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Seligdar (SELG) RUB

At a glance: strengths & risks
✓Revenue growing (+48%)✗Loss-making last FY✗High leverage (4.9x EBITDA)✗No dividends currently

Sector: Mining

RU_SELG

Price chart

38.89 RUBDay -7.97%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
38.89 RUB · -7.97%
Market cap
40.1 bn RUB

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
59.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
53.4%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
—
P/B (FY)
3.8x
P/E (ann.)
<0
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
6.2x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
4.7x

Cash return

Dividend yield
—
FCF yield (LTM)
-192.4%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)
+106.3%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (MOEX)
315.7 mln RUB

Shares: connector/market_inputs

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B RUB, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB RUBOperating profitB RUBD&AB RUBEBITDAB RUBNet profitB RUBOperating CFB RUBCapex + M&AB RUBAssetsB RUBEquityB RUBROE (annualized)Net debtB RUBSource
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK26.0
y/y 59.5%
7.4
y/y 57.3%
2.4
y/y 42.4%
9.8
y/y 53.4%
-2.9
y/y 10.8%
-4.9-4.1213.0
y/y 18.9%
10.6
y/y -50.8%
-82.6%145.2Report (PDF)
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK33.4
y/y 51.0%
5.1
y/y 47.1%
2.5
y/y 1.0%
7.6
y/y 27.9%
-3.3
y/y —
-6.2-1.9204.1
y/y 32.2%
13.9
y/y 41.3%
-26.3%129.5Report (PDF)
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK28.4
y/y 36.3%
0.0
y/y -54.6%
5.3
y/y 5.2%
5.3
y/y 4.8%
-2.2
y/y —
-14.0-3.6194.9
y/y 20.5%
19.4
y/y 3.0%
-21.0%105.1Report (PDF)
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)PARTIAL16.3
y/y -13.3%
4.7
y/y 391.6%
1.7
y/y -48.4%
6.4
y/y 52.8%
-3.2
y/y -23.8%
6.4-2.7179.2
y/y 32.8%
21.6
y/y -15.7%
-81.5%82.4Report (PDF)
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK22.1
y/y 36.9%
3.4
y/y 49.2%
2.5
y/y 22.4%
5.9
y/y 36.7%
-3.7
y/y —
3.5-3.1154.4
y/y 9.0%
9.9
y/y -67.2%
-34.8%68.1Report (PDF)
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK20.9
y/y -0.7%
0.0
y/y -97.7%
5.1
y/y 53.4%
5.1
y/y 8.1%
-5.2
y/y —
8.0-4.5161.6
y/y 7.7%
18.9
y/y -40.5%
-47.1%55.3Report (PDF)
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK18.8
y/y —
1.0
y/y —
3.2
y/y —
4.2
y/y —
-2.6
y/y —
2.9-2.1134.9
y/y —
25.6
y/y —
-41.4%50.7Report (PDF)
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK16.2
y/y —
2.3
y/y —
2.0
y/y —
4.3
y/y —
-2.7
y/y —
3.7-2.6141.7
y/y —
30.0
y/y —
-11.5%49.6Report (PDF)
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK21.0
y/y —
1.4
y/y —
3.3
y/y —
4.7
y/y —
-7.3
y/y —
12.9-4.2150.1
y/y —
31.7
y/y —
—43.2Report (PDF)

Net debt structure (leases included, IFRS 16) 2025-12-31

Short-term debt (incl. ST leases)43 232
Long-term debt (incl. LT leases)111 245
− Cash & equivalents9 317
Net debt145 161

Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 4.9x

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (₽ mln)

010 00020 00030 0002023 H12023 q32023 q42024 H12024 q32024 q42025 H12025 q32025 q4

Year-over-year change

-25%0%25%50%75%2023 H12023 q32023 q42024 H12024 q32024 q42025 H12025 q32025 q4

Cash flow

FCF (₽ mln)

-30 000-20 000-10 000010 0002023 H12023 q32023 q42024 H12024 q32024 q42025 H12025 q32025 q4

Net debt / cash (₽ mln)

050 000100 000150 0002023 q22023 q32023 q42024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q22025 q32025 q4

Profit and cash

Worth a look
In a typical year of 2021–2025 operating cash flow came to 2.15x of reported net profit; after capex, -0.43x. Loss years (2023, 2024, 2025) are left out of the ratio.
year20212022202320242025
cash flow / profit1.74x2.55x———
accruals, % of assets-9.0%-4.7%-20.3%-18.4%6.7%
net debt / EBITDA 4.9x · EBIT covers interest 1.9x · capex 1.4x of depreciation
● Net debt / EBITDA 4.9x at the last full year.
● EBIT covers interest 1.9x.
Read from the reported annual statements: cash flow / profit is the median of the yearly operating cash flow over net profit for the years shown; accruals are (profit − operating cash flow) / assets, the classic gap between what was booked and what was collected. A gap can be growth in working capital, capitalised costs, revaluations or profit from associates — the panel points at it, the statements explain it. Not investment advice.

Key-commodity price — Gold (RUB)

Current 11 766 ₽/гspot vs LTM +28%

Commodity price upside

The same staged build as the commodity players: revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA (min of the spot case and the spot/3-yr average) → target market cap at the 3-year historical (p75) EV/EBITDA. Cash costs are indexed by RU inflation (~7%); a pure producer has no commodity cost driver to re-price.

USD/RUB: spot 84 vs LTM-avg 78 → ×1.07 (ruble weaker → more RUB revenue); applied to USD-priced commodities (RUB gold left as-is).

