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Phillips 66 (PSX) USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
Profit growing (+108%)Revenue declining (-8%)High leverage (4.8x EBITDA)Pricier than own history (EV/EBITDA 23.0 vs avg 13.2)

Sector: Oil refining

Geography: United States

COMM_PSX

Price chart

206.77 USDDay -2.19%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
206.98 USD · -2.10%
Market cap
82.9 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
6.9%
Δ EBITDA y/y
69.7%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
20.1x
3y avg: 13.7x
P/B (FY)
2.9x
P/E (ann.)
100.2x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
23.0x
3y avg: 13.2x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
39.0x

Cash return

Dividend yield
2.4%
FCF yield (LTM)
-2.0%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
103.4 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/PSX

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK32.5
y/y 6.9%
0.1
y/y
0.6
y/y -29.5%
0.7
y/y 69.7%
0.2
y/y -57.5%
-2.3-0.684.1
y/y 17.0%
28.5
y/y 4.6%
2.9%22.0Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK34.1
y/y 1.3%
-0.7
y/y -817.7%
0.8
y/y -0.1%
0.1
y/y -87.4%
2.9
y/y 36225.0%
2.8-0.773.7
y/y 1.5%
29.1
y/y 6.1%
15.7%20.5Link
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK34.5
y/y -2.9%
1.0
y/y 84.9%
0.8
y/y 52.1%
1.8
y/y 68.2%
0.1
y/y -61.6%
1.2-0.576.1
y/y 1.4%
26.9
y/y -6.3%
0.7%19.9Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK33.3
y/y -12.6%
1.2
y/y 54.3%
0.8
y/y 64.2%
2.0
y/y 58.2%
0.9
y/y -13.6%
0.8-0.675.9
y/y -0.0%
27.5
y/y -6.7%
12.8%19.9Link
2025-03-31Q1 2025 (3M)OK30.4
y/y -15.0%
-0.4
y/y -167.9%
0.8
y/y 56.9%
0.4
y/y -63.5%
0.5
y/y -34.9%
0.2-0.471.8
y/y -6.0%
27.3
y/y -8.3%
7.1%17.3Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK33.7
y/y -12.0%
-0.1
y/y -105.3%
0.8
y/y 58.1%
0.7
y/y -63.1%
0.0
y/y -99.4%
1.2-0.572.6
y/y -3.9%
27.4
y/y -10.4%
7.5%19.7Link
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK35.5
y/y -10.4%
0.5
y/y -77.8%
0.5
y/y 11.3%
1.1
y/y -62.5%
0.3
y/y -83.5%
1.1-0.475.1
y/y -3.5%
28.7
y/y -6.8%
1.6%18.4Link
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK38.1
y/y 8.7%
0.8
y/y -58.7%
0.5
y/y 0.4%
1.3
y/y -46.4%
1.0
y/y -40.2%
2.1-0.475.9
y/y 1.4%
29.5
y/y -1.5%
13.7%17.5Link
2024-03-31Q1 2024 (3M)OK35.8
y/y 4.1%
0.6
y/y -73.3%
0.5
y/y 5.9%
1.1
y/y -59.1%
0.7
y/y -61.9%
-0.2-0.676.4
y/y -1.1%
29.7
y/y -1.7%
9.9%18.6Link
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK38.3
y/y
1.5
y/y
0.5
y/y
2.0
y/y
1.3
y/y
2.2-0.575.5
y/y
30.6
y/y
22.8%17.2Link
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK39.6
y/y
2.3
y/y
0.5
y/y
2.8
y/y
2.1
y/y
2.7-0.977.8
y/y
30.8
y/y
9.2%15.9Link
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK35.1
y/y
1.9
y/y
0.5
y/y
2.4
y/y
1.7
y/y
1.0-0.674.9
y/y
29.9
y/y
22.6%16.8Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK34.4
y/y
2.2
y/y
0.5
y/y
2.7
y/y
2.0
y/y
1.2-0.377.3
y/y
30.2
y/y
11.5Link

