast dividend yield—
Fair price (dividend-based)0 ₽

Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.

Fundamental value creation

Value the company creates per year, as a % of market cap

Value created per year: ≤-300.0%

How this was calculated
1. EBITDA growth (latest quarter YoY, annualised)
[EBITDA latest qtr − EBITDA year-ago qtr] × annualisation X (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31)
= (1 755 − 2 262) × 2.45
-1 243
2. Current EV/EBITDA (LTM)
(Market cap + Net debt) ÷ EBITDA (LTM)
= (1 797 + 1 752 374) ÷ 4 294
30.0x — capped at 30x
3. Target multiple
(Current EV/EBITDA + 6.5) ÷ 2
= (30.0 + 6.5) ÷ 2
18.2x
4. Cash flow (balance method, LTM)
Net-debt reduction + dividends + buybacks − equity issuance
= -142 389 + 0 + 0 − 0
-142 389
5. Value created per year
(EBITDA growth × Target multiple + Cash flow − Dilution) ÷ Market cap
= (-1 243 × 18.2 + -142 389) ÷ 1 797
≤-300.0%

Amounts in millions of the reporting currency. EBITDA growth is the latest quarter vs the same quarter a year ago, annualised.

Caveats:

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer.

Investor reporting (IR): https://www.e-disclosure.ru/portal/files.aspx?id=4772

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)