
Sector: Chemicals
RU_PHOR
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueB USD | Operating profitB USD | D&AB USD | EBITDAB USD | Net profitB USD | Operating CFB USD | Capex + M&AB USD | AssetsB USD | EquityB USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtB USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 1.8 y/y -17.5% | 0.2 y/y -58.2% | 0.2 y/y 11.2% | 0.4 y/y -44.0% | 0.0 y/y -99.5% | 0.2 | -17.9 | 9.5 y/y 14.5% | 3.4 y/y 14.7% | 0.4% | 334.0 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 1.8 y/y -3.5% | 0.3 y/y -54.8% | 0.1 y/y 20.2% | 0.4 y/y -42.7% | 0.3 y/y -5.6% | 0.3 | -19.6 | 9.3 y/y 12.1% | 3.4 y/y 45.6% | 49.8% | 331.8 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 2.0 y/y 10.6% | 0.6 y/y 2.3% | 0.1 y/y 13.1% | 0.7 y/y 4.4% | 0.3 y/y 77.6% | 0.6 | -15.7 | 8.6 y/y 2.7% | 3.1 y/y 36.0% | 12.0% | 304.2 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 2.0 y/y 13.8% | 0.5 y/y 37.4% | 0.1 y/y 4.9% | 0.6 y/y 28.9% | 0.4 y/y -19.7% | 0.5 | -15.2 | 8.4 y/y 1.4% | 3.2 y/y 38.7% | 50.5% | 265.5 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 2.2 y/y 33.6% | 0.5 y/y 30.2% | 0.1 y/y 8.0% | 0.7 y/y 25.0% | 0.7 y/y 154.1% | 0.5 | -16.8 | 8.3 y/y 10.4% | 3.0 y/y 24.7% | 101.1% | 282.8 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-12-31 | Q4 2024 (3M) | OK | 1.9 y/y 22.6% | 0.6 y/y 89.0% | 0.1 y/y 5.2% | 0.8 y/y 67.4% | 0.3 y/y -33.1% | 0.6 | -20.5 | 8.3 y/y 12.7% | 2.3 y/y 8.7% | 51.8% | 345.3 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-09-30 | Q3 2024 (3M) | OK | 1.8 y/y 11.5% | 0.6 y/y -14.4% | 0.1 y/y 12.0% | 0.7 y/y -10.4% | 0.2 y/y -25.7% | 0.6 | -18.9 | 8.4 y/y 20.7% | 2.3 y/y 0.8% | 9.3% | 307.9 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-06-30 | Q2 2024 (3M) | OK | 1.7 y/y 26.6% | 0.4 y/y -21.1% | 0.1 y/y 17.9% | 0.5 y/y -13.6% | 0.5 y/y 158.3% | 0.4 | -20.6 | 8.3 y/y 23.8% | 2.3 y/y 14.1% | 82.8% | 269.3 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-03-31 | Q1 2024 (3M) | OK | 1.7 y/y 2.7% | 0.4 y/y -37.3% | 0.1 y/y 18.3% | 0.5 y/y -29.5% | 0.3 y/y -33.2% | 0.4 | -15.2 | 7.5 y/y 5.5% | 2.4 y/y 2.9% | 46.6% | 273.4 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-12-31 | Q4 2023 (3M) | OK | 1.6 y/y — | 0.3 y/y — | 0.1 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 0.3 | -24.1 | 7.4 y/y — | 2.1 y/y — | 55.3% | 273.1 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-09-30 | Q3 2023 (3M) | OK | 1.6 y/y — | 0.6 y/y — | 0.1 y/y — | 0.8 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.6 | -14.2 | 6.9 y/y — | 2.2 y/y — | 13.4% | 242.3 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-06-30 | Q2 2023 (3M) | OK | 1.4 y/y — | 0.5 y/y — | 0.1 y/y — | 0.6 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.5 | -15.5 | 6.7 y/y — | 2.0 y/y — | 34.7% | 244.3 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-03-31 | Q1 2023 (3M) | OK | 1.6 y/y — | 0.7 y/y — | 0.1 y/y — | 0.8 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 0.7 | -10.4 | 7.1 y/y — | 2.3 y/y — | — | 209.7 | Report (PDF) |
Quarterly values (₽ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF (₽ mln)
Net debt / cash (₽ mln)
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
Fertilizers / Phosphate
| Year | Production, Mt |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 12.20 +3.4% |
| 2024 | 11.80 +4.4% |
| 2023 | 11.30 |
PhosAgro FY2025 results (phosagro.com): agrochemical product output 12.2 Mt (+4% YoY); reported cumulative YTD (Q1 3.11, H1 6.12, 9M 9.15 Mt -> implied Q4 ~3.05). FY2024 11.8 Mt. Apatite ore reserves disclosed as ore tonnage only.
