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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
Revenue declining (-6%)Profit falling (-40%)High leverage (3.6x EBITDA)Pricier than own history (EV/EBITDA 20.2 vs avg 11.1)

Sector: Agribusiness

Geography: USA, Brazil, Europe

COMM_ADM

Price chart

83.18 USDDay -0.01%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
83.18 USD · -0.01%
Market cap
39.9 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
1.6%
Δ EBITDA y/y
5.8%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
36.9x
3y avg: 16.9x
P/B (FY)
1.8x
P/E (ann.)
33.5x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
20.2x
3y avg: 11.1x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
18.5x

Cash return

Dividend yield
2.5%
FCF yield (LTM)
6.2%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
262.1 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/ADM

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK20.5
y/y 1.6%
0.4
y/y 8.8%
0.3
y/y 2.1%
0.7
y/y 5.8%
0.3
y/y 1.0%
0.1-0.255.6
y/y 4.1%
22.8
y/y 3.1%
5.2%10.1Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK18.6
y/y -13.7%
0.5
y/y -28.5%
0.3
y/y 7.0%
0.8
y/y -17.8%
0.5
y/y -19.6%
-0.3-0.452.4
y/y -1.7%
22.7
y/y 2.5%
4.8%8.7Link
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK20.4
y/y 2.2%
0.1
y/y 36.1%
0.3
y/y 2.8%
0.4
y/y 11.9%
0.1
y/y 500.0%
1.8-0.351.9
y/y -0.5%
22.5
y/y 2.4%
0.6%8.0Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK21.2
y/y -4.9%
0.3
y/y -53.2%
0.3
y/y 1.7%
0.6
y/y -35.4%
0.2
y/y -54.9%
4.3-0.352.0
y/y -1.3%
22.4
y/y 1.3%
3.9%9.6Link
2025-03-31Q1 2025 (3M)OK20.2
y/y -7.7%
0.4
y/y -60.1%
0.3
y/y 2.5%
0.6
y/y -45.1%
0.3
y/y -59.5%
-0.3-0.353.4
y/y -2.6%
22.1
y/y -4.8%
5.3%11.6Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK21.5
y/y -6.4%
0.7
y/y -9.3%
0.3
y/y 3.6%
1.0
y/y -5.7%
0.6
y/y 0.4%
0.3-0.553.3
y/y -2.5%
22.2
y/y -8.1%
8.2%10.9Link
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK19.9
y/y -8.1%
0.1
y/y -89.5%
0.3
y/y 10.3%
0.4
y/y -69.3%
0.0
y/y -97.8%
1.3-0.452.2
y/y -5.3%
22.0
y/y -13.0%
0.1%10.6Link
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK22.2
y/y -11.7%
0.6
y/y -47.3%
0.3
y/y 9.2%
0.9
y/y -36.7%
0.5
y/y -47.6%
0.5-0.452.7
y/y -5.0%
22.2
y/y -11.3%
8.6%11.1Link
2024-03-31Q1 2024 (3M)OK21.8
y/y -9.2%
0.9
y/y -36.6%
0.3
y/y 8.1%
1.2
y/y -29.6%
0.7
y/y -37.7%
0.7-0.354.8
y/y -6.8%
23.2
y/y -6.7%
12.3%10.5Link
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK23.0
y/y
0.7
y/y
0.3
y/y
1.0
y/y
0.6
y/y
2.6-0.454.6
y/y
24.1
y/y
14.1%8.2Link
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK21.7
y/y
1.0
y/y
0.3
y/y
1.3
y/y
0.8
y/y
1.0-0.455.1
y/y
25.3
y/y
4.4%8.0Link
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK25.2
y/y
1.1
y/y
0.3
y/y
1.4
y/y
0.9
y/y
2.5-0.355.5
y/y
25.0
y/y
14.9%8.4Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK24.1
y/y
1.4
y/y
0.3
y/y
1.7
y/y
1.2
y/y
-1.6-0.358.8
y/y
24.9
y/y
10.7Link