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

010 00020 00030 00040 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Year-over-year change

-100%0%100%200%2023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-4 000-2 00002 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

05 00010 00015 00020 0002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Key-commodity price — US Crack Spread (oil refining)

Current 64spot vs LTM +15%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: +43.8% → +0.0 pp 1d

Main driver: US Crack Spread (oil refining) +115% vs LTM; revenue ×1.15 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 6 947→13 095; at 12.0× EV/EBITDA → +44%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
US Crack Spread (oil refining) (rev)+13%64.4529.9828.66+115%-4%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue134 486
LTM EBITDA6 947
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)127 539
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.149 (+15%)
= Spot revenue154 582
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×0.994 (-1%)
= 3-year-price revenue133 712
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs132 641
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs132 641
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA19 605
= 3-year-price EBITDA6 585
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)13 095
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)12.0x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA157 141
Net debt21 974
Target market cap = EV − net debt135 167
Current market cap93 967

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +43.8%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 Q235 09041 039-14.5%3 1792 178+46.0%
2023 Q339 64338 725+2.4%3 6933 963-6.8%
2023 Q438 27035 671+7.3%2 0451 796+13.9%
2024 Q135 81136 251-1.2%1 8601 665+11.7%
2024 Q238 12936 709+3.9%2 0881 333+56.6%
2024 Q335 52837 090-4.2%1 238656
2024 Q433 68536 070-6.6%74062
2025 Q130 43035 228-13.6%1 89364
2025 Q233 32334 846-4.4%2 4181 070+126.1%
2025 Q334 51533 836+2.0%1 5051 372+9.7%
2025 Q434 10833 163+2.9%2 3601 027+129.9%
2026 Q132 54033 649-3.3%6641 823-63.6%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth -8% vs -3% the year before — a -4.6 pp move. 3-year CAGR -8%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -13% · 2024 -3% · 2025 -8%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 3.2x · target 75th pct (3y) 7.0x · LTM avg 12.5x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-05-181.27 USDEx-dividend: 1.27 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-02-231.27 USDEx-dividend: 1.27 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-11-171.2 USDEx-dividend: 1.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-08-191.2 USDEx-dividend: 1.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-05-191.2 USDEx-dividend: 1.2 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-02-241.15 USDEx-dividend: 1.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-11-181.15 USDEx-dividend: 1.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-201.15 USDEx-dividend: 1.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-05-171.15 USDEx-dividend: 1.15 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-161.05 USDEx-dividend: 1.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-11-161.05 USDEx-dividend: 1.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-171.05 USDEx-dividend: 1.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-05-191.05 USDEx-dividend: 1.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-171.05 USDEx-dividend: 1.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-11-160.97 USDEx-dividend: 0.97 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-170.97 USDEx-dividend: 0.97 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-200.97 USDEx-dividend: 0.97 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-02-180.92 USDEx-dividend: 0.92 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-11-160.92 USDEx-dividend: 0.92 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-08-170.9 USDEx-dividend: 0.9 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Phillips 66 (PSX) — from primary filings.

Phillips 66 is an integrated downstream energy company that refines crude oil into fuels and other products, operates midstream infrastructure for transportation and storage, and produces chemicals and renewable fuels.

Frequently asked questions

What is Phillips 66 (PSX)'s P/E ratio?
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at a P/E of 20.1x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is Phillips 66 (PSX)'s EV/EBITDA?
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at 23.0x EV/EBITDA.
What is Phillips 66 (PSX)'s P/B ratio?
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at a P/B of 2.9x.
What is Phillips 66 (PSX)'s dividend yield?
Phillips 66 (PSX)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 2.4%.
What is Phillips 66 (PSX)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Phillips 66 (PSX)'s ROE is 2.8%.
What is Phillips 66 (PSX)'s market capitalization?
Phillips 66 (PSX)'s market cap is 82.9 bn USD.