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ZA Banks (potential)

Live paper-track since 6 Jul 2026
Today-1.1%
CAGR (backtest)+6.1%
Sharpe0.35
maxDD-50.3%
vol30.4%
edge vs JSE All Share-3.7%
Backtest vs JSE All Share
By calendar year vs JSE
YearStratJSEΔ
2026*-0.7%-6.4%+5.7%
2025-2.1%+37.7%-39.9%
2024+22.9%+10.2%+12.7%
2023+7.1%+4.0%+3.2%
2022+13.0%-0.4%+13.4%
2021+27.0%+24.1%+3.0%
2020-19.4%+4.1%-23.5%
2019*+0.0%-0.6%+0.6%
* partial year
⚠ current-composition backtest (survivorship-biased): today's recommended book held back in time, monthly equal-weight rebalance; a live forward track runs since inception

Performance vs index

PeriodStrategyJSE All Sharevs index
Day-1.1%-0.2%-0.9%
Week-4.3%-2.4%-1.9%
Month-8.1%-7.3%-0.7%

Portfolio (6 Jul 2026)

#HoldingWeightDayscore
1ABG
modelled potential +13%; equal weight 20.0%.
20.0%-0.7%13%
2SBK
modelled potential +10%; equal weight 20.0%.
20.0%-0.6%10%
3FSR
modelled potential +8%; equal weight 20.0%.
20.0%+0.1%8%
4NED
modelled potential +7%; equal weight 20.0%.
20.0%-0.9%7%
5CPI
modelled potential +3%; equal weight 20.0%.
20.0%-3.6%3%

Signal feed / trades

RebalanceSignalHoldingPrice (ZAR)WeightResult
6 Jul 2026
initial book
BuyABG
Absa Group
modelled potential +13%; equal weight 20.0%.
22 45620.0%—
BuySBK
Standard Bank Group
modelled potential +10%; equal weight 20.0%.
32 42020.0%—
BuyFSR
FirstRand
modelled potential +8%; equal weight 20.0%.
9 83920.0%—
BuyNED
Nedbank Group
modelled potential +7%; equal weight 20.0%.
27 36520.0%—
BuyCPI
Capitec Bank
modelled potential +3%; equal weight 20.0%.
479 44420.0%—

Prices are the frozen close on the signal date — the price at which the live paper-book starts (buy) or stops (sell) holding the position. Sell result is the price change from the position's own buy signal, dividends not included.