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Lynas Rare Earths (LYC) AUD

At a glance: strengths & risks
✓Revenue growing (+17%)✓Net cash balance sheet✗Profit falling (-91%)✗Margins compressing (28%→21%)✗Pricier than own history (EV/EBITDA 77.2 vs avg 28.5)

Sector: Rare earths

AU_LYC

Price chart

16.21 AUDDay -0.06%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
16.21 AUD · -0.06%
Market cap
15.2 bn AUD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
62.7%
Δ EBITDA y/y
582.5%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
184.1x
3y avg: 44.9x
P/B (FY)
6.4x
P/E (ann.)
94.5x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
77.2x
3y avg: 28.5x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
72.1x

Cash return

Dividend yield
—
FCF yield (LTM)
3.1%

Value creation

fundamental value/yr, % of market cap
Value created / year
+20.7%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
48.1 mln AUD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/LYC.AX

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial results

Monetary columns are in M AUD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM AUDOperating profitM AUDD&AM AUDEBITDAM AUDNet profitM AUDOperating CFM AUDCapex + M&AM AUDAssetsM AUDEquityM AUDROE (annualized)Net debtM AUDSource
2025-12-31H1 2026 (6M)OK413.7
y/y 62.7%
80.8
y/y 509.9%
20.1
y/y 1208.3%
100.9
y/y 582.5%
80.2
y/y 1270.9%
74.3-110.93994.9
y/y 37.0%
3364.3
y/y 43.4%
5.6%-610.3Link
2025-06-30H2 2025 (6M)OK288.4
y/y 25.6%
-5.9
y/y -115.0%
93.5
y/y 79.0%
87.6
y/y -4.5%
2.1
y/y -95.2%
54.6-163.82944.2
y/y 5.0%
2352.7
y/y 4.9%
0.3%-15.2—
2024-12-31H1 2025 (6M)OK254.3
y/y 8.3%
13.2
y/y -58.6%
1.5
y/y -67.2%
14.8
y/y -59.7%
5.9
y/y -85.2%
49.5-267.02916.5
y/y 7.0%
2345.6
y/y 6.6%
0.5%-136.5Link
2024-06-30H2 2024 (6M)OK229.7
y/y —
39.4
y/y —
52.2
y/y —
91.7
y/y —
45.0
y/y —
29.5-232.52804.9
y/y 6.3%
2242.8
y/y 3.7%
3.8%-352.0—
2023-12-31H1 2024 (6M)OK234.8
y/y —
32.0
y/y —
4.7
y/y —
36.6
y/y —
39.5
y/y —
5.5-346.92724.8
y/y —
2201.1
y/y —
3.6%-513.5Link
2023-06-30FY 2023 (12M)OK787.1
y/y —
331.2
y/y —
62.2
y/y —
393.3
y/y —
310.7
y/y —
386.8-595.52638.7
y/y —
2163.4
y/y —
—-833.6—

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (AUD mln)

01002003004002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Year-over-year change

-100%-50%0%50%2023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Cash flow

FCF (AUD mln)

-400-300-200-10002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Net debt / cash (AUD mln)

-1 000-800-600-400-20002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Profit and cash

Profit is cash-backed
In a typical year of 2022–2025 operating cash flow came to 1.05x of reported net profit; after capex, -3.56x.
year2022202320242025
cash flow / profit0.85x1.25x0.41x13.04x
accruals, % of assets3.9%-2.9%1.8%-3.3%
Last twelve months (to 2025-12-31): 1.57x of profit came back as operating cash flow.
net debt / EBITDA -0.1x · capex 6.5x of depreciation
Read from the reported annual statements: cash flow / profit is the median of the yearly operating cash flow over net profit for the years shown; accruals are (profit − operating cash flow) / assets, the classic gap between what was booked and what was collected. A gap can be growth in working capital, capitalised costs, revaluations or profit from associates — the panel points at it, the statements explain it. Not investment advice.

Fundamental value creation

Value the company creates per year, as a % of market cap

Value created per year: -2.4%

How this was calculated
1. EBITDA growth (latest quarter YoY, annualised)
[EBITDA latest qtr − EBITDA year-ago qtr] × annualisation X (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31)
= (101 − 111) × 1.87
-19
2. Current EV/EBITDA (LTM)
(Market cap + Net debt) ÷ EBITDA (LTM)
= (15 158 + -610) ÷ 188
30.0x — capped at 30x
3. Target multiple
(Current EV/EBITDA + 9) ÷ 2
= (30.0 + 9) ÷ 2
19.5x
4. Cash flow (balance method, LTM)
Net-debt reduction + dividends + buybacks − equity issuance
= 474 + 0 + 0 − 0
0
5. Value created per year
(EBITDA growth × Target multiple + Cash flow − Dilution) ÷ Market cap
= (-19 × 19.5 + 0) ÷ 15 158
-2.4%

Amounts in millions of the reporting currency. EBITDA growth is the latest quarter vs the same quarter a year ago, annualised.

Caveats:

  • half-year basis (semi-annual reporter)
  • base 2024-12-31 normalized for growth: margin 5.8% << typical 43.6% -> base EBITDA 15->111 (vs normal-margin base, not the trough)
  • dividends/buybacks not in data - balance cash flow uses net-debt change only
  • net-cash rise stripped: net debt fell while EBITDA declined and no share dilution measured (likely equity raise / recapitalisation)

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +17% vs -41% the year before — a +57.8 pp move. 3-year CAGR -15%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -12% · 2024 -41% · 2025 +17%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer (checked: Yahoo Finance (ex-div)).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Lynas Rare Earths (LYC) — from primary filings.

Lynas Rare Earths Limited is a mining and processing company that extracts rare earth minerals in Australia and refines them into light and heavy rare earth products at facilities in Australia and Malaysia.

Frequently asked questions

What is Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s P/E ratio?
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC) trades at a P/E of 184.1x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s EV/EBITDA?
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC) trades at 77.2x EV/EBITDA.
What is Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s P/B ratio?
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC) trades at a P/B of 6.4x.
What is Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s ROE is 5.6%.
What is Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s market capitalization?
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)'s market cap is 15.2 bn AUD.

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