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Sandfire Resources USD

Update

Sector: Copper mining

AU_SFR

Price chart

18.83 AUDDay -2.33%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
18.83 AUD · -2.33%
Market cap
5.7 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
28.6%
Δ EBITDA y/y
57.0%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
60.8x
P/B (FY)
3.2x
P/E (ann.)
29.2x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
10.2x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
9.5x

Cash return

Dividend yield
—
FCF yield (LTM)
7.0%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the current EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-5.7%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
21 mln AUD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/SFR.AX

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM USDOperating profitM USDD&AM USDEBITDAM USDNet profitM USDOperating CFM USDCapex + M&AM USDAssetsM USDEquityM USDROE (annualized)Net debtM USDSource
2025-12-31H1 2025 (6M)OK-513.9
y/y —
-84.5
y/y —
-171.0
y/y —
-255.6
y/y —
3.8
y/y —
-257.076.02894.4
y/y —
1893.0
y/y —
10.6%-17.9—
2025-06-30FY 2025 (12M)OK1185.4
y/y 28.6%
236.8
y/y 392.7%
315.1
y/y 3.8%
551.9
y/y 57.0%
93.3
y/y —
523.7-186.52868.5
y/y -4.3%
1787.0
y/y 6.9%
5.4%117.8—
2024-06-30FY 2024 (12M)OK921.6
y/y 17.8%
48.1
y/y —
303.6
y/y 12.4%
351.6
y/y 44.5%
-17.3
y/y —
344.9-221.92996.8
y/y -2.5%
1671.4
y/y -3.7%
-1.0%377.0—
2023-06-30FY 2023 (12M)OK782.4
y/y —
-26.6
y/y —
270.0
y/y —
243.4
y/y —
-51.6
y/y —
116.6-327.03074.4
y/y —
1736.3
y/y —
—428.3—
Data quality No obvious scale, balance-sheet, or cash-flow sanity issues in the displayed periods.

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

02505007501 0001 2502023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

0%20%40%60%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-20002004002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

-10001002003004002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Key-commodity price — Copper

Current 13 752spot vs LTM +11%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -5.7%

Main driver: Copper +12% vs LTM; revenue ×1.11 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 593→559; at 9.5× EV/EBITDA → -6%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Copper (rev)+90%13 752.1212 244.6610 658.98+12%-13%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue1 343
LTM EBITDA593
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)750
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.111 (+11%)
= Spot revenue1 492
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×0.883 (-12%)
= 3-year-price revenue1 186
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs780
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs780
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA711
= 3-year-price EBITDA406
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)559
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)9.5x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA5 331
Net debt-18
Target market cap = EV − net debt5 349
Current market cap5 672

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -5.7%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 FY782898-12.9%267317-15.8%
2024 FY922823+12.0%358286+25.1%
2025 FY1 1851 028+15.3%540442+22.0%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +29% vs +18% the year before — a +10.8 pp move. 3-year CAGR +5%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -24% · 2024 +18% · 2025 +29%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 7.6x · target 75th pct (3y) 21.4x · LTM avg 8.8x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2022-03-140.0297 AUDEx-dividend: 0.0297 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-09-060.2403 AUDEx-dividend: 0.2403 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)