
Fix Price is a variety-store retailer selling household goods, food and consumables at a few fixed low price points through thousands of stores in Russia and neighbouring countries.
Sector: Retail
RU_FIXR
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): as the issuer reports it, before IFRS 16 — lease obligations are a cost, not debt, and the EBITDA beside it is on the same basis. Amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in B RUB, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueB RUB | Operating profitB RUB | D&AB RUB | EBITDAB RUB | Net profitB RUB | Operating CFB RUB | Capex + M&AB RUB | AssetsB RUB | EquityB RUB | ROE (annualized) | Net debtB RUB | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | H1 2026 (6M) | OK | 155.3 y/y 4.8% | 6.7 y/y -9.1% | 10.3 y/y 14.0% | 17.0 y/y 3.6% | 2.7 y/y -30.0% | 18.5 | -4.5 | 138.6 y/y 12.3% | 52.7 y/y -1.6% | 9.6% | 6.1 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-12-31 | H2 2025 (6M) | OK | 165.1 y/y 4.2% | 12.7 y/y -29.1% | 9.8 y/y 15.9% | 22.5 y/y -14.7% | 7.3 y/y -41.9% | 24.4 | -5.7 | 142.6 y/y 15.4% | 60.8 y/y 22.5% | 19.5% | 3.1 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-06-30 | H1 2025 (6M) | OK | 148.2 y/y 4.5% | 7.3 y/y -36.6% | 9.0 y/y 12.1% | 16.4 y/y -16.5% | 3.9 y/y -56.0% | 17.4 | -4.4 | 123.5 y/y — | 53.5 y/y — | 15.1% | 5.0 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-12-31 | H2 2024 (6M) | OK | 158.5 y/y — | 17.9 y/y — | 8.4 y/y — | 26.3 y/y — | 12.5 y/y — | 26.5 | -6.0 | 123.6 y/y -8.4% | 49.7 y/y -24.7% | — | 6.8 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-06-30 | H1 2024 (6M) | PARTIAL | 141.8 y/y — | 11.5 y/y — | 8.1 y/y — | 19.6 y/y — | 8.9 y/y — | 20.9 | -2.3 | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | -19.6 | Evidence |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 280.9 y/y — | 32.8 y/y — | 15.1 y/y — | 48.0 y/y — | 29.9 y/y — | 35.2 | -5.7 | 134.9 y/y — | 66.0 y/y — | — | -22.6 | Report (PDF) |
Quarterly values (₽ mln)
Year-over-year change
Operating and investing cash flow (OCF + ICF) (₽ mln)
Net debt / cash (₽ mln)
| year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 2.14x | 2.75x | 1.18x | 2.21x | 3.74x |
| accruals, % of assets | — | -29.1% | -3.9% | -21.0% | -21.5% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Potential discount −20% (factor 0.80)
This company's ranking potential is scaled down by a quality/governance factor from the signals below — de-prioritising 'cheap but problematic' names.
Value the company creates per year, as a % of market cap
Value created per year: +35.7%
| 1. EBITDA growth (latest quarter YoY, annualised) [EBITDA latest qtr − EBITDA year-ago qtr] × annualisation X (2026-06-30 vs 2025-06-30) = (16 961 − 16 364) × 2.32 | 1 387 |
| 2. Current EV/EBITDA (LTM) (Market cap + Net debt) ÷ EBITDA (LTM) = (40 520 + 6 144) ÷ 39 415 | 1.2x |
| 3. Target multiple (Current EV/EBITDA + 6.5) ÷ 2 = (1.2 + 6.5) ÷ 2 | 3.8x |
| 4. Cash flow (balance method, LTM) Net-debt reduction + dividends + buybacks − equity issuance = -1 169 + 10 307 + 5 − 0 | 9 143 |
| 5. Value created per year (EBITDA growth × Target multiple + Cash flow − Dilution) ÷ Market cap = (1 387 × 3.8 + 9 143) ÷ 40 520 | +35.7% |
Amounts in millions of the reporting currency. EBITDA growth is the latest quarter vs the same quarter a year ago, annualised.
