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Cherkizovo (GCHE) RUB

At a glance: strengths & risks
Revenue growing (+11%)Profit growing (+51%)Margins improving (18%→23%)Cheaper than own history (EV/EBITDA 4.0 vs avg 5.4)

Sector: Agriculture & Food

RU_GCHE

Price chart

3 088 RUBDay 2.73%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
3 088 RUB · 2.73%
Market cap
130.4 bn RUB

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
12.8%
Δ EBITDA y/y
137.4%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
4.3x
3y avg: 6.3x
P/B (FY)
0.9x
P/E (ann.)
2.8x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
4.0x
3y avg: 5.4x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
3.2x

Cash return

Dividend yield
7.1%
FCF yield (LTM)
5.4%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)

Liquidity

Daily turnover (MOEX)
3.1 mln RUB

Shares: connector/market_inputs

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial results

Monetary columns are in B RUB, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueB RUBOperating profitB RUBD&AB RUBEBITDAB RUBNet profitB RUBOperating CFB RUBCapex + M&AB RUBAssetsB RUBEquityB RUBROE (annualized)Net debtB RUBSource
2025-12-31H2 2025 (6M)OK151.9
y/y 12.8%
32.1
y/y 256.4%
9.6
y/y 12.5%
41.7
y/y 137.4%
23.1
y/y 499.2%
24.0-14.0360.8
y/y 10.2%
150.8
y/y 20.5%
21.6%140.3Report (PDF)
2025-06-30H1 2025 (6M)OK136.9
y/y 9.8%
17.4
y/y -19.1%
8.0
y/y 10.6%
25.5
y/y -11.6%
7.0
y/y -56.8%
7.7-10.7339.4
y/y 13.0%
127.9
y/y 0.4%
11.0%150.1Report (PDF)
2024-12-31H2 2024 (6M)OK134.6
y/y 7.5%
9.0
y/y -58.4%
8.6
y/y 11.7%
17.6
y/y -40.1%
3.9
y/y -76.5%
16.3-31.1327.5
y/y 15.4%
125.1
y/y 4.3%
15.8%140.9Report (PDF)
2024-06-30H1 2024 (6M)OK124.7
y/y 21.3%
21.6
y/y 14.6%
7.3
y/y 11.5%
28.8
y/y 13.8%
16.1
y/y -3.4%
15.2-17.0300.3
y/y 13.1%
127.4
y/y 17.3%
26.0%114.6Report (PDF)
2023-12-31H2 2023 (6M)OK125.3
y/y
21.6
y/y
7.7
y/y
29.3
y/y
16.4
y/y
25.2-24.2283.7
y/y
120.0
y/y
28.9%101.8Report (PDF)
2023-06-30H1 2023 (6M)OK102.8
y/y
18.8
y/y
6.5
y/y
25.3
y/y
16.6
y/y
9.0-10.5265.6
y/y
108.6
y/y
98.2Report (PDF)

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (₽ mln)

050 000100 000150 0002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Year-over-year change

-50%0%50%100%150%2023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Cash flow

FCF (₽ mln)

-15 000-10 000-5 00005 00010 0002023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H22025 H12025 H2

Net debt / cash (₽ mln)

050 000100 000150 0002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Key-commodity price — Chicken broiler (RUB)

Current 232spot vs LTM +3%

Commodity price upside

The same staged build as the commodity players: revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA (min of the spot case and the spot/3-yr average) → target market cap at the current EV/EBITDA. Cash costs are indexed by RU inflation (~7%); a pure producer has no commodity cost driver to re-price.

Upside (conservative): -30% · spot -16% · 3-yr -44%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (latest FY)
Revenue288.7 bln RUB
EBITDA67.2 bln RUB
Cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)221.5 bln RUB
2 · Revenue projection
Multiplier — spot×1.02 (+2%)
= Spot revenue294.5 bln RUB
Multiplier — 3-yr prices×0.99 (-1%)
= 3-yr-price revenue285.0 bln RUB
3 · Cost projection (+ RU inflation ~5%)
Cost multiplier×1.05 (+5%)
= Cash costs232.6 bln RUB
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA61.9 bln RUB
= 3-yr-price EBITDA52.4 bln RUB
= Avg-scenario EBITDA (spot + 3-yr)/257.1 bln RUB
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg(spot, 3-yr))57.1 bln RUB
5 · Valuation → target market cap
EV/EBITDA (current)4.1x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA236.0 bln RUB
Net debt140.3 bln RUB
Target market cap = EV − net debt95.7 bln RUB
Current market cap137.2 bln RUB

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -30%

Product prices — move vs the LTM average; the 'RUB' columns include the USD/RUB move.

