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Raspadskaya RUB

At a glance: strengths & risks
Net cash balance sheetRevenue declining (-26%)Loss-making last FYMargins compressing (5%→-33%)No dividends currently

Sector: Coal

RU_RASP

Price chart

118.9 RUBDay 3.44%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
118.9 RUB · 3.44%
Market cap
79.2 bn RUB

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
-17.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
-551.4%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
P/B (FY)
0.6x
P/E (ann.)
<0
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
<0

Cash return

Dividend yield
FCF yield (LTM)
-25.6%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover (MOEX)
159.4 mln RUB

Shares: connector/market_inputs

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B RUB, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB RUBOperating profitB RUBD&AB RUBEBITDAB RUBNet profitB RUBOperating CFB RUBCapex + M&AB RUBAssetsB RUBEquityB RUBROE (annualized)Net debtB RUBSource
2025-12-31H2 2025 (6M)OK56.4
y/y -17.5%
-40.6
y/y -1404.6%
12.2
y/y 34.9%
-28.5
y/y -551.4%
-36.5
y/y -919.4%
35.4-14.7203.4
y/y -19.0%
137.5
y/y -28.0%
-34.0%-6.6Report (PDF)
2025-06-30H1 2025 (6M)OK60.5
y/y -33.2%
-21.5
y/y
11.1
y/y 24.2%
-10.4
y/y -693.2%
-16.6
y/y
-16.6-7.0235.1
y/y -6.5%
174.1
y/y -10.3%
-18.1%-4.9Report (PDF)
2024-12-31H2 2024 (6M)OK68.4
y/y -25.5%
-2.7
y/y -118.1%
9.0
y/y -0.1%
6.3
y/y -73.6%
-3.6
y/y -131.1%
7.2-0.2251.2
y/y -3.5%
191.0
y/y -5.7%
-6.1%-4.7Report (PDF)
2024-06-30H1 2024 (6M)OK90.6
y/y -3.7%
-7.2
y/y -127.2%
9.0
y/y 20.2%
1.8
y/y -94.8%
-8.2
y/y -135.6%
-8.2-0.2251.5
y/y 3.6%
194.1
y/y 1.8%
-8.3%-19.4Report (PDF)
2023-12-31H2 2023 (6M)OK91.8
y/y
14.9
y/y
9.0
y/y
23.9
y/y
11.5
y/y
10.8-0.2260.2
y/y
202.4
y/y
17.6%-26.9Report (PDF)
2023-06-30H1 2023 (6M)OK94.1
y/y
26.5
y/y
7.5
y/y
33.9
y/y
23.1
y/y
13.5-0.2242.8
y/y
190.7
y/y
-26.1Report (PDF)

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (₽ mln)

-50 000-25 000025 00050 00075 000100 0002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Year-over-year change

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%2023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Cash flow

FCF (₽ mln)

-40 000-20 000020 00040 0002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Net debt / cash (₽ mln)

-30 000-20 000-10 00002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Key-commodity price — Coking coal

Current 223spot vs LTM +4%

Commodity price upside

The same staged build as the commodity players: revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA (min of the spot case and the spot/3-yr average) → target market cap at the current EV/EBITDA. Cash costs are indexed by RU inflation (~7%); a pure producer has no commodity cost driver to re-price.

Upside (conservative): -90% · spot -90% · 3-yr -90%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (latest FY)
Revenue116.9 bln RUB
EBITDA-38.9 bln RUB
Cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)155.8 bln RUB
2 · Revenue projection
Multiplier — spot×1.03 (+3%)
= Spot revenue120.4 bln RUB
Multiplier — 3-yr prices×1.10 (+10%)
= 3-yr-price revenue128.6 bln RUB
3 · Cost projection (+ RU inflation ~5%)
Cost multiplier×1.05 (+5%)
= Cash costs163.6 bln RUB
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA-43.2 bln RUB
= 3-yr-price EBITDA-35.0 bln RUB
= Avg-scenario EBITDA (spot + 3-yr)/2-39.1 bln RUB
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg(spot, 3-yr))-43.2 bln RUB
5 · Valuation → target market cap
EV/EBITDA (current)1.0x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA-43.2 bln RUB
Net debt-6.6 bln RUB
Target market cap = EV − net debt0 mln RUB
Current market cap76.2 bln RUB

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -90%

Product prices — move vs the LTM average; the 'RUB' columns include the USD/RUB move.

