Frontierby eninvs

Language: EN · RU

Region: KZ

GDP growth 2026 (proj.) 4.6%Inflation YoY (proj.) 10.7%FX vs USD (3y avg p.a.) +3.2%Macro: IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026 (Annex tables 1.1.2–1.1.4)

Rows are ordered partly by extraction health (share of stable periods). Hover a row for OK / partial / error counts.

📊 Statement coverage & sanity check by issuer   avg BS 65% / PL 72% / CF 40% · полное покрытие: 11/23
Fill rate of 3 statements (BS / PL / CF) over 2y + check flags
IssuerBSPLCFD&AAutofix
AIRA 11п 93 85 977/1134
KEGC 13п 100 100 6913/139
KZTO 12п 100 100 6912/120
KZTK 12п 82 90 928/1211
KMGZ 12п 95 100 6712/121
KZAP 10п 88 78 779/102
ALTYNGOLD 6п 77 90 676/620
SOLIDCORE 4п 80 80 670/45
KCEL 9п 78 93 418/920
FRHC 12п 60 83 673/120
KSPI 13п 71 71 498/136
CCBN 13п 71 51 671/130
HALYK 12п 65 62 363/124
ASBN 13п 62 54 443/130
ALMS 11п 40 80 00/110
KOZN 12п 40 80 00/120
MATN 11п 40 80 00/110
MMGZ 11п 40 80 00/110
UTMK 12п 40 80 00/120
KZIK 12п 43 38 61/122
NRBN 13п 40 31 00/130
TSBN 13п 40 29 00/130
FFIN 13п 40 28 00/130
CompanyCountrySectorDiv. %FCF Yield LTMΔ revenue (NII for banks)Δ EBITDA (assets for financials)EV/EBITDA LTMP/E LTMP/B FYROE (ann.)
Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan JSC
HALYK
KZBanks13.2%-2.0%12.7%2.7x1.2x25.9%
JSC "ForteBank"
ASBN
KZBanks7.8%71.6%49.2%9.6x2.6x28.3%
Bank CenterCredit JSC
CCBN
KZBanks68.7%20.6%2.1x1.0x32.7%
Kaspi.kz JSC
KSPI
KZBanks120.7%32.3%10.0x4.1x37.8%
Freedom Holding Corp.
FRHC
KZFinancial institutions (broker)-5.4%19.4%101.4x7.1x7.8%
National Company "KazMunayGaz" JSC
KMGZ
KZOil & gas (national oil company)1.1%2.9%-20.0%-22.6%10.2x19.4x1.7x8.7%
JSC "KazTransOil"
KZTO
KZOil transport / infrastructure9.7%10.4%26.3%6.9%3.8x9.7x0.4x4.2%
JSC "KEGOC"
KEGC
KZPower distribution (grids)5.6%-11.5%43.6%51.3%2.2x3.3x0.5x16.4%
JSC "Kazakhtelecom"
KZTK
KZTelecom0.8%7.0%39.2%19.2%3.5x3.5x0.8x20.3%
JSC "NAC Kazatomprom"
KZAP
KZUranium & nuclear fuel3.0%8.5%-0.6%-0.2%9.0x11.3x2.8x26.6%

Work in progress — needs attention

Issuers below have weak extraction, thin market data, missing valuation inputs, or extreme headline YoY/ROE. Hover the row for the checklist.

CompanyCountrySectorDiv. %FCF Yield LTMΔ revenue (NII for banks)Δ EBITDA (assets for financials)EV/EBITDA LTMP/E LTMP/B FYROE (ann.)
Air Astana JSC
AIRA
KZAirlines7.7%37.7%-59.4%12.8x1.8%
Altyn Gold
ALTYNGOLD
KZGold mining3.5%-99.8%-99.8%5.1x2.1x0.3%
Kcell JSC
KCEL
KZTelecom-8.8%-20.5%44.6%6.3x7.1x7.7%

Earnings analysis

Short take-aways from recent corporate results and commodity trends.

Kazakhstan Corporate Results: Growth & Yield Divergence

This season’s Kazakhstan corporate results reveal a stark divergence: revenue growth leaders (KASPI +273.7%, KSPI +120.7%, ALTYNGOLD +81.7%) far outpace laggards (UTMK -49.9%, KCEL -20.5%, FRHC -5.4%). Median industry growth is unavailable, but the standout sectors are gold mining (ALTYNGOLD) and digital platforms (KASPI, KSPI), while utilities (KCEL) and metals (UTMK) struggle.

Revenue growth, biggest movers (YoY)

KASPI (FY)274KSPI (Q1)121ALTYNGOLD (FY)82ASBN (Q1)72UTMK (Q1)-50KEGC (Q1)44ALMS (Q3)42KZTK (FY)220−274274
revenue YoY, %

Growth Leaders & Laggards

KASPI leads all with revenue growth of +273.7% YoY, though net profit rose only +1.0%. KSPI follows with +120.7% revenue growth, but EBITDA (+11.6%) and net profit (+0.0%) lag. ALTYNGOLD shows balanced strength: revenue +81.7%, EBITDA +97.2%, net profit +134.7%. At the other end, UTMK’s revenue collapsed -49.9% and EBITDA turned negative (-112.5%), while KCEL revenue fell -20.5% despite EBITDA +18.7%.

Decelerators & Accelerators

ASBN decelerated sharply: revenue growth slowed from -99.7% prior to +71.6% (a massive swing, but net profit fell -31.5%). ALMS also slowed: prior revenue growth +50.4% to current +42.5%, and net profit growth dropped from +225.0% to +99.5%. In contrast, KEGC accelerated: revenue growth rose from +26.9% to +43.6%, and net profit from +122.4% to +79.8% (still strong). KZTK maintained momentum: revenue +21.6% (prior +15.9%), net profit +98.1% (prior +189.5% – decelerating but high).

Dividend Leaders & Long-Term Growth

Top dividend yields: ALMS (15.6%, DPS 3453.27₸ / price 22108.0₸), KZTO (9.7%, DPS 118.0₸ / price 1211.24₸), ASBN (7.8%), AIRA (7.7%). For long-term growth, HALYK’s 3-year revenue CAGR stands at +59.0%, and KSPI’s at +47.1%, both well above the pack. KASPI’s CAGR is unavailable, but its recent +273.7% surge suggests strong momentum.

Players: growth & yield (no absolute levels)

CompanyRevenue YoYEBITDA YoYNet profit YoYDiv yield
KMGZ (FY)+12.5%-6.5%-0.0%1.1%
ASURB (Q1)+0.8%-8.1%n/m
KASPI (FY)+273.7%+1.0%
KZAP (FY)-0.6%-0.2%-3.5%3.0%
KSPI (Q1)+120.7%+11.6%+0.0%0.0%
ALMS (Q3)+42.5%+85.6%+99.5%15.6%
KZTK (FY)+21.6%+24.1%+98.1%0.8%
KZTO (FY)+14.6%+11.7%+9.8%9.7%
HALYK (Q1)-2.0%-14.6%0.0%
ASBN (Q1)+71.6%-31.5%7.8%
KCEL (FY)-20.5%+18.7%+46.3%0.0%
KEGC (Q1)+43.6%+51.3%+79.8%5.6%
MATN (Q3)-6.9%-8.2%-1.0%0.0%
NRBN (Q1)-6.2%+82.4%0.0%