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Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
Revenue growing (+19%)Margins improving (12%→29%)Low leverage (0.7x EBITDA)Loss-making last FY

Sector: Precious-metals mining

Geography: South Africa, United States

COMM_SBSW

Price chart

8.38 USDDay -1.99%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
8.38 USD · -1.99%
Market cap
5.9 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
18.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
65.2%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
P/B (FY)
2.7x
P/E (ann.)
<0
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
10.4x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
14.3x

Cash return

Dividend yield
3.9%
FCF yield (LTM)
-10.7%

Value creation

negative target market cap — net debt exceeds target EV (over-levered)
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
32.7 mln USD

Shares: connector/market_inputs

Financial results

Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM USDOperating profitM USDD&AM USDEBITDAM USDNet profitM USDOperating CFM USDCapex + M&AM USDAssetsM USDEquityM USDROE (annualized)Net debtM USDSource
2025-12-31FY 2025 (12M)OK7254.4
y/y 18.5%
184.7
y/y
524.0
y/y 9.0%
708.7
y/y 65.2%
-289.3
y/y
1197.6-1136.08376.7
y/y 11.2%
2211.2
y/y -7.9%
-12.9%1458.9Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)PARTIAL
y/y
y/y
y/y
y/y
y/y
8094.8
y/y
2258.5
y/y
1197.1Link
2024-12-31H2 2024 (6M)OK3106.9
y/y 7.9%
-84.2
y/y 96.6%
254.5
y/y -11.1%
170.3
y/y 107.7%
9.6
y/y 100.4%
346.3-568.87531.5
y/y -2.8%
2400.4
y/y -9.1%
-16.7%1399.3Link
2024-06-30H1 2024 (6M)OK3013.0
y/y -8.2%
32.4
y/y -93.2%
226.3
y/y -11.7%
258.8
y/y -64.6%
-407.8
y/y -201.3%
215.2-608.47363.4
y/y -24.7%
2369.0
y/y -54.9%
-32.6%1212.8Link
2023-12-31H2 2023 (6M)OK2879.4
y/y
-2508.4
y/y
286.3
y/y
-2222.1
y/y
-2450.0
y/y
-75.2-626.57748.7
y/y
2641.6
y/y
-51.8%806.0Link
2023-06-30H1 2023 (6M)OK3283.4
y/y
473.7
y/y
256.5
y/y
730.2
y/y
402.4
y/y
459.8-588.49780.7
y/y
5257.8
y/y
205.6Link

Net debt structure (leases included, IFRS 16) 2025-12-31

Short-term debt (incl. ST leases)638
Long-term debt (incl. LT leases)1 782
− Cash & equivalents961
Net debt1 459

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

-4 000-2 00002 0004 0002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 q22025 q4

Year-over-year change

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%2023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 q22025 q4

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-800-600-400-20002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 q22025 q4

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

05001 0001 5002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

PGM (platinum/palladium/rhodium; South Africa + US + gold)

Proved reserves
48.80 Moz
2025
Reserve life (R/P)
23.5 yrs
reserves ÷ annual output
Annual production
2.08 Moz
2025

Proved reserves

YearReserves, Moz
202548.80

Production

YearProduction, Mozper day
20252.085 699

Sibanye-Stillwater FY2025 20-F (SEC, filed 2026-04-24, sbsw-20251231.htm): attributable P&P reserves at 31-Dec-25 SA 4E 29.4 Moz + US 2E 19.4 Moz = 48.8 Moz; 2025 attributable production SA 4E 1.80 Moz + US 2E 0.28 Moz = 2.08 Moz. Same 4E+2E basis both sides; prior panel history (gold-oz-eq basis, 2021 vintage) dropped as basis-broken.

Key-commodity price — Platinum

Current 1 606spot vs LTM -11%

Commodity-player potential

Target equity value is NEGATIVE: net debt exceeds target EV — over-levered at conservative EBITDA, so the upside is negative.

Upside: -111.4%

Main driver: Platinum -11% vs LTM; revenue ×0.89 vs costs ×1.19; EBITDA 2 307→173; at 2.9× EV/EBITDA → -111%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $vs LTM, ZAR3y vs LTM
Platinum (rev)+44%1 606.101 808.141 300.24-11%-20%-28%
Palladium (rev)+37%1 262.501 460.881 207.71-14%-22%-17%
Gold (rev)+19%4 034.044 246.023 199.38-5%-15%-25%
Electricity Spot (cost)-10%57.8058.5652.39-1%-11%-11%
US Diesel Index (EIA) (cost)-5%5.134.224.11+22%+9%-3%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue7 253
LTM EBITDA2 307
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)4 946
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×0.891 (-11%)
= Spot revenue6 464
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×0.765 (-24%)
= 3-year-price revenue5 548
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.190 (+19%)
= Spot cash costs5 886
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.169 (+17%)
= 3-year-price cash costs5 780
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA578
= 3-year-price EBITDA-232
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)173
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct)2.9x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA498
Net debt1 338
Target market cap = EV − net debt-694
Current market cap6 066

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -111.4%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2021 FY11 6538 739+33.3%3 8992 398+62.6%
2022 FY8 44810 504-19.6%2 2681 541+47.2%
2023 FY6 1637 505-17.9%-1 4921 635-191.2%
2024 FY6 1205 804+5.4%713-2 616
2025 FY7 2548 023-9.6%2 1001 901+10.5%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +19% vs -1% the year before — a +19.2 pp move. 3-year CAGR -5%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -27% · 2024 -1% · 2025 +19%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 3.1x · target 75th pct (3y) 2.9x · LTM avg 2.7x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-03-200.328 USDEx-dividend: 0.328 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-09-210.11 USDEx-dividend: 0.11 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-03-230.268 USDEx-dividend: 0.268 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-09-150.325 USDEx-dividend: 0.325 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-03-240.494 USDEx-dividend: 0.494 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-09-160.807 USDEx-dividend: 0.807 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) — from primary filings.

Sibanye Stillwater Limited is a precious metals mining company that extracts and processes platinum group metals, gold, and other base metals from operations in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia.

Frequently asked questions

What is Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s EV/EBITDA?
Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) trades at 10.4x EV/EBITDA.
What is Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s P/B ratio?
Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) trades at a P/B of 2.7x.
What is Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s dividend yield?
Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 3.9%.
What is Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s ROE is -12.9%.
What is Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s market capitalization?
Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)'s market cap is 5.9 bn USD.