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MX Commodity-Upside

Live paper-track since 15 Jun 2026
Today-0.6%
CAGR (backtest, from 2023)+22.6%
Sharpe0.96
maxDD-37.4%
vol24.2%
edge vs ^MXX+13.5%
avg correlation0.17
Backtest vs ^MXX
By calendar year vs MXX
YearStratMXXΔ
2026+29.3%+8.7%+20.7%
2025+61.2%+29.9%+31.3%
2024-27.4%-13.4%-14.0%
2023+28.6%+7.6%+21.0%

How it works

Mexican commodity producers by EV/EBITDA reversion upside. Equal weight.

Performance vs index

PeriodStrategy^MXXvs index
Day-0.6%-0.0%-0.6%
Week+0.2%+1.4%-1.1%
Month+10.2%+8.7%+1.5%

Portfolio (9 Oct 2026)

HoldingWeightDayupside
CEMEXCPO
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +16%.
50.0%+0.4%16%
ORBIA
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +1%.
50.0%-0.6%1%

Signal feed / trades

RebalanceSignalHoldingPrice (MXN)WeightResult
9 Oct 2026BuyORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +1%.
22.6650.0%—
6 Oct 2026SellORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
dropped out of the top ranking (entry score was 8%)
21.18—+8.0%
18 Sep 2026BuyCEMEXCPO
CEMEX
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +11%.
17.4550.0%—
BuyORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +8%.
19.6150.0%—
SellGMEXICOB
Grupo Mexico (GMEXICOB)
dropped out of the top ranking (entry score was 0%)
211.86—-1.8%
4 Aug 2026BuyGMEXICOB
Grupo Mexico (GMEXICOB)
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +0%.
215.64100.0%—
10 Jul 2026SellORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
dropped out of the top ranking (entry score was 45%)
22.53—-1.1%
4 Jul 2026BuyORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +45%.
22.79100.0%—
SellGMEXICOB
Grupo Mexico (GMEXICOB)
dropped out of the top ranking (entry score was 3%)
200.67—-5.5%
24 Jun 2026SellORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
dropped out of the top ranking (entry score was 53%)
21.56—-0.8%
15 Jun 2026
initial book
BuyORBIA
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +53%.
21.7450.0%—
BuyGMEXICOB
Grupo Mexico (GMEXICOB)
EV/EBITDA mean-reversion upside +6%.
212.3450.0%—

Prices are the frozen close on the signal date — the price at which the live paper-book starts (buy) or stops (sell) holding the position. Sell result is the price change from the position's own buy signal, dividends not included.