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Palantir Technologies Inc.: revenue doubled, but the market has already priced in the future

Palantir Technologies Inc.

On August 3, 2026, Palantir Technologies Inc. reported results for the second quarter of 2026. Revenue grew 92.8% year-over-year to $1,935.5 million, EBITDA rose 336.0% to $1,202.7 million, and net profit increased 225.0% to $1,061.9 million. The shares look attractive despite the high valuation, thanks to accelerating growth and improving margins.

Key takeaways

— Revenue accelerated to 92.8% driven by explosive growth in the US commercial segment

— EBITDA margin doubled year-over-year to 62.1%

— Net profit grew 225% due to operating leverage and a low tax rate

— Operating cash flow rose to $1,216.2 million in the quarter

— The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $8,150–8,158 million

— Shares rose 41.7% after the report, but the portal's model sees another 14% upside

Attractiveness

Key figures, USD bn

MetricQ2 2025Q2 2026Change
Revenue1.001.94+92.8%
EBITDA0.281.20+336.0%
Operating profit0.270.91+238.6%
Net profit0.331.06+225.0%
Operating cash flow0.541.22+125.5%
Capex0.010.01+91.2%
EBITDA margin27.5%62.1%+34.6 pp
Net margin32.6%54.9%+22.3 pp

Revenue accelerated to 92.8% driven by explosive growth in the US commercial segment

In the second quarter of 2026, Palantir Technologies Inc.'s revenue reached $1,935.5 million, up 92.8% year-over-year. This is an acceleration from previous quarters: in Q1 2026 growth was 84.7%, and in Q4 2025 – 70.0%.

The main driver was the US commercial segment: its revenue grew 149% year-over-year to $764 million, accounting for about 40% of total revenue. The US government segment grew 90% to $809 million, and international markets also contributed, albeit at a slower pace.

Revenue and EBITDA by quarter
Revenue and EBITDA by quarter

EBITDA margin doubled year-over-year to 62.1%

EBITDA for Q2 2026 reached $1,202.7 million, up 336.0% year-over-year. EBITDA margin hit 62.1% versus 27.5% in Q2 2025.

The margin expansion is driven by operating leverage: revenue is growing faster than operating expenses. The company also reported a record Rule of 40 score of 155%, reflecting a combination of high growth and high adjusted operating margin.

Net profit by quarter
Net profit by quarter

Net profit grew 225% due to operating leverage and a low tax rate

Net profit in Q2 2026 reached $1,061.9 million, up 225.0% year-over-year. Net margin hit 54.9% versus 32.6% in Q2 2025.

Besides operating leverage, profit was positively affected by interest income ($77.5 million) and other income ($91.8 million), as well as a low effective tax rate of about 1.4% ($15.4 million in income tax on pre-tax income of $1,081.3 million).

Net debt at reporting dates
Net debt at reporting dates

Operating cash flow rose to $1,216.2 million in the quarter

Operating cash flow in Q2 2026 was $1,216.2 million, more than double the year-ago figure of $539.3 million. Adjusted free cash flow reached $1,220.4 million, corresponding to a 63% margin.

Capital expenditures remain minimal – just $14.6 million for the quarter, typical for a software business. Net debt is negative at -$16,367.7 million, reflecting the company's substantial cash cushion.

Valuation vs its own history
Valuation vs its own history

The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $8,150–8,158 million

Palantir Technologies Inc. raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $8,150–8,158 million, implying growth of about 82% year-over-year. The US commercial revenue guidance was raised to over $3,424 million, representing growth of at least 134%.

The company also raised its adjusted operating income guidance to $4,889–4,897 million and adjusted free cash flow to $4,500–4,700 million. Management expects positive GAAP operating and net income in each quarter of the year.

Share price, three years
Share price, three years

Shares rose 41.7% after the report, but the portal's model sees another 14% upside

The share price before the report was $123.06, up 2.1% on the release day, and by September 4, 2026, it had risen 41.7%. The current market capitalization is $410,759.0 million.

Multiples remain high: P/E LTM is 136.2, EV/EBITDA LTM is 133.9, significantly above the three-year average of 270.9 for EV/EBITDA. According to the portal's model, the upside is +14% to fair value, making the stock attractive despite the apparent overvaluation.

Valuation on the latest reported figures

MetricValue
Market cap411 bn USD
P/E (LTM)136.2
EV/EBITDA (LTM)133.9
P/B55.60
Net debt / EBITDA (LTM)-0.39
Operating cash flow (LTM)2.10 bn
ROE46.6%
EV/EBITDA, 3-year average270.9

Bottom line

Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Q2 2026 report was strong: revenue accelerated to 92.8%, EBITDA margin doubled to 62.1%, and cash flow reached record levels. The company raised guidance, confirming management's confidence in continued growth. However, the current valuation already prices in much of the good news: shares rose 41.7% after the report, and multiples remain at extreme levels. Nevertheless, the portal's model shows 14% upside, making the stock attractive for long-term investors willing to tolerate volatility.

Open the company's financial profile PLTR →

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