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Anglo American (AGL) USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
42-year reserve lifeLoss-making last FYCommodity price -6% vs 1-yr · +9% vs 3-yrPriced above model value

Sector: Diversified mining

ZA_AGL

Price chart

886.08 ZARDay 1.58%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
886.08 ZAR · 1.58%
Market cap
62.0 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
4.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
3.4%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
P/B (FY)
3.4x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
11.1x

Cash return

Dividend yield
0.7%
FCF yield (LTM)
3.4%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
314.6 mln ZAR

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/AGL.JO

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB USDOperating profitB USDD&AB USDEBITDAB USDNet profitB USDOperating CFB USDCapex + M&AB USDAssetsB USDEquityB USDROE (annualized)Net debtB USDSource
2025-12-31FY 2025 (12M)OK18.5
y/y 4.5%
4.0
y/y 2.4%
2.3
y/y 5.2%
6.3
y/y 3.4%
-3.7
y/y
5.5-3.456.0
y/y -13.7%
18.0
y/y -13.4%
-19.3%8.1
2024-12-31FY 2024 (12M)OK17.7
y/y -42.1%
3.9
y/y -40.1%
2.2
y/y -18.5%
6.1
y/y -33.8%
-3.1
y/y -1184.1%
8.1-4.164.9
y/y -2.5%
20.8
y/y -17.1%
-13.4%9.5
2023-12-31FY 2023 (12M)OK30.7
y/y
6.5
y/y
2.7
y/y
9.2
y/y
0.3
y/y
6.5-6.066.5
y/y
25.1
y/y
9.8

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

010 00020 00030 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

-60%-40%-20%0%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

01 0002 0003 0004 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

02 0004 0006 0008 00010 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Profit and cash

Profit is cash-backed
In a typical year of 2022–2025 operating cash flow came to 12.56x of reported net profit; after capex, 1.24x. Loss years (2024, 2025) are left out of the ratio.
year2022202320242025
cash flow / profit2.16x22.95x
accruals, % of assets-7.8%-9.3%-17.2%-16.5%
net debt / EBITDA 1.3x · capex 2.0x of depreciation
Read from the reported annual statements: cash flow / profit is the median of the yearly operating cash flow over net profit for the years shown; accruals are (profit − operating cash flow) / assets, the classic gap between what was booked and what was collected. A gap can be growth in working capital, capitalised costs, revaluations or profit from associates — the panel points at it, the statements explain it. Not investment advice.

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

DIVERSIFIED — go-forward Anglo = copper + premium iron ore + crop nutrients. 2024: Cu 773 kt, Fe-ore 64 Mt, PGM 3.8 Moz, diamonds 24.7 Mct. Demerging PGMs (Amplats, done 2025), selling steelmaking-coal + nickel, separating De Beers

Proved reserves
29.21 Mt Cu
2025
Reserve life (R/P)
42.0 yrs
reserves ÷ annual output
Annual production
0.69 Mt Cu
2025
Production guidance
0.75 Mt Cu

Production, Mt Cu

0.8320230.7720240.692025

Proved reserves

YearReserves, Mt Cu
202529.21
202430

Production

YearProduction, Mt Cuper day, Mt Cu
20250.69
−10.1%
0.00
20240.77
−6.4%
0.00
20230.830.00

Anglo American Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources Report 2025 (angloamerican.com): P&P contained Cu at 31-Dec-25 on production consolidation basis (Collahuasi 44% + Los Bronces/El Soldado/Quellaveco 100%) = 29.2 Mt (100%-basis 47.2 Mt, strict-attributable 22.4 Mt); Q4-2025 production report: CY2025 copper 695 kt. Earlier points: Anglo American FY2024 results + Q4-2024 production report, year ended 31 Dec 2024 (angloamerican.com). Copper 773 kt (2023: 826 kt; Los Bronces plant shutdown); iron ore 64 Mt (Minas-Rio record 25 Mt + Kumba 35.7 Mt); refined PGM 3.7-3.9 Moz; group EBITDA $8.5bn. Copper reserve ~30 Mt Cu (approx). Single-metric spot model uses copper (restructuring focus); see commodities_2024 for the full granular mix.

Key-commodity price — Iron Ore

Current 96spot vs LTM +15%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -43.1%

Main driver: Iron Ore -6% vs LTM; revenue ×1.15 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 6 291→7 704; at 5.6× EV/EBITDA → -43%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Iron Ore (rev)+30%95.92101.51110.31-6%+9%
Copper (rev)+25%14 642.2310 804.3410 910.22+36%+1%
Coking coal AU (rev)+10%248.50191.62239.39+30%+25%
Platinum (rev)+8%1 887.701 301.451 319.02+45%+1%
Palladium (rev)+7%1 353.501 174.671 209.44+15%+3%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue18 546
LTM EBITDA6 291
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)12 255
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.149 (+15%)
= Spot revenue21 303
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.057 (+6%)
= 3-year-price revenue19 594
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs12 745
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs12 745
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA8 558
= 3-year-price EBITDA6 849
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)7 704
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)5.6x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA42 775
Net debt8 089
Target market cap = EV − net debt34 686
Current market cap60 997

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -43.1%

Life of mine: 42 yrs

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 FY30 65233 596-8.8%9 19210 012-8.2%
2024 FY17 74529 484-39.8%6 0837 163-15.1%
2025 FY18 54618 394+0.8%6 2916 265+0.4%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +5% vs -42% the year before — a +46.6 pp move. 3-year CAGR -19%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -13% · 2024 -42% · 2025 +5%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 6.7x · target 75th pct (3y) 4.4x · LTM avg 7.5x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-08-19368.2399 ZAREx-dividend: 368.2399 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-03-11257.4368 ZAREx-dividend: 257.4368 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-08-20125.0172 ZAREx-dividend: 125.0172 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-03-12458.5875 ZAREx-dividend: 458.5875 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-14875.1896 ZAREx-dividend: 875.1896 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-03-13880.0811 ZAREx-dividend: 880.0811 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-161 100.9005 ZAREx-dividend: 1 100.9005 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-03-151 542.0596 ZAREx-dividend: 1 542.0596 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-172 373.5083 ZAREx-dividend: 2 373.5083 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-03-163 053.9895 ZAREx-dividend: 3 053.9895 ZAR per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Anglo American (AGL) — from primary filings.

Anglo American is a global mining company that extracts and processes copper, iron ore, and crop nutrients, with additional operations in nickel, diamonds, steelmaking coal, and manganese ore.

Frequently asked questions

What is Anglo American (AGL)'s EV/EBITDA?
Anglo American (AGL) trades at 11.1x EV/EBITDA.
What is Anglo American (AGL)'s P/B ratio?
Anglo American (AGL) trades at a P/B of 3.4x.
What is Anglo American (AGL)'s dividend yield?
Anglo American (AGL)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 0.7%.
What is Anglo American (AGL)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Anglo American (AGL)'s ROE is -19.3%.
What is Anglo American (AGL)'s market capitalization?
Anglo American (AGL)'s market cap is 62.0 bn USD.

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