Caveats:
Current 1.2x · 3-year 75th pct 2.7x
Group: Retail. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (Russia) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson | Russia | 0.1 | 1.8x | 1.8x |
| Magnit | Russia | 1.5 | 2.0x | 2.0x |
| Magazine Luiza | Brazil | 2.0 | 4.5x | 2.4x |
| Lenta | Russia | 2.5 | 2.7x | 2.7x |
| VseInstrumenti | Russia | 0.5 | 2.7x | 2.7x |
| Woolworths Holdings | South Africa | 2.2 | 3.7x | 2.8x |
| X5 Retail Group | Russia | 6.6 | 2.9x | 2.9x |
| Beluga | Russia | 0.3 | 3.0x | 3.0x |
| The Foschini Group | South Africa | 1.0 | 5.0x | 3.7x |
| Abrau Durso | Russia | 0.2 | 4.9x | 4.9x |
| Shoprite Holdings | South Africa | 11.2 | 7.0x | 5.2x |
| OKEY | Russia | 0.2 | 5.5x | 5.5x |
| Group median | 3.4x | 2.8x | ||
| Group average | 3.8x | 3.3x | ||
| This company | Russia | 0.5 | 1.2x | 1.2x |
Group median 3.4x as traded, 2.8x adjusted; this company 1.2x — a 58% discount.
Group average 3.8x as traded, 3.3x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 64% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +149% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 20.9x, Russia 3.7x, South Africa 5.0x, Kazakhstan 4.7x, India 18.8x, Indonesia 5.1x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-22; the company's own is live.
High yield on falling profit
The forecast yield is high but full-year profit fell >20% — the payout rests on past earnings and is likely to be cut. Upside is suppressed to avoid flagging a yield trap as a buy.
| 1 · Forecast dividend (per policy) | |
| Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY) | 10 bn RUB |
| Payout ratio | 96% |
| Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) — not a cap (leverage 0.1x) | 32 bn RUB |
| Recent actual dividend (3-yr median) | 0.11 ₽ |
| = Forecast dividend per share | 0.11 ₽ |
| 2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate) | |
| CBR key rate | 14.0% |
| Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median) | +13.1 pp |
| = Fair dividend yield | 27.1% |
| 3 · Valuation → upside | |
| Current price | 0.405 ₽ |
| Forecast dividend yield | 27.2% |
| Fair price (dividend-based) | 0.460 ₽ |
Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.
The number is withheld — here is why
Holding prices flat with current cost inflation wipes out modelled equity — read it as a risk signal, not a valuation
The path below is computed and shown in full, so you can see what the model rests on and where it breaks. Only the headline price and upside are hidden — those are what we do not trust.
base — LTM на 2026-06-30 (H1)
| Metric, RUB mln | LTM, actual 12m to 30.06.2026 | 2027 12m to 30.06 | 2028 12m to 30.06 | 2029 12m to 30.06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 320.4 bn | 336.8 bn | 355.8 bn | 376.9 bn |
| Revenue growth | — | +5% | +6% | +6% |
| EBITDA | 39.4 bn | 33.7 bn | 34.3 bn | 34.8 bn |
| EBITDA margin | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| less D&A | 20.1 bn | 20.7 bn | 21.4 bn | 22.1 bn |
| EBIT | 19.3 bn | 13.0 bn | 12.9 bn | 12.7 bn |
| less net interest | — | 1.0 bn | 2.5 bn | 3.5 bn |
| less tax | — | 3.0 bn | 2.6 bn | 2.3 bn |
| Net profit | 10.0 bn | 9.0 bn | 7.8 bn | 6.9 bn |
| Capex | 10.2 bn | 16.5 bn | 17.1 bn | 17.7 bn |
| Capex to revenue | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Free cash flow | 32.7 bn operating cash flow less capex | 17.1 bn | 15.7 bn | 14.7 bn |
| Net debt | 6.1 bn | 20.0 bn | 31.4 bn | 44.4 bn |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.2x | 0.6x | 0.9x | 1.3x |
| Dividend per share | 0.110 ₽ | 0.110 ₽ | 0.060 ₽ | 0.050 ₽ |
| Revenue-growth source | weight | growth: yr 1 · 2 · 3 |
|---|---|---|
| Realised pace (acceleration/deceleration) LTM YoY +4%; acceleration +0.0pp LTM г/г по отчётности | 100% | +5% · +6% · +6% |
| Exit multiple | EV/EBITDA 1.18x (1.00x…1.73x) |
| No re-rating: min(current 1.2x, three-year median 2.1x). Re-rating to 1.7x on a falling rate is the bull case | |
| Second valuation: discounted cash flow | 1.54 ₽ (discount 13.1%, terminal growth 4.0%) |
| 76% of that value sits beyond the three-year horizon | |
| Key rate by year | 13.2% · 9.8% · 8.1% (averaged over the 12 months to each model year end, not over the calendar year) |
| Cost inflation | 6.2% · 5.6% · 5.3% |
| Dividend policy | 96% of net profit, capped by cash flow |
| EBITDA calibration | ×0.85 |
| Year-3 EBITDA margin target | 10.9% |
| Current CPI (actual) | 6.3%, на 2026-09-30 |
| Capex | capex/revenue intensity held at the base level, floored at 80% of D&A: growth may need no new plant, but wear still does |
| D&A | grows slower than revenue — elasticity 0.6: assets outlive the sales they carry |
| Interest | gross debt × (that year's key rate + 1.5pp) less cash yield at 0.85 of the rate. Debt is refinanced at par; free cash after dividends accumulates and cuts net debt |
| Tax | 25% of pre-tax profit when positive; losses earn no tax credit |
| Working capital | neutral: FCF = EBITDA − capex − interest − tax |
| Governance | quality multiplier 0.80 — flags: dividend_decline; the model's dividend is cut 20% by penalties measured on distributions |
| Historical forecast check | obs | median error | bias | ±20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5 | 4% | 1.03x | 100% |
| EBITDA | 5 | 18% | 1.18x | 60% |
| Net profit | 5 | 33% | 1.33x | 20% |
The model is anchored at each past reporting date with only the data available then, and its one-year-ahead forecast is compared with the actual. Rates and inflation are actuals, so this checks the operating forecast, not macro guessing.
