
Sector: Timberlands
COMM_ADN
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 10.5 y/y -15.4% | 0.6 y/y -51.0% | 0.4 y/y -16.2% | 1.0 y/y -42.1% | 0.9 y/y -51.1% | 1.7 | — | 451.0 y/y 3.0% | 254.2 y/y 3.2% | 1.5% | 78.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 17.0 y/y -1.4% | 3.1 y/y 1.9% | 0.3 y/y 111.6% | 3.5 y/y 7.5% | 2.5 y/y -0.8% | 0.2 | -0.1 | 454.7 y/y 7.4% | 259.4 y/y 9.7% | 3.9% | 78.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 15.8 y/y — | 3.0 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 3.4 y/y — | 28.5 y/y — | 3.3 | — | 462.8 y/y 9.5% | 262.7 y/y 11.5% | 13.8% | 77.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 12.4 y/y — | 1.2 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 1.6 y/y — | 1.9 y/y — | 0.6 | -0.1 | 437.7 y/y — | 246.3 y/y — | 3.2% | 79.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 17.3 y/y — | 3.1 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 3.2 y/y — | 2.5 y/y — | -0.9 | -6.1 | 423.3 y/y — | 236.5 y/y — | 4.3% | 77.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 84.6 y/y 22.1% | 17.2 y/y 18.8% | 0.4 y/y 39.8% | 17.6 y/y 19.2% | 15.8 y/y -27.5% | 24.8 | -6.7 | 422.6 y/y -1.4% | 235.6 y/y -2.1% | 6.6% | 69.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 69.3 y/y — | 14.5 y/y — | 0.3 y/y — | 14.8 y/y — | 21.8 y/y — | 7.7 | — | 428.6 y/y — | 240.7 y/y — | — | 78.2 | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 34 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 48 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 3 |
| Net debt | 79 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 7.8x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Current 540spot vs LTM -10%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +122.9% ▲ +0.6 pp 1d
Main driver: Lumber -10% vs LTM; revenue ×0.96 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 54→51; at 11.3× EV/EBITDA → +123%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumber (rev) | +50% | 540.00 | 601.51 | 604.81 | -10% | +1% |
| Northern bleached softwood kraft (pulp benchmark) (rev) | +25% | 1 302.13 | 1 252.96 | 1 340.80 | +4% | +7% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 56 |
| LTM EBITDA | 54 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 2 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×0.959 (-4%) |
| = Spot revenue | 53 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×1.020 (+2%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 57 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 2 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 2 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 51 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 55 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 51 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) — capped at 2x current | 11.3x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 583 |
| Net debt | 79 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 504 |
| Current market cap | 226 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +122.9%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 69 | 51 | +35.4% | 32 | 21 | +54.6% |
| 2024 FY | 85 | 72 | +18.0% | 25 | 33 | -24.1% |
| 2025 FY | 62 | 87 | -28.3% | 53 | 25 | +110.7% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 11.8x · target 75th pct (3y) 11.6x · LTM avg 11.2x
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-09-29 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-06-30 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-09-27 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-06-28 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-03-27 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-12-28 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-09-28 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-06-29 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-03-30 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-12-29 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-28 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-06-29 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-03-30 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2021-12-30 | 0.29 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.29 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Acadian Timber (ADN) — from primary filings.
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