Net debt structure (leases included, IFRS 16) 2026-03-31

Short-term debt (incl. ST leases)3 172
Long-term debt (incl. LT leases)7 485
− Cash & equivalents591
Net debt10 066

Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 4.3x

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

05 00010 00015 00020 00025 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Year-over-year change

-75%-50%-25%0%2023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-4 000-2 00002 0004 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

02 5005 0007 50010 00012 5002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Key-commodity price — Corn US

Current 454spot vs LTM +4%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -93.0% ▲ +0.9 pp 1d

Main driver: Corn US +6% vs LTM; revenue ×1.04 vs costs ×1.06; EBITDA 2 473→1 254; at 10.2× EV/EBITDA → -93%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Corn US (rev)+30%453.73428.80453.33+6%+6%
Food Oils and Oilseeds (rev)+30%128.10117.24115.67+9%-1%
Corn US (input) (cost)-25%453.73428.80453.33+6%+6%
Food Oils (input) (cost)-25%128.10117.24115.67+9%-1%
Wheat US (rev)+15%223.00229.79258.90-3%+13%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue80 584
LTM EBITDA2 473
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)78 111
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.041 (+4%)
= Spot revenue83 870
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.032 (+3%)
= 3-year-price revenue83 175
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.058 (+6%)
= Spot cash costs82 616
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.031 (+3%)
= 3-year-price cash costs80 529
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA1 254
= 3-year-price EBITDA2 646
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)1 254
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct)10.2x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA12 843
Net debt10 055
Target market cap = EV − net debt2 788
Current market cap39 931

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -93.0%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2024 Q121 84721 653+0.9%1 165358
2024 Q222 24822 591-1.5%882994-11.2%
2024 Q319 93721 133-5.7%396410
2024 Q421 49821 512-0.1%953277
2025 Q120 17522 667-11.0%640706-9.4%
2025 Q221 16621 402-1.1%570299
2025 Q320 37220 152+1.1%443131
2025 Q418 55620 733-10.5%783421+86.1%
2026 Q120 49020 142+1.7%677353

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth steady →
Last-year revenue growth -6% vs -9% the year before — a +2.8 pp move. 3-year CAGR —.
revenue growth by year: 2024 -9% · 2025 -6%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 9.7x · target 75th pct (3y) 13.2x · LTM avg 15.3x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-05-200.52 USDEx-dividend: 0.52 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-02-170.52 USDEx-dividend: 0.52 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-11-190.51 USDEx-dividend: 0.51 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-08-200.51 USDEx-dividend: 0.51 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-05-210.51 USDEx-dividend: 0.51 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-02-180.51 USDEx-dividend: 0.51 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-11-210.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-210.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-05-150.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-070.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-11-140.45 USDEx-dividend: 0.45 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-150.45 USDEx-dividend: 0.45 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-05-160.45 USDEx-dividend: 0.45 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-080.45 USDEx-dividend: 0.45 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-11-150.4 USDEx-dividend: 0.4 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-160.4 USDEx-dividend: 0.4 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-170.4 USDEx-dividend: 0.4 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-02-070.4 USDEx-dividend: 0.4 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-11-160.37 USDEx-dividend: 0.37 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-08-170.37 USDEx-dividend: 0.37 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) — from primary filings.

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company sources, transports, and processes agricultural commodities such as oilseeds, corn, and wheat into food ingredients, animal feed, and industrial products. It operates through segments focused on agricultural services, carbohydrate processing, and human and animal nutrition.

Frequently asked questions

What is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s P/E ratio?
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) trades at a P/E of 36.9x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s EV/EBITDA?
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) trades at 20.2x EV/EBITDA.
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s P/B ratio?
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) trades at a P/B of 1.8x.
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s dividend yield?
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 2.5%.
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s ROE is 5.2%.
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s market capitalization?
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)'s market cap is 39.9 bn USD.