
Sector: Oil sands & refining
Geography: Canada (Alberta oil sands), UK North Sea, US
COMM_SU
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/SU
Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueB USD | Operating profitB USD | D&AB USD | EBITDAB USD | Net profitB USD | Operating CFB USD | Capex + M&AB USD | AssetsB USD | EquityB USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtB USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Q3 2026 (3M) | PARTIAL | 14.8 y/y 50.6% | 3.8 y/y 114.3% | 0.8 y/y 64.0% | 5.8 y/y 93.3% | 2.7 y/y 131.1% | 4.4 | -0.1 | 68.8 y/y 7.0% | 35.0 y/y 8.0% | 31.5% | 1.2 | Link |
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 13.7 y/y 48.3% | 3.8 y/y 277.9% | 1.2 y/y -0.2% | 5.0 y/y 124.1% | 2.7 y/y 227.3% | 4.1 | -1.0 | 66.6 y/y 2.7% | 33.8 y/y 3.8% | 32.2% | 3.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 11.2 y/y — | 2.1 y/y — | 1.3 y/y — | 3.4 y/y — | 1.5 y/y — | 1.8 | -0.8 | 66.6 y/y — | 32.8 y/y — | 18.7% | 4.9 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 9.1 y/y — | 1.3 y/y — | 1.3 y/y — | 2.6 y/y — | 1.1 y/y — | 2.8 | -1.1 | 64.3 y/y -1.8% | 32.3 y/y -0.6% | 13.1% | 4.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 9.8 y/y — | 1.8 y/y — | 1.3 y/y — | 3.0 y/y — | 1.2 y/y — | 2.7 | -1.1 | 64.3 y/y — | 32.4 y/y — | 14.4% | 5.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 9.2 y/y — | 1.0 y/y — | 1.2 y/y — | 2.2 y/y — | 0.8 y/y — | 2.1 | -1.2 | 64.8 y/y — | 32.6 y/y — | 10.1% | 5.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 40.1 y/y 3.6% | — y/y — | 5.1 y/y 6.5% | 11.1 y/y -12.4% | 4.4 y/y -28.5% | — | — | 65.6 y/y -0.1% | 32.5 y/y 1.3% | 13.6% | — | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 38.7 y/y — | — y/y — | 4.8 y/y — | 12.6 y/y — | 6.1 y/y — | — | — | 65.6 y/y — | 32.1 y/y — | — | — | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 396 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 6 480 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 5 641 |
| Net debt | 1 235 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 0.1x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
Cash flow (OCF + ICF; OCF − capex when ICF is unavailable) ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Reserves, mln boe (2P) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 440 |
| 2024 | 6 265 |
| Year | Production, mln boe | per day, mln boe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 313.90 | 0.86 |
Company reports: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/311337/000110465926009841/su-20251231xex99d1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/311337/000110465926020411/su-20251231xex99d1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/311337/000110465926090542/su-20260804xex99d1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/311337/000110465926090544/su-20260804xex99d1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/311337/000110465926122233/su-ex99d1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/311337/000110465926122236/su-ex99d1.htm
Current 89spot vs LTM +4%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +31.9% ▲ +0.0 pp 1d
Main driver: WTI Crude Oil +15% vs LTM; revenue ×1.04 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 16 861→16 083; at 7.0× EV/EBITDA → +32%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (rev) | +25% | 88.92 | 77.21 | 77.01 | +15% | -0% |
| US Crack Spread (oil refining) (rev) | +8% | 45.10 | 43.35 | 32.54 | +4% | -25% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 48 850 |
| LTM EBITDA | 16 861 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 31 990 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.041 (+4%) |
| = Spot revenue | 50 860 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.979 (-2%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 47 844 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 33 269 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 33 269 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 17 591 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 14 575 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 16 083 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) | 7.0x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 112 583 |
| Net debt | 1 235 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 112 497 |
| Current market cap | 85 302 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +31.9%
Life of mine: 24 yrs
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 FY | 31 189 | 23 262 | +34.1% | 9 109 | 6 397 | +42.4% |
| 2022 FY | 48 333 | 36 552 | +32.2% | 16 213 | 13 589 | +19.3% |
| 2023 FY | 38 689 | 45 592 | -15.1% | 12 616 | 12 187 | +3.5% |
| 2024 FY | 40 069 | 37 580 | +6.6% | 11 054 | 10 462 | +5.7% |
| 2025 FY | 37 483 | 38 850 | -3.5% | 10 637 | 8 675 | +22.6% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 4.6x · target 75th pct (3y) 12.4x · LTM avg 5.6x
Group: energy (global). Every peer trades on the same market, so no adjustment is needed.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equinor | global | 111.7 | 2.6x |
| Petrobras | global | 118.2 | 4.5x |
| TotalEnergies | global | 204.0 | 4.6x |
| Shell | global | 294.7 | 4.7x |
| Valero Energy | global | 105.9 | 5.4x |
| Marathon Petroleum | global | 112.9 | 5.6x |
| ConocoPhillips | global | 168.2 | 6.2x |
| Chevron | global | 432.2 | 7.6x |
| Eni | global | 87.1 | 8.1x |
| Exxon Mobil | global | 701.5 | 8.7x |
| Phillips 66 | global | 103.3 | 9.3x |
| Imperial Oil | global | 62.2 | 11.0x |
| Group median | 5.9x | ||
| Group average | 6.5x | ||
| This company | global | 85.3 | 5.1x |
Group median 5.9x; this company 5.1x — a 12% discount.
Group average 6.5x; against the average this company is at a 21% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +15% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 18.7x, Russia 4.0x, South Africa 5.7x, Kazakhstan 6.1x, India 19.3x, Indonesia 5.2x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-11-15; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 0.435 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.435 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-06-04 | 0.432 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.432 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-03-04 | 0.439 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.439 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-06-04 | 0.415 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.415 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-03-04 | 0.393 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.393 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-12-03 | 0.406 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.406 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-09-04 | 0.402 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.402 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-06-04 | 0.4 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.4 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.401 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.401 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-11-30 | 0.401 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.401 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-08-31 | 0.384 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.384 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-06-02 | 0.387 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.387 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-03-02 | 0.382 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.382 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.387 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.387 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.358 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.358 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-06-02 | 0.371 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.371 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-03-03 | 0.332 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.332 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2021-12-02 | 0.328 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.328 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Suncor Energy — from primary filings.
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