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BHP Group USD

Update

Sector: Diversified mining

Geography: Australia, Chile, Canada

COMM_BHP

Price chart

92.51 USDDay 0.41%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
92.51 USD · 0.41%
Market cap
235.1 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
-7.9%
Δ EBITDA y/y
9.5%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
21.1x
P/B (FY)
4.9x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
9.9x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
4.1x

Cash return

Dividend yield
1.6%
FCF yield (LTM)
8.0%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the current EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-15.9%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
189.5 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/BHP

🔍 Sanity check — subtotal consistency (Level-1 + Level-2) OK: 1 / Warn: 3 / Err: 0 / Autofix applied: 0
Port of PHP subtotal-total + sign-flip detection logic
PeriodIssues
2023-03-31 Q1✓OK
2023-12-31 FY⚠Warn 1
2024-12-31 FY⚠Warn 1
2025-12-31 FY⚠Warn 1
✓ All checks pass · ⚠ Has warnings (review) · ✗ Has errors (needs fix) · ✓* Autofix applied (see evidence)

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2025-12-31FY 2025 (12M)PARTIAL51.3
y/y -7.9%
19.5
y/y 11.0%
5.5
y/y 4.6%
25.0
y/y 9.5%
11.1
y/y 16.1%
18.7—108.8
y/y 6.3%
47.7
y/y 6.4%
24.1%12.6—
2024-12-31FY 2024 (12M)PARTIAL55.7
y/y 3.4%
17.5
y/y -23.5%
5.3
y/y 4.6%
22.8
y/y -18.4%
9.6
y/y -33.0%
20.7—102.4
y/y 1.1%
44.8
y/y 0.7%
21.5%8.2—
2023-12-31FY 2023 (12M)PARTIAL53.8
y/y —
22.9
y/y —
5.1
y/y —
28.0
y/y —
14.3
y/y —
18.7—101.3
y/y —
44.5
y/y —
—9.9—
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK28.1
y/y —
—
y/y —
—
y/y —
15.0
y/y —
—
y/y —
———
y/y —
—
y/y —
—14.0—
Data quality — review suggested

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

Iron ore

Annual production
260.50 million tonnes
2024

Production, million tonnes

253.502021253.2020222572023260.502024

Production

YearProduction, million tonnes
2024260.50
+1.4%
2023257
+1.5%
2022253.20
−0.1%
2021253.50

BHP WAIO iron ore production (BHP share, FY end-June) (curated from company production reports).

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

020 00040 00060 0002023 q12024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

-10%-5%0%5%10%2023 q12024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

05 00010 00015 0002023 q12023 q42024 FY2025 FY

Key-commodity price — Iron Ore

Current 101spot vs LTM -0%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -15.9%

Main driver: Iron Ore -0% vs LTM; revenue ×1.13 vs costs ×1.15; EBITDA 25 004→26 807; at 5.2× EV/EBITDA → -16%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $vs LTM, AUD3y vs LTM
Iron Ore (rev)+40%101.28101.77110.98-0%-9%+9%
Copper (rev)+25%14 486.4611 460.7610 557.65+26%+16%-8%
Coking coal (Australia) (rev)+21%243.75202.20239.71+21%+11%+19%
Brent (rev)+14%78.9969.0980.30+14%+5%+16%
US Diesel Index (EIA) (cost)-10%5.063.754.07+35%+24%+8%
Electricity Spot (cost)-5%57.8058.5652.39-1%-9%-11%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue51 262
LTM EBITDA25 004
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)26 258
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.128 (+13%)
= Spot revenue57 800
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.078 (+8%)
= 3-year-price revenue55 257
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.147 (+15%)
= Spot cash costs30 128
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.116 (+12%)
= 3-year-price cash costs29 315
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA27 672
= 3-year-price EBITDA25 942
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)26 807
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct)5.2x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA139 931
Net debt13 951
Target market cap = EV − net debt197 225
Current market cap234 420

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -15.9%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2021 FY56 92159 955-5.1%30 59935 774-14.5%
2022 FY65 09861 295+6.2%39 78933 332+19.4%
2023 FY53 81761 297-12.2%27 99336 788-23.9%
2024 FY55 65851 153+8.8%22 83225 319-9.8%
2025 FY51 26252 535-2.4%25 00418 889+32.4%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth -8% vs +3% the year before — a -11.3 pp move. 3-year CAGR -8%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -17% · 2024 +3% · 2025 -8%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 10.0x · target 75th pct (3y) 5.2x · LTM avg 2.5x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-03-061.46 USDEx-dividend: 1.46 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-03-071 USDEx-dividend: 1 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-09-131.48 USDEx-dividend: 1.48 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-03-071.44 USDEx-dividend: 1.44 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-09-071.6 USDEx-dividend: 1.6 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-03-091.8 USDEx-dividend: 1.8 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-09-013.5 USDEx-dividend: 3.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-02-242.6762 USDEx-dividend: 2.6762 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-09-023.5682 USDEx-dividend: 3.5682 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)