Independent one-year estimates: eninvs Company_Forecast — 0.938 ₽; Frontier див-модель — 0.460 ₽. Ours on the same horizon — 0.200 ₽. Dropped as broken: eninvs DividendPrediction (2.978e-11)
A forecast, not investment advice. Related-market prices are held at today's level, so the model answers what the business earns and is worth if markets stay here — it does not predict prices.
Paid, trailing 12-mo: 0.11 RUB/sh · 27.2%
| Pay year | Dividend /sh | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.11 ₽ | |
| 2024 | 45.15 ₽ | |
| 2022 | 6.80 ₽ | |
| 2021 | 11.50 ₽ |
| Period | Last day to buy | /sh |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 q2 | 2026-05-18 | 0.11 ₽ |
| 2024 q4 | 2024-12-12 | 35.31 ₽ |
| 2024 q1 | 2024-01-25 | 9.84 ₽ |
| 2022 q2 | 2022-05-25 | 6.80 ₽ |
| 2021 q3 | 2021-09-22 | 11.50 ₽ |
No dividend rows found for this issuer.
Substantive mentions last 7 days: 0, last 30 days: 0 across tracked channels, broker research and shows. 1 passing mentions (digests, calendars) hidden.
Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.
| 13.07.26 | Buyback | ★ ▲ Приобретение подконтрольной эмитенту организацией голосующих акций (долей) эмитента или депозитарных расписок на акции эмитента Компания ПАО 'Фикс Прайс' приобрела 93,9 млн. голосующих акций, увеличив свою долю до 144,1 млн. акций. Приобретение произошло на Московской Бирже 11.07.2026. |
| 12.05.26 | Filing | ★ Дата определения (фиксации) лиц, имеющих право на осуществление прав по ценным бумагам эмитента ПАО 'Фикс Прайс' установило дату фиксирования лиц, имеющих право на получение дивидендов за 1 квартал 2026 года на 19 мая 2026 года. Дивиденды будут выплачены по обыкновенным акциям с регистрационным номером 1-01-08699-G. |
| 20.10.26 | AGM / Board | Решения общих собраний участников (акционеров) На внеочередном общем собрании акционеров ПАО 'Фикс Прайс' 15 октября 2026 года было принято решение об утверждении Устава и Положения об Общем собрании акционеров в новых редакциях. Кворум был обеспечен, за каждое из решений проголосовало более 99,9% акционеров. |
| 09.09.26 | Material event | События (действия), оказывающие, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость или котировки его ценных бумаг ПАО 'Фикс Прайс' вынесет на общее собрание акционеров вопросы об утверждении нового Устава и Положения об Общем собрании. Дата собрания - 09.09.2026. Обыкновенные акции компании имеют регистрационный номер 1-01-08699-G и ISIN RU000A10B5G8. |
| 09.09.26 | AGM / Board | Решения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета) Совет директоров ПАО «Фикс Прайс» на заседании 09.09.2026 утвердил три политики: внутреннего контроля, управления рисками и внутреннего аудита. Все решения были приняты единогласно с 9 голосами 'ЗА'. Обыкновенные акции компании имеют регистрационный номер 1-01-08699-G. |
Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Fix Price (FIXR) — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map