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New Hope AUD

Update

Sector: Coal mining

AU_NHC

Price chart

4.915 AUDDay -6.74%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
4.915 AUD · -6.74%
Market cap
4.1 bn AUD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
-0.8%
Δ EBITDA y/y
10.8%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
9.4x
3y avg: 6.9x
P/B (FY)
1.6x
P/E (ann.)
38.1x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
5.5x
3y avg: 4.2x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
9.1x

Cash return

Dividend yield
5.1%
FCF yield (LTM)
6.3%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the 3-yr-average EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-30.4%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
17.6 mln AUD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/NHC.AX

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in M AUD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM AUDOperating profitM AUDD&AM AUDEBITDAM AUDNet profitM AUDOperating CFM AUDCapex + M&AM AUDAssetsM AUDEquityM AUDROE (annualized)Net debtM AUDSource
2026-01-31H1 2026 (6M)OK814.4
y/y —
109.2
y/y —
115.6
y/y —
224.8
y/y —
54.3
y/y —
185.0-96.33494.3
y/y —
2599.9
y/y —
4.2%-51.4—
2025-07-31FY 2025 (12M)OK1750.7
y/y -0.8%
369.2
y/y -27.3%
379.6
y/y 125.8%
748.8
y/y 10.8%
439.4
y/y -7.7%
570.8-311.23538.8
y/y 2.0%
2627.7
y/y 3.3%
17.0%-52.3—
2024-07-31FY 2024 (12M)OK1765.3
y/y -34.6%
507.7
y/y -63.5%
168.1
y/y 18.7%
675.7
y/y -55.9%
475.9
y/y -56.2%
562.0-272.33468.6
y/y 6.9%
2543.2
y/y 0.9%
18.8%-368.7—
2023-07-31FY 2023 (12M)OK2700.7
y/y —
1389.7
y/y —
141.6
y/y —
1531.2
y/y —
1087.4
y/y —
1524.8-187.03243.3
y/y —
2521.4
y/y —
—-718.7—
Data quality No obvious scale, balance-sheet, or cash-flow sanity issues in the displayed periods.

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (AUD mln)

01 0002 0003 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

-60%-40%-20%0%20%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

FCF (AUD mln)

05001 0001 5002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Net debt / cash (AUD mln)

-800-600-400-20002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Key-commodity price — Steam coal AU

Current 128spot vs LTM +7%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -69.5%

Main driver: Steam coal AU +7% vs LTM; revenue ×1.07 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 443→502; at 2.4× EV/EBITDA → -70%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Steam coal AU (rev)+90%128.12119.46130.36+7%+9%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue1 629
LTM EBITDA443
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)1 186
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.065 (+7%)
= Spot revenue1 735
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.082 (+8%)
= 3-year-price revenue1 763
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs1 233
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs1 233
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA502
= 3-year-price EBITDA530
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)502
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)2.4x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA1 211
Net debt-51
Target market cap = EV − net debt1 262
Current market cap4 142

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -69.5%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 FY2 7012 689+0.5%1 6961 673+1.4%
2024 FY1 7651 506+17.2%874462+89.2%
2025 FY1 7511 572+11.4%1 009645+56.6%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth -1% vs -35% the year before — a +33.8 pp move. 3-year CAGR -12%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 +6% · 2024 -35% · 2025 -1%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 7.5x · target 75th pct (3y) 6.8x · LTM avg 4.4x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-03-300.1 AUDEx-dividend: 0.1 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-09-220.15 AUDEx-dividend: 0.15 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-03-230.19 AUDEx-dividend: 0.19 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-10-030.22 AUDEx-dividend: 0.22 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-04-150.17 AUDEx-dividend: 0.17 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-10-220.3 AUDEx-dividend: 0.3 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-04-170.4 AUDEx-dividend: 0.4 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-10-230.56 AUDEx-dividend: 0.56 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-04-140.3 AUDEx-dividend: 0.3 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-10-240.07 AUDEx-dividend: 0.07 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)