Upside (conservative): +106% · spot +279% · 3-yr -66%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (latest FY)
Revenue87.9 bln RUB
EBITDA29.8 bln RUB
Cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)58.1 bln RUB
2 · Revenue projection
Multiplier — spot×1.24 (+24%)
= Spot revenue109.1 bln RUB
Multiplier — 3-yr prices×0.98 (-2%)
= 3-yr-price revenue86.4 bln RUB
3 · Cost projection (+ RU inflation ~5%)
Cost multiplier×1.05 (+5%)
= Cash costs61.0 bln RUB
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA48.1 bln RUB
= 3-yr-price EBITDA25.4 bln RUB
= Avg-scenario EBITDA (spot + 3-yr)/236.8 bln RUB
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg(spot, 3-yr))36.8 bln RUB
5 · Valuation → target market cap
EV/EBITDA (3y hist. p75)6.3x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA230.1 bln RUB
Net debt145.1 bln RUB
Target market cap = EV − net debt84.9 bln RUB
Current market cap41.2 bln RUB

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +106%

Product prices — move vs the LTM average; the 'RUB' columns include the USD/RUB move.

CommodityRevenue shareSpotLTM avg$ vs LTMRUB vs LTM (FX)RUB 3-yr (FX)
Gold (RUB)85%11 765.509 158.07+28%+28%-2%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +48% vs +6% the year before — a +42.3 pp move. 3-year CAGR +36%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 +61% · 2024 +6% · 2025 +48%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

Dividend potential

Dividends suspended (~2.2 yr without a payout)

The company has not paid a dividend for over 18 months — profit is going to capex or deleveraging (e.g. Nornickel, NLMK, RusHydro, FSK). The forecast payout is zeroed until distributions resume; profit and cash flow may still be healthy.

1 · Forecast dividend (per policy)
Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY)-10 bn RUB
Payout ratio79%
Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) — caps payout-36 bn RUB
Recent actual dividend (3-yr median)2.00 ₽
= Forecast dividend per share0.00 ₽
2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate)
CBR key rate14.0%
Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median)-13.2 pp
= Fair dividend yield10.5%
3 · Valuation → upside
Current price40.54 ₽
Forecast dividend yield—
Fair price (dividend-based)0.000 ₽

Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.

Dividend history

Pay yearDividend /sh
20242.00 ₽
20232.00 ₽
20224.50 ₽
20211.95 ₽
20203.97 ₽
20190.78 ₽
20120.15 ₽
Payments by period
PeriodEx-date/sh
2024 q22024-06-132.00 ₽
2023 q42023-11-302.00 ₽
2022 q22022-06-174.50 ₽
2021 q22021-06-231.95 ₽
2020 q42020-11-262.55 ₽
2020 q22020-06-241.42 ₽
2019 q42019-12-200.78 ₽
2012 q22012-04-180.15 ₽

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer.

Investment-community mentions

Substantive mentions last 7 days: 0, last 30 days: 0 across tracked channels, broker research and shows. 9 passing mentions (digests, calendars) hidden.

Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.

Corporate events

15.07.26Filing★ ▼ Совершение подконтрольной эмитенту организацией существенной сделки
ПАО «Селигдар» заключило крупную сделку с ООО «Самолазовское», в рамках которой подписан Договор поручительства для обеспечения обязательств по синдицированному кредиту на сумму до 50 млрд. руб. Сумма сделки составляет 90 млрд. руб., что соответствует 42,25% от стоимости активов компании на 31.12.2025.
15.07.26Filing★ ▼ Совершение эмитентом существенной сделки
ПАО «Селигдар» заключило крупную сделку по предоставлению синдицированного кредита на сумму до 50 млрд. руб. и соглашений о комиссиях на сумму до 2 млрд. руб. Сроки погашения кредитов варьируются от 36 до 60 месяцев, а сделка составляет 42,25% от стоимости активов компании на 31.12.2025.
23.04.26Filing★ ▲ Присвоение или изменение рейтинга эмиссионных ценных бумаг эмитента рейтинговым агентством или иной организацией на основании договора
29.07.26AGM / BoardРешения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета)
Совет директоров ПАО «Селигдар» утвердил Климатическую политику компании на заседании 28.07.2026. Все 9 членов совета проголосовали 'ЗА' принятие решения.
09.07.26BuybackПриобретение лицом права распоряжаться определенным количеством голосов, приходящихся на голосующие акции (доли), составляющие уставный капитал эмитента
Лицо приобрело право прямого распоряжения 85 561 550 голосами (8,31%) акций ПАО «Селигдар», увеличив свою долю с 35 561 550 голосов (3,45%). Дата наступления события 09.07.2026.
15.06.26AGM / BoardРешения общих собраний участников (акционеров)
На годовом собрании акционеров ПАО «Селигдар» 10 июня 2026 года было принято решение не выплачивать дивиденды по результатам 2025 года, оставив чистую прибыль в размере 2,17 млрд. руб. нераспределенной. Также избран новый Совет директоров и назначена аудиторская организация ООО «ФБК» для проведения аудита за 2026 год.
21.04.26Material eventИнформация об иных событиях (действиях), оказывающих, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость или котировки его ценных бумаг

Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Seligdar (SELG) — from primary filings.

Frequently asked questions

What is Seligdar (SELG)'s EV/EBITDA?
Seligdar (SELG) trades at 6.2x EV/EBITDA.
What is Seligdar (SELG)'s P/B ratio?
Seligdar (SELG) trades at a P/B of 3.8x.
What is Seligdar (SELG)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Seligdar (SELG)'s ROE is -108.5%.
What is Seligdar (SELG)'s market capitalization?
Seligdar (SELG)'s market cap is 40.1 bn RUB.

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