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Adaro Andalan Indonesia USD

Update

Sector: Mining

ID_AADI

Price chart

8 275 IDRDay -4.34%
8 6508 556.258 462.58 368.758 275Two-point segment from the displayed day change; full history unavailable.min 8 275 · max 8 650

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
8 275 IDR · -4.34%
Market cap
3.6 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
-7.7%
Δ EBITDA y/y
-10.1%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
4.8x
P/B (FY)
1.0x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
3.0x

Cash return

Dividend yield
FCF yield (LTM)

Value creation

to fair market cap at the current EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover

Shares: connector/market_inputs

🔍 Sanity check — subtotal consistency (Level-1 + Level-2) OK: 1 / Warn: 2 / Err: 0 / Autofix applied: 0
Port of PHP subtotal-total + sign-flip detection logic
PeriodIssues
2023-12-31 FYOK
2024-12-31 FYWarn 1
2025-12-31 FYWarn 1
All checks pass · Has warnings (review) · Has errors (needs fix) · ✓* Autofix applied (see evidence)

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM USDOperating profitM USDD&AM USDEBITDAM USDNet profitM USDOperating CFM USDCapex + M&AM USDAssetsM USDEquityM USDROE (annualized)Net debtM USDSource
2025-12-31FY 2025 (12M)OK4910.0
y/y -7.7%
1041.0
y/y -10.1%
117.0
y/y -25.5%
1158.0
y/y -11.9%
760.2
y/y -42.7%
5706.0
y/y -4.8%
3650.0
y/y 8.5%
21.7%-132.4Link
2024-12-31FY 2024 (12M)OK5320.0
y/y -10.1%
1158.0
y/y -16.8%
157.0
y/y -30.8%
1315.0
y/y -18.7%
1327.0
y/y 0.2%
5993.0
y/y
3363.0
y/y
-95.0Link
2023-12-31FY 2023 (12M)PARTIAL5915.0
y/y
1391.0
y/y
227.0
y/y
1618.0
y/y
1325.0
y/y
y/y
y/y
-1585.0Link
Data quality — review suggested

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

Coal

Proved reserves
720 Mt
2025
Reserve life (R/P)
11.0 yrs
reserves ÷ annual output
Annual production
65.50 Mt
2024

Production, Mt

58202365.502024

Proved reserves

YearReserves, Mt
2025720

Production

YearProduction, Mt
202465.50
+12.9%
202358

PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia (AADI): production ~65 Mt/yr (target 65.5 Mt 2025, flat vs 2024); remaining mining life ~11 years by end-FY26 -> reserves ~720 Mt (approx). SHORT life vs PTBA 69yr / ITMG 19yr -> depleting-asset, high-payout profile. Source: AADI guidance / petromindo / kbvalbury (approximate).

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

02 0004 0006 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

-2 000-1 500-1 000-50002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Key-commodity price — Steam coal AU

Current 149spot vs LTM +25%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: +29.9%

Main driver: Steam coal AU +32% vs LTM; revenue ×1.25 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 1 041→1 821; at 2.8× EV/EBITDA → +30%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Steam coal AU (rev)+78%146.45111.36130.62+32%+17%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue4 910
LTM EBITDA1 041
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)3 869
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.246 (+25%)
= Spot revenue6 117
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.135 (+13%)
= 3-year-price revenue5 572
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs4 024
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs4 024
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA2 093
= 3-year-price EBITDA1 549
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)1 821
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)2.8x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA5 139
Net debt-132
Target market cap = EV − net debt5 271
Current market cap4 058

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +29.9%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2024 FY5 3204 885+8.9%1 315416+216.1%
2025 FY4 9104 484+9.5%1 158319+263.3%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth steady →
Last-year revenue growth -8% vs -10% the year before — a +2.4 pp move. 3-year CAGR —.
revenue growth by year: 2024 -10% · 2025 -8%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer (checked: Yahoo Finance (ex-div)).

Investor reporting (IR): https://www.adaroandalan.com/en/investor

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)