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Evolution Mining AUD

Update

Sector: Gold mining

AU_EVN

Price chart

12.15 AUDDay -3.65%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
12.15 AUD · -3.65%
Market cap
24.2 bn AUD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
37.5%
Δ EBITDA y/y
151.0%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
60.4x
3y avg: 26.4x
P/B (FY)
4.9x
P/E (ann.)
15.8x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
26.2x
3y avg: 8.0x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
7.9x

Cash return

Dividend yield
2.8%
FCF yield (LTM)
4.2%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the 3-yr-average EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-55.6%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
55.4 mln AUD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/EVN.AX

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in M AUD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM AUDOperating profitM AUDD&AM AUDEBITDAM AUDNet profitM AUDOperating CFM AUDCapex + M&AM AUDAssetsM AUDEquityM AUDROE (annualized)Net debtM AUDSource
2025-12-31H1 2025 (6M)OK-1557.1
y/y 37.5%
-236.4
y/y 101.0%
-23.9
y/y 1105.1%
-260.3
y/y 151.0%
-159.6
y/y 110.0%
-715.3570.810021.9
y/y 9.5%
5633.0
y/y 27.2%
29.0%462.3—
2025-06-30H2 2025 (6M)OK2318.6
y/y —
837.4
y/y —
367.8
y/y —
1205.1
y/y —
561.1
y/y —
1133.7-614.19637.2
y/y 9.3%
4957.3
y/y 19.7%
19.7%982.7—
2024-12-31H1 2024 (6M)OK-1271.1
y/y —
-318.3
y/y —
-634.0
y/y —
-952.2
y/y —
-57.2
y/y —
-448.5356.09153.1
y/y —
4429.1
y/y —
17.0%1484.9—
2024-06-30FY 2024 (12M)OK3304.0
y/y 44.5%
913.0
y/y 130.0%
665.1
y/y 27.2%
1578.1
y/y 71.6%
422.3
y/y 158.3%
1281.4-918.38818.8
y/y 30.6%
4142.2
y/y 25.7%
11.4%1520.3—
2023-06-30FY 2023 (12M)OK2285.9
y/y —
397.0
y/y —
522.8
y/y —
919.8
y/y —
163.5
y/y —
735.3-838.76752.4
y/y —
3294.9
y/y —
—1717.3—
Data quality No obvious scale, balance-sheet, or cash-flow sanity issues in the displayed periods.

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (AUD mln)

01 0002 0003 0004 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

0%20%40%60%80%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

FCF (AUD mln)

-500-25002505007502023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Net debt / cash (AUD mln)

05001 0001 5002023 H12023 FY2024 H12024 FY2025 H12025 FY

Key-commodity price — Gold

Current 4 126spot vs LTM -0%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -23.3%

Main driver: Gold -3% vs LTM; revenue ×1.00 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 2 376→1 833; at 10.4× EV/EBITDA → -23%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Gold (rev)+82%4 126.454 246.023 157.77-3%-26%
Copper (rev)+15%13 752.1212 244.6610 658.98+12%-13%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue4 065
LTM EBITDA2 376
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)1 689
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×0.995 (-0%)
= Spot revenue4 047
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×0.770 (-23%)
= 3-year-price revenue3 132
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs1 757
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs1 757
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA2 290
= 3-year-price EBITDA1 375
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)1 833
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)10.4x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA19 056
Net debt462
Target market cap = EV − net debt18 594
Current market cap24 247

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -23.3%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 FY2 2862 018+13.3%845842+0.3%
2024 FY3 3042 561+29.0%1 4271 062+34.4%
2025 FY4 3514 330+0.5%1 7792 378-25.2%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth +32% vs +45% the year before — a -12.8 pp move. 3-year CAGR +28%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 +11% · 2024 +45% · 2025 +32%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 10.5x · target 75th pct (3y) 24.5x · LTM avg 10.6x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-03-020.2 AUDEx-dividend: 0.2 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-09-030.13 AUDEx-dividend: 0.13 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-03-030.07 AUDEx-dividend: 0.07 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-290.05 AUDEx-dividend: 0.05 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-260.02 AUDEx-dividend: 0.02 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-300.02 AUDEx-dividend: 0.02 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-270.02 AUDEx-dividend: 0.02 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-300.03 AUDEx-dividend: 0.03 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-02-270.03 AUDEx-dividend: 0.03 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-08-300.05 AUDEx-dividend: 0.05 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)