CommodityRevenue shareSpotLTM avg$ vs LTMRUB vs LTM (FX)RUB 3-yr (FX)
Coking coal90%223.00215.46+3%+3%+11%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth -26% vs -14% the year before — a -12.0 pp move. 3-year CAGR -16%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -5% · 2024 -14% · 2025 -26%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

Dividend potential

Dividends suspended (~4.5 yr without a payout)

The company has not paid a dividend for over 18 months — profit is going to capex or deleveraging (e.g. Nornickel, NLMK, RusHydro, FSK). The forecast payout is zeroed until distributions resume; profit and cash flow may still be healthy.

1 · Forecast dividend (per policy)
Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY)-53 bn RUB
Payout ratio25%
Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) — caps payout-3 bn RUB
Recent actual dividend (3-yr median)28.00 ₽
= Forecast dividend per share0.00 ₽
2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate)
CBR key rate14.2%
= Fair dividend yield12.0%
3 · Valuation → upside
Current price113 ₽
Forecast dividend yield
Fair price (dividend-based)0.000 ₽

Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.

Dividend history

Pay yearDividend /sh
202228.00 ₽
202128.70 ₽
20205.53 ₽
20192.50 ₽
20115.00 ₽
20085.25 ₽
20073.19 ₽
20051.35 ₽
Payments by period
PeriodEx-date/sh
2022 q12022-01-1428.00 ₽
2021 q32021-09-3023.00 ₽
2021 q22021-06-035.70 ₽
2020 q42020-10-132.70 ₽
2020 q22020-06-042.83 ₽
2019 q42019-10-162.50 ₽
2011 q32011-07-115.00 ₽
2008 q42008-11-121.50 ₽
2008 q22008-04-223.75 ₽
2007 q42007-10-231.25 ₽

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer.

Corporate events

16.06.26AGM / Board Решения общих собраний участников (акционеров)
На годовом общем собрании акционеров ПАО «Распадская» 16 июня 2026 года было принято решение не распределять прибыль и не объявлять дивиденды за 2025 год. Также утвержден годовой отчет за 2025 год и назначена аудиторская организация для аудита отчетности за 2026 год.
05.06.26Material event События (действия), оказывающие, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость или котировки его ценных бумаг
ПАО 'Распадская' передает 620 742 180 обыкновенных акций, что составляет 93,24% уставного капитала, аффилированной компании. Событие может оказать влияние на стоимость ценных бумаг эмитента.
05.06.26Buyback Приобретение лицом права распоряжаться определенным количеством голосов, приходящихся на голосующие акции (доли), составляющие уставный капитал эмитента
Лицо приобрело право распоряжаться 620,7 млн. голосов, что составляет 93,24% голосующих акций ПАО 'Распадская'. Это произошло в результате приобретения доли участия в компании. До этого лицо не имело прав на голосующие акции.
15.04.26Filing Совершение подконтрольной эмитенту организацией существенной сделки
ПАО 'Распадская' заключило существенную сделку на поставку высококачественного битуминозного коксующегося угля на сумму не более 32,7 млрд. руб., что составляет 16,1% от стоимости активов компании. Срок поставки товара установлен с 1.10.2025 по 31.03.2028.
17.04.26AGM / BoardРешения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета)
Совет директоров ПАО 'Распадская' принял решение о включении кандидатов для голосования на годовом собрании акционеров 16.06.2026. Все 8 членов совета проголосовали 'ЗА' без против и воздержавшихся. Кандидаты предложены самим советом директоров.

Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.

Investment-community mentions

Substantive mentions last 7 days: 0, last 30 days: 0 across tracked channels, broker research and shows. 1 passing mentions (digests, calendars) hidden.

Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Raspadskaya — from primary filings.

Frequently asked questions

What is Raspadskaya's P/B ratio?
Raspadskaya trades at a P/B of 0.6x.
What is Raspadskaya's return on equity (ROE)?
Raspadskaya's ROE is -53.1%.
What is Raspadskaya's market capitalization?
Raspadskaya's market cap is 79.2 bn RUB.