Current 778spot vs LTM +9%
The same staged build as the commodity players: revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA (min of the spot case and the spot/3-yr average) → target market cap at the current EV/EBITDA. Cash costs are indexed by RU inflation (~7%); a pure producer has no commodity cost driver to re-price.
Upside (conservative): -35% · spot -14% · 3-yr -56%
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (latest FY) | |
| Revenue | 573.6 bln RUB |
| EBITDA | 176.3 bln RUB |
| Cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 397.3 bln RUB |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Multiplier — spot | ×1.00 (+0%) |
| = Spot revenue | 575.7 bln RUB |
| Multiplier — 3-yr prices | ×0.91 (-9%) |
| = 3-yr-price revenue | 524.5 bln RUB |
| 3 · Cost projection (+ RU inflation ~5%) | |
| Cost multiplier | ×1.05 (+5%) |
| = Cash costs | 417.2 bln RUB |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 158.5 bln RUB |
| = 3-yr-price EBITDA | 107.3 bln RUB |
| = Avg-scenario EBITDA (spot + 3-yr)/2 | 132.9 bln RUB |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg(spot, 3-yr)) | 132.9 bln RUB |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| EV/EBITDA (current) | 6.4x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 846.7 bln RUB |
| Net debt | 331.8 bln RUB |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 515.0 bln RUB |
| Current market cap | 791.2 bln RUB |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -35%
Product prices — move vs the LTM average; the 'RUB' columns include the USD/RUB move.
| Commodity | Revenue share | Spot | LTM avg | $ vs LTM | RUB vs LTM (FX) | RUB 3-yr (FX) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAP China | 32% | 778.00 | 717.03 | +8% | +9% | -6% |
| North America Fertilizer Index | 28% | 743.34 | 760.53 | -2% | -2% | -14% |
| Urea (FOB China) | 11% | 403.50 | 511.62 | -21% | -21% | -25% |
| AN (Black Sea) | 4% | 641.26 | 573.55 | +12% | +12% | +1% |
Dividend-model upside: -26%
The payout is forecast from smoothed profit × payout ratio, capped by free cash flow (developers exempt — escrow) and floored at the recent actual dividend (companies hold payouts while profitable). Fair yield = key rate + the historical yield-spread to the rate (so growers that historically traded below the rate score higher). Upside = fair price / current − 1.
| 1 · Forecast dividend (per policy) | |
| Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY) | 67 bn RUB |
| Payout ratio | 72% |
| Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) — not a cap (leverage 1.9x) | 68 bn RUB |
| Recent actual dividend (3-yr median) | 387.00 ₽ |
| = Forecast dividend per share | 387.00 ₽ |
| 2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate) | |
| CBR key rate | 14.2% |
| Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median) | -8.0 pp |
| = Fair dividend yield | 10.8% |
| 3 · Valuation → upside | |
| Current price | 5133 ₽ |
| Forecast dividend yield | 7.5% |
| Fair price (dividend-based) | 3791 ₽ |
Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.
