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Marathon Petroleum USD

Update

Re-runs extraction for each period with period-end year from max(2023, current year − 2) through the current year, oldest first (up to three reporting years). This can take a long time.

Sector: Oil refining

Geography: USA (Midwest, Gulf Coast, West Coast)

COMM_MPC

Price chart

263.58 USDDay 1.06%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
263.58 USD · 1.06%
Market cap
80.7 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
8.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
49.5%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
17.4x
3y avg: 9.8x
P/B (FY)
4.7x
P/E (ann.)
39.5x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
9.1x
3y avg: 5.8x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
12.6x

Cash return

Dividend yield
1.5%
FCF yield (LTM)
0.8%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the current EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-13.2%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
383 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/MPC

🔍 Sanity check — subtotal consistency (Level-1 + Level-2) OK: 2 / Warn: 5 / Err: 9 / Autofix applied: 0
Port of PHP subtotal-total + sign-flip detection logic
PeriodIssues
2023-03-31 Q1⚠Warn 1
2023-06-30 Q2⚠Warn 1
2023-09-30 Q3✗Errors 1Warn 1
2023-12-31 FY⚠Warn 1
2023-12-31 Q4✓OK
2024-03-31 Q1✗Errors 1Warn 1
2024-06-30 Q2✗Errors 1Warn 3
2024-09-30 Q3✗Errors 2Warn 1
2024-12-31 FY✗Errors 2Warn 1
2024-12-31 Q4✗Errors 1
2025-03-31 Q1✗Errors 3Warn 5
2025-06-30 Q2✗Errors 1Warn 1
2025-09-30 Q3⚠Warn 1
2025-12-31 FY⚠Warn 1
2025-12-31 Q4✓OK
2026-03-31 Q1✗Errors 3Warn 1
✓ All checks pass · ⚠ Has warnings (review) · ✗ Has errors (needs fix) · ✓* Autofix applied (see evidence)

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK34.2
y/y 8.5%
1.4
y/y 104.4%
0.8
y/y 2.0%
2.2
y/y 49.5%
0.5
y/y —
1.1-0.988.2
y/y 8.0%
16.8
y/y 2.2%
12.0%31.2Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK32.6
y/y -1.7%
2.7
y/y 136.1%
0.8
y/y 0.2%
3.5
y/y 79.1%
1.5
y/y 313.7%
3.1-1.284.0
y/y 6.5%
17.3
y/y -2.4%
23.5%29.7Link
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK34.8
y/y -0.8%
2.7
y/y 101.1%
0.8
y/y -0.6%
3.6
y/y 61.9%
1.4
y/y 120.3%
2.6-0.983.2
y/y 4.3%
17.1
y/y -9.7%
10.8%30.6Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK33.8
y/y -10.9%
2.2
y/y -12.9%
0.8
y/y -5.8%
3.0
y/y -11.1%
1.2
y/y -19.7%
2.6-0.778.5
y/y -7.9%
16.6
y/y -22.0%
29.5%27.4Link
2025-03-31Q1 2025 (3M)OK31.5
y/y -3.6%
0.7
y/y -61.5%
0.8
y/y -4.1%
1.5
y/y -43.3%
-0.1
y/y -107.9%
-0.1-0.781.6
y/y -4.6%
16.4
y/y -28.5%
-1.7%27.5Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK33.1
y/y -8.6%
1.1
y/y -52.4%
0.8
y/y -0.2%
2.0
y/y -39.0%
0.4
y/y -74.4%
2.2-0.878.9
y/y -8.3%
17.7
y/y -27.3%
18.8%24.7Link
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK35.1
y/y -14.2%
1.3
y/y -71.6%
0.8
y/y 0.1%
2.2
y/y -60.8%
0.6
y/y -81.0%
1.7-0.779.8
y/y -11.3%
18.9
y/y -26.8%
4.1%23.6Link
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK37.9
y/y 4.3%
2.5
y/y -23.7%
0.8
y/y 0.5%
3.4
y/y -18.8%
1.5
y/y -31.9%
3.2-0.585.2
y/y -1.4%
21.3
y/y -17.1%
27.4%20.9Link
2024-03-31Q1 2024 (3M)OK32.7
y/y -6.2%
1.8
y/y -56.1%
0.8
y/y 3.4%
2.6
y/y -46.3%
0.9
y/y -65.6%
1.5-0.685.5
y/y -1.7%
22.9
y/y -14.7%
15.8%20.2Link
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK36.3
y/y —
2.4
y/y —
0.8
y/y —
3.2
y/y —
1.5
y/y —
1.1-0.586.0
y/y —
24.4
y/y —
38.5%17.5Link
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK40.9
y/y —
4.8
y/y —
0.8
y/y —
5.6
y/y —
3.3
y/y —
5.0-0.490.0
y/y —
25.9
y/y —
17.0%14.7Link
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK36.3
y/y —
3.3
y/y —
0.8
y/y —
4.1
y/y —
2.2
y/y —
4.0-0.586.4
y/y —
25.7
y/y —
33.9%16.3Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK34.9
y/y —
4.1
y/y —
0.8
y/y —
4.9
y/y —
2.7
y/y —
4.1-0.587.0
y/y —
26.9
y/y —
—16.2Link
Data quality — review suggested

