
Sector: Natural gas
COMM_AAV
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 147.0 y/y 23.5% | 28.8 y/y 118.6% | 39.1 y/y -3.7% | 67.9 y/y 26.3% | 32.4 y/y -38.1% | 75.3 | -94.2 | 2333.1 y/y 5.3% | 1241.8 y/y 1.2% | 10.5% | 592.9 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 150.4 y/y -2.4% | 34.0 y/y — | 43.1 y/y 3.0% | 77.1 y/y 184.2% | 21.5 y/y — | 85.1 | -97.6 | 2319.4 y/y 12.4% | 1238.3 y/y 10.8% | 6.9% | 578.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 131.1 y/y — | 20.5 y/y — | 40.4 y/y — | 60.9 y/y — | 6.9 y/y — | 53.4 | -83.7 | 2242.9 y/y 9.5% | 1235.7 y/y 8.7% | 3.1% | 567.4 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 119.0 y/y — | 13.2 y/y — | 40.5 y/y — | 53.7 y/y — | 52.4 y/y — | 57.9 | -68.9 | 2216.1 y/y — | 1227.4 y/y — | 17.9% | 507.4 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 154.2 y/y — | -14.7 y/y — | 41.9 y/y — | 27.1 y/y — | -20.2 y/y — | 85.5 | -75.0 | 2062.7 y/y — | 1118.1 y/y — | -7.2% | 466.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 400.4 y/y -2.1% | 25.0 y/y -77.7% | 145.2 y/y 31.6% | 170.2 y/y -23.4% | 15.8 y/y -79.0% | 158.3 | -507.9 | 2047.5 y/y 18.0% | 1136.8 y/y -3.2% | 1.4% | 471.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 408.9 y/y — | 111.8 y/y — | 110.3 y/y — | 222.2 y/y — | 75.3 y/y — | 239.6 | -209.5 | 1735.0 y/y — | 1174.5 y/y — | — | 181.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 258 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 370 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 35 |
| Net debt | 593 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 2.4x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Reserves, mln boe (2P) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 689.20 |
| Year | Production, mln boe | per day, mln boe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28.57 +10.4% | 0.08 |
| 2024 | 25.89 | 0.07 |
Company reports: https://advantageog.mediaroom.com/2026-02-12-Advantage-Announces-Operations-Update,-Conclusion-of-Strategic-Review-and-2025-Reserves; https://advantageog.mediaroom.com/2026-03-05-Advantage-Announces-Record-2025-Year-End-Results; https://advantageog.mediaroom.com/2026-07-30-Advantage-Announces-Second-Quarter-2026-Results; https://www.advantageog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025-Consolidated-Management-Discussion-and-Analysis.pdf; https://www.advantageog.com/wp-content/uploads/Q2-2026-Report.pdf
Current 3spot vs LTM -11%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +13.6% ▼ -1.2 pp 1d
Main driver: Henry Hub Gas -11% vs LTM; revenue ×1.04 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 357→358; at 5.5× EV/EBITDA → +14%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Hub Gas (rev) | +65% | 3.01 | 3.38 | 3.12 | -11% | -8% |
| WTI Crude Oil (rev) | +15% | 93.93 | 71.96 | 76.52 | +31% | +6% |
| Propane (NGL) (rev) | +10% | 0.89 | 0.69 | 0.77 | +29% | +11% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 548 |
| LTM EBITDA | 357 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 191 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.038 (+4%) |
| = Spot revenue | 568 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.995 (-1%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 545 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 199 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 199 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 370 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 346 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 358 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) | 5.5x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 1 955 |
| Net debt | 593 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 1 342 |
| Current market cap | 1 182 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +13.6%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 409 | 520 | -21.4% | 233 | 227 | +2.9% |
| 2024 FY | 400 | 397 | +0.9% | 205 | 214 | -4.3% |
| 2025 FY | 505 | 450 | +12.2% | 258 | 247 | +4.4% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 5.4x · target 75th pct (3y) 5.5x · LTM avg 8.2x
No dividend rows found for this issuer (checked: Yahoo Finance (ex-div)).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Advantage Energy (AAV) — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map