Paid, trailing 12-mo: 387.00 RUB/sh · 7.5%
| Pay year | Dividend /sh | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 474.00 ₽ | |
| 2024 | 552.00 ₽ | |
| 2023 | 1020.00 ₽ | |
| 2022 | 1098.00 ₽ | |
| 2021 | 558.00 ₽ | |
| 2020 | 300.00 ₽ | |
| 2019 | 249.00 ₽ | |
| 2018 | 105.00 ₽ |
| Period | Ex-date | /sh |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 q3 | 2025-09-30 | 387.00 ₽ |
| 2025 q2 | 2025-06-06 | 87.00 ₽ |
| 2024 q4 | 2024-12-19 | 126.00 ₽ |
| 2024 q3 | 2024-09-19 | 426.00 ₽ |
| 2023 q4 | 2023-12-22 | 291.00 ₽ |
| 2023 q3 | 2023-07-07 | 264.00 ₽ |
| 2023 q1 | 2023-03-31 | 465.00 ₽ |
| 2022 q4 | 2022-12-15 | 318.00 ₽ |
| 2022 q3 | 2022-09-29 | 780.00 ₽ |
| 2021 q4 | 2021-12-16 | 234.00 ₽ |
No dividend rows found for this issuer.
| 02.07.26 | AGM / Board | ★ ▼ Решения общих собраний участников (акционеров) На годовом собрании акционеров ПАО 'ФосАгро', состоявшемся 30 июня 2026 года, был утвержден годовой отчет и бухгалтерская отчетность за 2025 год. Дивиденды по акциям не будут выплачиваться. Также избраны новый совет директоров и ревизионная комиссия, а аудиторская организация на 2026 год - Юникон АО. |
| 30.06.26 | Material event | ★ ▼ Информация об иных событиях (действиях), оказывающих, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость или котировки его ценных бумаг Акционеры ПАО 'ФосАгро' утвердили годовой отчет за 2025 год и не приняли решение о выплате дивидендов. Также был избран новый состав Совета директоров и утверждена годовая бухгалтерская отчетность. |
| 02.04.26 | Filing | ★ ▲ Присвоение или изменение рейтинга эмиссионных ценных бумаг эмитента рейтинговым агентством или иной организацией на основании договора ПАО 'ФосАгро' присвоен кредитный рейтинг 'AAA(RU)' с прогнозом 'Стабильный' для биржевых облигаций серии БО-02-06. Рейтинг был присвоен 02.04.2026 на основе методологии АКРА. |
| 08.07.26 | AGM / Board | Решения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета) Совет директоров ПАО «ФосАгро» принял решение о прекращении полномочий действующего правления с 08.07.2026 и избрании нового состава из 3 человек с 09.07.2026. Все члены совета проголосовали единогласно по этому вопросу. |
| 27.03.26 | Material event | События (действия), оказывающие, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость или котировки его ценных бумаг 27 марта 2026 года истек срок для направления оферт от инвесторов на заключение предварительных договоров купли-продажи биржевых облигаций серии БО-02-06 номиналом 1 тыс. руб. каждая. Облигации размещаются по открытой подписке в рамках программы с регистрационным номером 4-06556-А-002Р-02Е. |
Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.
Disclosed in the top-10 of 5 of 17 funds, ≈102 млн ₽ combined.
| Fund | Manager | Weight | ≈Position | Δ weight m/m | Disclosure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROD ДОХОДЪ Индекс акций роста | ДОХОДЪ | 6.55% | 11 млн ₽ | — | 29.05.2026 |
| DIVD ДОХОДЪ Индекс дивидендных акций | ДОХОДЪ | 6.40% | 57 млн ₽ | — | 29.05.2026 |
| TRND Т-Капитал Трендовые акции | Т-Капитал | 5.50% | 27 млн ₽ | — | 29.05.2026 |
| SBRI Первая - Фонд Ответственные инвестиции | Первая | 5.07% | 7 млн ₽ | — | 29.05.2026 |
| SCFT Технологии будущего | Доверительная | 4.89% | 0 млн ₽ | — | 29.05.2026 |
Source: monthly fund portfolio disclosures (investfunds); NAV is daily. Disclosures list each fund's top-10 only, so absence does not mean no position. Weight changes mix revaluation with trading. Fund flows and betas live in the fund monitor on the RU region page.
Substantive mentions last 7 days: 0, last 30 days: 3 (2 positive) across tracked channels, broker research and shows. 7 passing mentions (digests, calendars) hidden.
Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.
Investor reporting (IR): https://www.e-disclosure.ru/portal/files.aspx?id=573
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Phosagro (PHOR) — from primary filings.
PhosAgro (ticker PHOR) is a Russian vertically integrated phosphate-based fertilizer producer, involved in the mining of phosphate rock and the production of phosphate fertilizers and feed phosphates.