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

010 00020 00030 00040 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Year-over-year change

-100%-50%0%50%100%2023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-2 000-1 00001 0002 0003 0004 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

010 00020 00030 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Key-commodity price — US Gasoline Index (EIA)

Current 3spot vs LTM -4%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -13.2%

Main driver: US Gasoline Index (EIA) -4% vs LTM; revenue ×1.23 vs costs ×1.24; EBITDA 12 275→12 766; at 7.8× EV/EBITDA → -13%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
WTI Crude Oil (cost)-54%89.7365.1476.10+38%+17%
US Gasoline Index (EIA) (rev)+45%3.143.273.42-4%+5%
US Diesel Index (EIA) (rev)+22%5.213.754.06+39%+8%
US Gulf Coast Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel (rev)+22%3.492.192.53+60%+16%
Bitumen (cost)-8%4 553.003 423.583 722.46+33%+9%
Ethanol (USD/Gal) (cost)-8%1.901.751.87+8%+7%
WTI Crude Oil (rev)+6%89.7365.1476.10+38%+17%
Henry Hub Gas (cost)-5%3.153.533.09-11%-12%
Electricity Spot (cost)-5%57.8058.5652.39-1%-11%
Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil (rev)+1%353.74350.66347.96+1%-1%
Bitumen (rev)+1%4 553.003 423.583 722.46+33%+9%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue136 230
LTM EBITDA12 275
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)123 955
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.228 (+23%)
= Spot revenue167 290
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.085 (+9%)
= 3-year-price revenue147 860
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.237 (+24%)
= Spot cash costs153 315
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.100 (+10%)
= 3-year-price cash costs136 303
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA13 975
= 3-year-price EBITDA11 557
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)12 766
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (3-yr average)7.8x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA99 483
Net debt31 175
Target market cap = EV − net debt68 308
Current market cap78 721

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -13.2%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 Q236 34336 184+0.4%4 1394 983-16.9%
2023 Q340 91738 107+7.4%5 5985 564+0.6%
2023 Q436 82336 481+0.9%3 2234 209-23.4%
2024 Q132 70634 936-6.4%2 6113 532-26.1%
2024 Q237 91436 451+4.0%3 3603 218+4.4%
2024 Q335 10734 291+2.4%2 1952 156+1.8%
2024 Q433 46631 704+5.6%1 967264+644.1%
2025 Q131 51733 592-6.2%1 480796+86.0%
2025 Q233 79934 263-1.4%2 9863 623-17.6%
2025 Q334 80933 895+2.7%3 5543 414+4.1%
2025 Q433 42232 294+3.5%3 5223 001+17.4%
2026 Q134 20034 660-1.3%2 2132 093+5.7%

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 9.7x · target 3-yr avg 7.8x · LTM avg 7.5x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target avg (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-05-201 USDEx-dividend: 1 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-02-181 USDEx-dividend: 1 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-11-191 USDEx-dividend: 1 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-08-200.91 USDEx-dividend: 0.91 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-05-210.91 USDEx-dividend: 0.91 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-02-190.91 USDEx-dividend: 0.91 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-11-200.91 USDEx-dividend: 0.91 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-210.825 USDEx-dividend: 0.825 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-05-150.825 USDEx-dividend: 0.825 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-200.825 USDEx-dividend: 0.825 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-11-150.825 USDEx-dividend: 0.825 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-150.75 USDEx-dividend: 0.75 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-05-160.75 USDEx-dividend: 0.75 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-150.75 USDEx-dividend: 0.75 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-11-150.75 USDEx-dividend: 0.75 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-160.58 USDEx-dividend: 0.58 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-170.58 USDEx-dividend: 0.58 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-02-150.58 USDEx-dividend: 0.58 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-11-160.58 USDEx-dividend: 0.58 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-08-170.58 USDEx-dividend: 0.58 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)