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Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
✓Cheaper than own history (EV/EBITDA 2.2 vs avg 4.9)✗Profit falling (-415%)✗Loss-making last FY✗High leverage (3.4x EBITDA)

Sector: Chemicals & building materials

MX_ORBIA

Price chart

21.82 MXNDay -3.45%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
21.82 MXN · -3.45%
Market cap
2.5 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
1.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
-7.2%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
—
3y avg: 38.4x
P/B (FY)
1.2x
P/E (ann.)
40.9x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
2.2x
3y avg: 4.9x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
2.0x

Cash return

Dividend yield
—
FCF yield (LTM)
151.7%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)
-83.6%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
69.6 mln MXN

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/ORBIA.MX

Financial results

Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM USDOperating profitM USDD&AM USDEBITDAM USDNet profitM USDOperating CFM USDCapex + M&AM USDAssetsM USDEquityM USDROE (annualized)Net debtM USDSource
2026-06-30Q2 2026 (3M)OK2352.0
y/y —
209.0
y/y —
-165.0
y/y —
304.0
y/y —
53.0
y/y —
87.0-4.011488.0
y/y —
2187.0
y/y —
2.8%0.0Report (PDF)
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK1963.0
y/y —
95.0
y/y —
165.0
y/y —
260.0
y/y —
-38.0
y/y —
67.0-95.011218.0
y/y —
2165.0
y/y —
-7.1%4313.0Report (PDF)
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK1875.0
y/y 5.3%
91.0
y/y -19.5%
165.0
y/y -11.8%
256.0
y/y -14.7%
-157.0
y/y -153.2%
355.0-125.011071.0
y/y 0.1%
2135.0
y/y -12.2%
-18.4%3907.0Report (PDF)
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK1966.0
y/y —
130.0
y/y —
165.0
y/y —
295.0
y/y —
-120.0
y/y —
375.0-111.011439.0
y/y —
2832.0
y/y —
-6.1%4092.0Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK1780.0
y/y 0.5%
113.0
y/y 56.9%
187.0
y/y 6.9%
300.0
y/y 21.5%
-62.0
y/y 11.4%
321.0-56.011057.0
y/y -4.3%
2433.0
y/y -6.9%
5.7%3728.0Report (PDF)
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK1771.0
y/y —
72.0
y/y —
175.0
y/y —
247.0
y/y —
-70.0
y/y —
661.0-118.011552.0
y/y —
2614.0
y/y —
2.5%2964.0Report (PDF)
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK1976.0
y/y —
178.0
y/y —
142.0
y/y —
320.0
y/y —
64.0
y/y —
218.0-182.011625.0
y/y —
2632.0
y/y —
3.3%3738.0Report (PDF)
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK2177.0
y/y —
297.0
y/y —
147.0
y/y —
444.0
y/y —
-47.0
y/y —
351.0-159.011707.0
y/y —
3231.0
y/y —
1.1%3800.0Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK2280.0
y/y —
323.0
y/y —
146.0
y/y —
469.0
y/y —
55.0
y/y —
167.0-142.011777.0
y/y —
2517.0
y/y —
—3616.0Report (PDF)

Net debt structure (leases included, IFRS 16) 2026-06-30

Short-term debt (incl. ST leases)0
Long-term debt (incl. LT leases)0
Net debt0

Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 0.0x

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

05001 0001 5002 0002 5002023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 q42025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Year-over-year change

-20%-10%0%10%20%2023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 q42025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-20002004006002023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 q42025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

01 0002 0003 0004 0002023 q12023 q22023 q32023 q42024 FY2025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Profit and cash

Profit is cash-backed
In a typical year of 2023–2025 operating cash flow came to 13.44x of reported net profit; after capex, 7.51x. Loss years (2025) are left out of the ratio.
year202320242025
cash flow / profit21.49x5.39x—
accruals, % of assets-11.5%-5.8%-11.7%
net debt / EBITDA 3.4x · capex 0.7x of depreciation
Read from the reported annual statements: cash flow / profit is the median of the yearly operating cash flow over net profit for the years shown; accruals are (profit − operating cash flow) / assets, the classic gap between what was booked and what was collected. A gap can be growth in working capital, capitalised costs, revaluations or profit from associates — the panel points at it, the statements explain it. Not investment advice.

Key-commodity price — Brent (PVC/polymer pricing)

Current 87spot vs LTM +3%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -83.6%

Main driver: Brent (PVC/polymer pricing) +11% vs LTM; revenue ×1.03 vs costs ×1.02; EBITDA 1 040→1 022; at 4.6× EV/EBITDA → -84%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Brent (PVC/polymer pricing) (rev)+28%87.1878.2980.43+11%+3%
Henry Hub gas (US feedstock/energy) (cost)-8%2.753.423.11-20%-9%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue7 852
LTM EBITDA1 040
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)6 812
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.032 (+3%)
= Spot revenue8 102
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.008 (+1%)
= 3-year-price revenue7 912
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.021 (+2%)
= Spot cash costs6 956
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.030 (+3%)
= 3-year-price cash costs7 013
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA1 146
= 3-year-price EBITDA899
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)1 022
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)4.6x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA4 730
Net debt4 313
Target market cap = EV − net debt417
Current market cap2 534

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -83.6%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth accelerating ▲
Last-year revenue growth +2% vs -9% the year before — a +10.0 pp move. 3-year CAGR —.
revenue growth by year: 2024 -9% · 2025 +2%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 1.9x · target 75th pct (3y) 9.4x · LTM avg 5.2x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2024-12-170.3571 MXNEx-dividend: 0.3571 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-09-260.3569 MXNEx-dividend: 0.3569 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-06-270.3557 MXNEx-dividend: 0.3557 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-04-190.3557 MXNEx-dividend: 0.3557 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-12-270.5353 MXNEx-dividend: 0.5353 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-09-270.5335 MXNEx-dividend: 0.5335 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-06-280.5352 MXNEx-dividend: 0.5352 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-04-190.5354 MXNEx-dividend: 0.5354 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-12-130.7799 MXNEx-dividend: 0.7799 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-09-130.1557 MXNEx-dividend: 0.1557 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-06-130.1559 MXNEx-dividend: 0.1559 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-04-110.1544 MXNEx-dividend: 0.1544 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-12-130.5223 MXNEx-dividend: 0.5223 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-09-130.4968 MXNEx-dividend: 0.4968 MXN per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Investor reporting (IR): https://www.orbia.com/investor-relations/financials/quarterly-earnings/

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. — from primary filings.

Orbia (formerly Mexichem) supplies chemical and polymer solutions, water infrastructure, precision agriculture and building technologies.

Frequently asked questions

What is Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.'s EV/EBITDA?
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at 2.2x EV/EBITDA.
What is Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.'s P/B ratio?
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/B of 1.2x.
What is Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.'s return on equity (ROE)?
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.'s ROE is 2.8%.
What is Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.'s market capitalization?
Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.'s market cap is 2.5 bn USD.

See also: Mexican Stocks (2026): Quality Value and the Nearshoring Trade · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map