CommodityRevenue shareSpotLTM avg$ vs LTMRUB vs LTM (FX)RUB 3-yr (FX)
Chicken broiler (RUB)62%232.30225.83+3%+3%-1%
Lean pork (RUB)29%1 900.371 900.37+0%+0%+2%
Wheat (RUB)8%15 360.0014 958.26+3%+3%-18%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth steady →
Last-year revenue growth +11% vs +14% the year before — a -2.3 pp move. 3-year CAGR +16%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 +24% · 2024 +14% · 2025 +11%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

Dividend potential

Dividend-model upside: -22%

The payout is forecast from smoothed profit × payout ratio, capped by free cash flow (developers exempt — escrow) and floored at the recent actual dividend (companies hold payouts while profitable). Fair yield = key rate + the historical yield-spread to the rate (so growers that historically traded below the rate score higher). Upside = fair price / current − 1.

1 · Forecast dividend (per policy)
Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY)30 bn RUB
Payout ratio38%
Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) — not a cap (leverage 2.1x)8 bn RUB
Recent actual dividend (3-yr median)98.92 ₽
= Forecast dividend per share158.27 ₽
2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate)
CBR key rate14.2%
Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median)-12.5 pp
= Fair dividend yield7.0%
3 · Valuation → upside
Current price2996 ₽
Forecast dividend yield5.3%
Fair price (dividend-based)2340 ₽

Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.

Dividend history

Pay yearDividend /sh
202598.92 ₽
2024347.49 ₽
2023118.43 ₽
2022148.05 ₽
2021219.27 ₽
2020109.71 ₽
2019150.42 ₽
201895.55 ₽
Payments by period
PeriodEx-date/sh
2025 q22025-04-0498.92 ₽
2024 q32024-09-26142.11 ₽
2024 q22024-04-04205.38 ₽
2023 q32023-09-28118.43 ₽
2022 q42022-12-08148.05 ₽
2021 q32021-09-2985.27 ₽
2021 q22021-04-01134.00 ₽
2020 q42020-10-0148.79 ₽
2020 q22020-04-0360.92 ₽
2019 q42019-10-0348.79 ₽

Dividends

No dividend rows found for this issuer.

Corporate events

30.03.26Filing Дата определения (фиксации) лиц, имеющих право на осуществление прав по ценным бумагам эмитента
ПАО «Группа Черкизово» установило дату фиксации лиц, имеющих право на получение дивидендов по акциям, на 7 апреля 2026 года. Дивиденды будут выплачены по результатам 2025 отчетного года.
30.03.26AGM / Board Решения общих собраний участников (акционеров)
На годовом собрании акционеров ПАО «Группа Черкизово», состоявшемся 27 марта 2026 года, было решено выплатить дивиденды в размере 229,37 руб. на акцию за 2025 год. Также утверждены годовой отчет и финансовая отчетность за 2025 год, а состав Совета директоров определен в 9 членов.
20.07.26Material eventСобытия (действия), оказывающие, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость или котировки его ценных бумаг
ПАО «Группа Черкизово» установило S-спред для своих биржевых облигаций серии БО-002Р-04 на уровне 1,65% годовых. Это событие может существенно повлиять на стоимость и котировки ценных бумаг компании.
22.05.26AGM / BoardРешения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета)
Совет директоров ПАО «Группа Черкизово» принял решение о совершении сделок с заинтересованностью, определив их цену до 10% от балансовой стоимости активов на последнюю отчетную дату. Решение будет действовать в течение одного года.

Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.

Investment-community mentions

Substantive mentions last 7 days: 0, last 30 days: 0 across tracked channels, broker research and shows.

Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Cherkizovo (GCHE) — from primary filings.

Frequently asked questions

What is Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s P/E ratio?
Cherkizovo (GCHE) trades at a P/E of 4.3x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s EV/EBITDA?
Cherkizovo (GCHE) trades at 4.0x EV/EBITDA.
What is Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s P/B ratio?
Cherkizovo (GCHE) trades at a P/B of 0.9x.
What is Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s dividend yield?
Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 7.1%.
What is Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s ROE is 30.6%.
What is Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s market capitalization?
Cherkizovo (GCHE)'s market cap is 130.4 bn RUB.