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The Mosaic Company USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
✓Revenue growing (+8%)✓Profit growing (+209%)✗Pricier than own history (EV/EBITDA 10.4 vs avg 6.8)

Sector: Fertilizers

Geography: USA, Canada, Brazil, Peru

COMM_MOS

Price chart

23.1 USDDay -1.58%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
23.1 USD · -1.58%
Market cap
7.3 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
-6.0%
Δ EBITDA y/y
-19.5%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
13.6x
3y avg: 22.8x
P/B (FY)
0.6x
P/E (ann.)
<0
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
10.4x
3y avg: 6.8x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
7.2x

Cash return

Dividend yield
3.8%
FCF yield (LTM)
1.5%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)
-87.2%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
114 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/MOS

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2026-06-30Q2 2026 (3M)OK2.8
y/y -6.0%
0.0
y/y -114.5%
0.4
y/y 69.3%
0.4
y/y -19.5%
-0.3
y/y -166.4%
0.2-0.324.6
y/y 1.4%
11.5
y/y -7.8%
-9.4%4.5Link
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK3.0
y/y 14.4%
-0.4
y/y -210.2%
0.3
y/y 30.3%
-0.1
y/y -109.7%
-0.3
y/y -208.2%
0.1-0.424.6
y/y 6.1%
11.8
y/y 0.3%
-8.6%5.4Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK3.0
y/y 5.6%
-0.1
y/y -201.3%
0.3
y/y -4.9%
0.2
y/y -56.3%
-0.5
y/y -407.4%
-0.1-0.324.5
y/y 6.8%
12.1
y/y 5.2%
4.3%5.0Link
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK3.5
y/y 22.8%
0.3
y/y 194.5%
0.3
y/y 16.4%
0.6
y/y 74.6%
0.4
y/y 236.7%
0.2-0.424.7
y/y 5.9%
12.8
y/y 8.2%
4.4%4.6Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK3.0
y/y 6.7%
0.2
y/y 4.8%
0.3
y/y -1.0%
0.5
y/y 1.7%
0.4
y/y —
0.6-0.324.3
y/y 7.7%
12.4
y/y 6.5%
13.6%4.3Link
2025-03-31Q1 2025 (3M)OK2.6
y/y -2.2%
0.3
y/y 95.8%
0.2
y/y 0.8%
0.6
y/y 40.5%
0.2
y/y 426.8%
0.0-0.323.2
y/y 1.3%
11.8
y/y -2.1%
8.2%4.5Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK2.8
y/y -10.6%
0.1
y/y -64.1%
0.3
y/y 9.5%
0.4
y/y -28.8%
0.2
y/y -53.7%
0.2-0.322.9
y/y -0.5%
11.5
y/y -6.6%
1.5%4.1Link
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK2.8
y/y -20.8%
0.1
y/y -20.9%
0.2
y/y -0.3%
0.4
y/y -8.1%
0.1
y/y —
0.3-0.223.3
y/y 2.8%
11.8
y/y -2.0%
1.4%3.9Link
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK2.8
y/y -17.0%
0.2
y/y -36.8%
0.3
y/y 8.3%
0.5
y/y -18.9%
-0.2
y/y -143.8%
0.8-0.322.6
y/y -2.5%
11.7
y/y -5.8%
-5.5%4.0Link
2024-03-31Q1 2024 (3M)OK2.7
y/y -25.7%
0.2
y/y -68.3%
0.2
y/y 9.6%
0.4
y/y -45.9%
0.0
y/y -89.6%
-0.1-0.422.9
y/y 0.1%
12.0
y/y 1.1%
1.5%4.3Link
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK3.1
y/y —
0.3
y/y —
0.3
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
0.4
y/y —
0.5-0.423.0
y/y —
12.3
y/y —
9.6%3.5Link
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK3.5
y/y —
0.1
y/y —
0.2
y/y —
0.4
y/y —
0.0
y/y —
0.6-0.422.7
y/y —
12.1
y/y —
-0.0%2.3Link
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK3.4
y/y —
0.4
y/y —
0.2
y/y —
0.6
y/y —
0.4
y/y —
1.1-0.323.1
y/y —
12.4
y/y —
12.1%2.2Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK3.6
y/y —
0.5
y/y —
0.2
y/y —
0.8
y/y —
0.4
y/y —
0.1-0.322.9
y/y —
11.9
y/y —
—3.0Link

Net debt structure (leases included, IFRS 16) 2026-06-30

Long-term debt (incl. LT leases)4 768
− Cash & equivalents294
Net debt4 474

Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 3.9x

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

-1 00001 0002 0003 0002024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Year-over-year change

-150%-100%-50%0%50%2024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-50005001 0002024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

02 0004 0006 0002024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Profit and cash

Worth a look
In a typical year of 2023–2025 operating cash flow came to 2.07x of reported net profit; after capex, 0.27x.
year202320242025
cash flow / profit2.07x7.43x1.52x
accruals, % of assets-5.4%-4.9%-1.2%
net debt / EBITDA 2.6x · EBIT covers interest 3.4x · capex 1.3x of depreciation · dividends 174% of free cash flow · share count -2.2% a year
● Dividends were 174% of the free cash flow earned over the window.
Read from the reported annual statements: cash flow / profit is the median of the yearly operating cash flow over net profit for the years shown; accruals are (profit − operating cash flow) / assets, the classic gap between what was booked and what was collected. A gap can be growth in working capital, capitalised costs, revaluations or profit from associates — the panel points at it, the statements explain it. Not investment advice.

