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Genesis Minerals AUD

Update

Sector: Gold mining

AU_GMD

Price chart

5.9 AUDDay -2.16%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
5.9 AUD · -2.16%
Market cap
6.7 bn AUD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
109.8%
Δ EBITDA y/y
290.9%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
30.1x
3y avg: 23.5x
P/B (FY)
5.3x
P/E (ann.)
14.0x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
14.1x
3y avg: 14.1x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
7.7x

Cash return

Dividend yield
—
FCF yield (LTM)
1.7%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the 3-yr-average EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-54.0%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
57.7 mln AUD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/GMD.AX

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in M AUD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM AUDOperating profitM AUDD&AM AUDEBITDAM AUDNet profitM AUDOperating CFM AUDCapex + M&AM AUDAssetsM AUDEquityM AUDROE (annualized)Net debtM AUDSource
2025-12-31H1 2025 (6M)OK-99.8
y/y —
26.5
y/y —
-65.6
y/y —
-39.1
y/y —
16.9
y/y —
-33.28.52007.5
y/y —
1513.0
y/y —
34.4%-252.0—
2025-06-30FY 2025 (12M)OK920.1
y/y 109.8%
317.2
y/y 655.3%
137.3
y/y 84.8%
454.5
y/y 290.9%
221.2
y/y 163.3%
420.7-183.11797.9
y/y 48.7%
1253.5
y/y 26.4%
19.7%-52.9—
2024-06-30FY 2024 (12M)OK438.6
y/y 469.9%
42.0
y/y —
74.3
y/y —
116.3
y/y —
84.0
y/y —
136.2-164.61209.0
y/y 18.9%
991.4
y/y 18.3%
9.2%-138.9—
2023-06-30FY 2023 (12M)OK77.0
y/y —
-63.4
y/y —
0.6
y/y —
-62.8
y/y —
-111.8
y/y —
-37.6-9.11016.5
y/y —
838.2
y/y —
—-178.9—
Data quality No obvious scale, balance-sheet, or cash-flow sanity issues in the displayed periods.

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (AUD mln)

-20002004006008001 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

0%200%400%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

FCF (AUD mln)

-400-300-200-10002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Net debt / cash (AUD mln)

-300-200-10002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Key-commodity price — Gold

Current 4 126spot vs LTM -3%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -30.8%

Main driver: Gold -3% vs LTM; revenue ×0.97 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 831→565; at 7.7× EV/EBITDA → -31%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Gold (rev)+100%4 126.454 246.023 157.77-3%-26%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue1 641
LTM EBITDA831
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)810
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×0.972 (-3%)
= Spot revenue1 594
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×0.744 (-26%)
= 3-year-price revenue1 220
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs842
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs842
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA752
= 3-year-price EBITDA378
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)565
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)7.7x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA4 361
Net debt-252
Target market cap = EV − net debt4 613
Current market cap6 665

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -30.8%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2024 FY43987+401.6%119-112—
2025 FY920594+54.8%463263+76.5%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth steady →
Last-year revenue growth +110%. 3-year CAGR —.
revenue growth by year: 2024 +470% · 2025 +110%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 8.1x · target 75th pct (3y) 27.5x · LTM avg 11.0x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer (checked: Yahoo Finance (ex-div)).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)