
Sector: Diversified mining & trading
Geography: DR Congo, Australia, South America, Kazakhstan
COMM_GLEN
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueB USD | Operating profitB USD | D&AB USD | EBITDAB USD | Net profitB USD | Operating CFB USD | Capex + M&AB USD | AssetsB USD | EquityB USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtB USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | H1 2026 (6M) | PARTIAL | 174.4 y/y 48.6% | — y/y — | 3.0 y/y -9.3% | — y/y — | 4.4 y/y — | 0.9 | — | 155.4 y/y — | 36.8 y/y — | 23.3% | 41.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-12-31 | H2 2025 (6M) | OK | 130.1 y/y — | 3.3 y/y -24.9% | 3.5 y/y — | 10.1 y/y -8.4% | 0.4 y/y — | 4.6 | -5.9 | 142.2 y/y 9.0% | 38.9 y/y -4.4% | — | 36.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | H1 2025 (6M) | PARTIAL | 117.4 y/y — | — y/y — | 3.3 y/y — | — y/y — | — y/y — | 1.1 | — | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | ≈ 34.1 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 230.9 y/y 6.0% | 4.4 y/y -48.9% | 6.6 y/y 10.3% | 11.0 y/y -24.8% | -1.6 y/y -138.2% | 10.1 | -5.6 | 130.5 y/y 5.3% | 40.7 y/y -6.7% | -3.9% | 34.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 217.8 y/y — | 8.7 y/y — | 6.0 y/y — | 14.7 y/y — | 4.3 y/y — | 11.0 | -4.5 | 123.9 y/y — | 43.6 y/y — | — | 29.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 18 072 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 27 184 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 3 626 |
| Net debt | 41 630 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 4.1x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 0.79x | 2.58x | — | 15.54x |
| accruals, % of assets | 2.8% | -5.5% | -9.0% | -3.7% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Production, kt | per day, kt |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 851.60 −10.5% | 2.33 |
| 2024 | 951.60 | 2.61 |
Company reports: https://www.glencore.com/.rest/api/v1/documents/static/98cf0f2a-ede7-4ced-9539-061198c3b6be/GLEN-2026-Half-Year-Report.pdf; https://www.glencore.com/.rest/api/v1/documents/static/9b103e11-72e7-40bf-ae7c-eabe57361522/GLEN-2025-Annual-Report.pdf; https://www.glencore.com/.rest/api/v1/documents/static/e44bf57f-8768-4b27-8a33-39087d02d00a/GLEN_2026-H1ProductionReport.pdf; https://www.investegate.co.uk/announcement/rns/glencore--glen/2026-half-year-report/9704840; https://www.investegate.co.uk/announcement/rns/glencore--glen/asx-secondary-listing-updated-marketing-guidance/9804222; https://www.investegate.co.uk/announcement/rns/glencore--glen/first-quarter-2026-production-report/9545193
Current 14 598spot vs LTM +11%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +13.8% ▼ -1.9 pp 1d
Main driver: Copper +35% vs LTM; revenue ×1.07 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 10 339→12 432; at 11.1× EV/EBITDA → +14%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper (rev) | +8% | 14 597.72 | 10 804.34 | 11 239.75 | +35% | +4% |
| Steam coal AU (rev) | +8% | 151.50 | 108.64 | 129.06 | +39% | +19% |
| Zinc (rev) | +3% | 3 720.80 | 2 853.14 | 3 078.25 | +30% | +8% |
| Nickel (rev) | +1% | 15 537.75 | 15 309.64 | 17 113.12 | +1% | +12% |
| Cobalt (rev) | +1% | 39 200.00 | 33 836.50 | 38 072.83 | +16% | +13% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 247 535 |
| LTM EBITDA | 10 339 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 237 196 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.071 (+7%) |
| = Spot revenue | 264 989 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×1.023 (+2%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 253 244 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 246 684 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 246 684 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 18 305 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 6 560 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 12 432 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct) | 11.1x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 137 378 |
| Net debt | 36 729 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 100 649 |
| Current market cap | 88 471 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +13.8%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 217 829 | 241 736 | -9.9% | 13 913 | 8 415 | +65.3% |
| 2024 FY | 230 944 | 215 180 | +7.3% | 8 521 | 3 085 | — |
| 2025 FY | 247 535 | 230 376 | +7.4% | 10 339 | -944 | — |
Projected EV/EBITDA 28.9x · target 75th pct (3y) 26.4x · LTM avg 11.1x
Group: materials (global). Every peer trades on the same market, so no adjustment is needed.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barrick Mining Corporation | global | 67.9 | 5.2x |
| Vale | global | 57.1 | 7.0x |
| CMOC Group | global | 52.0 | 7.4x |
| Newmont Corporation | global | 125.9 | 7.6x |
| Rio Tinto | global | 152.4 | 7.7x |
| BHP Group | global | 216.2 | 7.8x |
| Zijin Mining | global | 116.4 | 8.4x |
| Agnico Eagle Mines | global | 93.2 | 8.8x |
| Freeport-McMoRan | global | 103.8 | 12.1x |
| Nucor Corporation | global | 58.0 | 15.2x |
| Southern Copper | global | 176.7 | 17.9x |
| Wheaton Precious Metals | global | 61.8 | 24.0x |
| Group median | 8.1x | ||
| Group average | 10.7x | ||
| This company | global | 88.0 | 12.5x |
Group median 8.1x; this company 12.5x — a 55% premium.
Group average 10.7x; against the average this company is at a 17% premium. The average sits 33% above the median: Wheaton Precious Metals (24.0x) skews the group.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be -51% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 22.2x, Russia 4.1x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.3x, India 18.4x, Indonesia 4.8x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-14; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 6.2752 GBP | Ex-dividend: 6.2752 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-05-07 | 6.2895 GBP | Ex-dividend: 6.2895 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-08-28 | 3.7241 GBP | Ex-dividend: 3.7241 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-05-01 | 3.7566 GBP | Ex-dividend: 3.7566 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-08-29 | 4.94 GBP | Ex-dividend: 4.94 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-05-02 | 5.1946 GBP | Ex-dividend: 5.1946 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-08-31 | 24.044 GBP | Ex-dividend: 24.044 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-05-04 | 17.6409 GBP | Ex-dividend: 17.6409 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-01 | 20.8895 GBP | Ex-dividend: 20.8895 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-04-21 | 10.4502 GBP | Ex-dividend: 10.4502 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Glencore — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Metals & Mining Stocks (2026): Copper, Steel, Silver by Valuation · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map