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

Agricultural Inputs

Proved reserves
1 446 mln tonns of phosphates eq.
2024
Reserve life (R/P)
124.1 yrs
reserves ÷ annual output
Annual production
11.65 mln tonns of phosphates eq.
2024

Production, mln tonns of phosphates eq.

17.19202014.26202115.51202213.57202311.652024

Proved reserves

YearReserves, mln tonns of phosphates eq.
20241 446
20231 808
20222 068
20211 801

Production

YearProduction, mln tonns of phosphates eq.per day, mln tonns of phosphates eq.
202411.65
−14.2%		0.03
202313.57
−12.5%		0.04
202215.51
+8.7%		0.04
202114.26
−17.1%		0.04
202017.190.05

EI1 ___NASDAQ_press_comm (NASDAQ / SEC filings)

Key-commodity price — North America Fertilizer Index (Green Markets)

Current 777spot vs LTM +2%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -87.2% ▼ -2.1 pp 1d

Main driver: North America Fertilizer Index (Green Markets) +3% vs LTM; revenue ×1.06 vs costs ×1.11; EBITDA 1 134→536; at 10.2× EV/EBITDA → -87%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
North America Fertilizer Index (Green Markets) (rev)+40%777.27758.08654.38+3%-14%
DAP FOB NOLA (rev)+39%794.00716.81653.09+11%-9%
Potash (US Gulf Nola) (cost)-29%774.42756.10669.91+2%-11%
Potash (US Gulf Nola) (rev)+21%774.42756.10669.91+2%-11%
DAP FOB NOLA (cost)-19%794.00716.81653.09+11%-9%
Ammonia (Black Sea) (cost)-16%339.90338.24397.23+0%+17%
Phosphoric Acid (cost)-14%168.42153.94143.87+9%-7%
Henry Hub Gas (cost)-7%2.753.383.11-19%-8%
China Sulfur (cost)-7%9 435.674 402.853 062.62+114%-30%
Electricity Spot (cost)-1%57.8062.1952.40-7%-16%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue12 248
LTM EBITDA1 134
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)11 113
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.058 (+6%)
= Spot revenue12 961
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×0.887 (-11%)
= 3-year-price revenue10 870
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.105 (+11%)
= Spot cash costs12 282
Cost multiplier — 3y price×0.943 (-6%)
= 3-year-price cash costs10 478
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA679
= 3-year-price EBITDA392
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)536
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct)10.2x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA5 479
Net debt4 540
Target market cap = EV − net debt939
Current market cap7 332

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -87.2%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2024 Q12 6793 523-23.9%414882-53.1%
2024 Q22 8173 050-7.6%498457+9.0%
2024 Q32 8112 958-5.0%353450-21.5%
2024 Q42 8162 846-1.0%382408-6.5%
2025 Q12 6213 080-14.9%582486+19.6%
2025 Q23 0063 337-9.9%506689-26.5%
2025 Q33 4523 575-3.4%617837-26.3%
2025 Q42 9743 231-8.0%167455-63.3%
2026 Q12 9983 169-5.4%-56463-112.1%
2026 Q22 8243 563-20.7%407364+11.8%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +8% vs -19% the year before — a +27.1 pp move. 3-year CAGR —.
revenue growth by year: 2024 -19% · 2025 +8%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 11.0x · target 75th pct (3y) 10.2x · LTM avg 9.4x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-05-210.22 USDEx-dividend: 0.22 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-03-090.22 USDEx-dividend: 0.22 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-12-040.22 USDEx-dividend: 0.22 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-09-080.22 USDEx-dividend: 0.22 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-06-050.22 USDEx-dividend: 0.22 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-03-060.22 USDEx-dividend: 0.22 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-12-050.21 USDEx-dividend: 0.21 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-09-050.21 USDEx-dividend: 0.21 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-06-060.21 USDEx-dividend: 0.21 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-03-060.21 USDEx-dividend: 0.21 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-12-060.2 USDEx-dividend: 0.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-09-060.2 USDEx-dividend: 0.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-05-310.2 USDEx-dividend: 0.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-03-140.25 USDEx-dividend: 0.25 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-03-010.2 USDEx-dividend: 0.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-11-300.15 USDEx-dividend: 0.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-310.15 USDEx-dividend: 0.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-06-010.15 USDEx-dividend: 0.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-03-020.113 USDEx-dividend: 0.113 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-12-010.075 USDEx-dividend: 0.075 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-09-010.075 USDEx-dividend: 0.075 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of The Mosaic Company — from primary filings.

The Mosaic Company produces and sells concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, as well as phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, through its mining, processing, and production operations.

Frequently asked questions

What is The Mosaic Company's P/E ratio?
The Mosaic Company trades at a P/E of 13.6x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is The Mosaic Company's EV/EBITDA?
The Mosaic Company trades at 10.4x EV/EBITDA.
What is The Mosaic Company's P/B ratio?
The Mosaic Company trades at a P/B of 0.6x.
What is The Mosaic Company's dividend yield?
The Mosaic Company's trailing 12-month dividend yield is 3.8%.
What is The Mosaic Company's return on equity (ROE)?
The Mosaic Company's ROE is -9.4%.
What is The Mosaic Company's market capitalization?
The Mosaic Company's market cap is 7.3 bn USD.

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