
Sector: Oil & gas
COMM_IPCO
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 218.1 y/y 20.8% | 29.7 y/y 91.8% | 29.2 y/y -6.3% | 58.9 y/y 26.3% | 9.9 y/y -28.4% | 49.2 | -48.0 | 2010.3 y/y -0.7% | 908.7 y/y -5.6% | 4.4% | 502.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 191.7 y/y -5.2% | 28.7 y/y -19.1% | 30.3 y/y -3.0% | 59.0 y/y -11.6% | 12.8 y/y -21.4% | 38.5 | -70.8 | 2020.3 y/y 6.3% | 890.6 y/y -0.3% | 5.6% | 506.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 194.3 y/y — | 20.3 y/y — | 33.3 y/y — | 53.6 y/y — | -4.9 y/y — | 30.9 | -68.9 | 1977.6 y/y 1.2% | 927.0 y/y -1.3% | 3.1% | 475.9 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 180.5 y/y — | 15.5 y/y — | 31.1 y/y — | 46.6 y/y — | 13.8 y/y — | 73.0 | -98.1 | 2023.9 y/y — | 962.5 y/y — | 6.0% | 367.2 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 202.1 y/y — | 35.5 y/y — | 31.2 y/y — | 66.8 y/y — | 16.2 y/y — | 46.6 | -98.9 | 1901.0 y/y — | 893.6 y/y — | 7.1% | 305.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 913.2 y/y -4.9% | 179.5 y/y -17.9% | 138.6 y/y 24.5% | 318.1 y/y -3.6% | 102.2 y/y -40.9% | 266.1 | -435.1 | 1953.7 y/y -5.3% | 939.3 y/y -13.0% | 10.1% | 198.4 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 960.2 y/y — | 218.7 y/y — | 111.3 y/y — | 330.0 y/y — | 173.0 y/y — | 346.2 | -313.2 | 2063.0 y/y — | 1080.1 y/y — | — | -73.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 513 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 11 |
| Net debt | 502 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 2.1x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 1.78x | 2.00x | 2.60x | 6.70x |
| accruals, % of assets | -15.7% | -8.4% | -8.4% | -8.3% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Reserves, mln boe (2P) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 521 |
| 2024 | 493 |
| Year | Production, mln boe | per day, mln boe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16.39 −5.3% | 0.04 |
| 2024 | 17.30 | 0.05 |
Company reports: https://www.international-petroleum.com/download/ipc-announces-2025-year-end-financial-and-operational-results-and-2026-budget-reserves-and-guidance; https://www.international-petroleum.com/download/ipc-announces-second-quarter-2026-financial-and-operational-results; https://www.international-petroleum.com/download/q2-2026-md-and-a; https://www.international-petroleum.com/download/year-end-2025-md-and-a
Current 94spot vs LTM +30%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: -16.8% ▲ +2.9 pp 1d
Main driver: WTI Crude Oil +31% vs LTM; revenue ×1.27 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 202→306; at 9.1× EV/EBITDA → -17%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (rev) | +70% | 93.93 | 71.96 | 76.52 | +31% | +6% |
| Brent (rev) | +20% | 99.69 | 76.51 | 80.81 | +30% | +6% |
| Henry Hub Gas (rev) | +5% | 2.95 | 3.38 | 3.12 | -13% | -8% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 785 |
| LTM EBITDA | 202 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 583 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.271 (+27%) |
| = Spot revenue | 997 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×1.054 (+5%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 827 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 606 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 606 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 391 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 221 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 306 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) | 9.1x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 2 778 |
| Net debt | 502 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 2 252 |
| Current market cap | 2 706 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -16.8%
Life of mine: 32 yrs
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 960 | 1 024 | -6.2% | 330 | 377 | -12.6% |
| 2024 FY | 913 | 935 | -2.3% | 310 | 280 | +10.9% |
| 2025 FY | 772 | 805 | -4.1% | 218 | 178 | +22.5% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 10.7x · target 75th pct (3y) 9.1x · LTM avg 11.3x
Group: Oil & gas. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (global) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aker BP | global | 22.2 | 2.8x | 2.8x |
| Lukoil | Russia | 44.7 | 2.2x | 4.6x |
| Occidental Petroleum | global | 54.5 | 5.1x | 5.1x |
| Gazprom | Russia | 32.4 | 2.8x | 5.8x |
| ConocoPhillips | global | 156.7 | 6.4x | 6.4x |
| Rosneft | Russia | 51.4 | 3.1x | 6.6x |
| Chevron | global | 378.9 | 7.9x | 7.9x |
| Santos | Australia | 19.0 | 8.9x | 8.4x |
| Tatneft | Russia | 20.8 | 4.1x | 8.5x |
| Gazprom Neft | Russia | 37.0 | 4.1x | 8.6x |
| Exxon Mobil | global | 680.1 | 9.6x | 9.6x |
| Novatek | Russia | 44.5 | 7.8x | 16.5x |
| Group median | 4.6x | 7.2x | ||
| Group average | 5.4x | 7.6x | ||
| This company | global | 2.7 | 13.5x | 13.5x |
Group median 4.6x as traded, 7.2x adjusted; this company 13.5x — a 87% premium.
Group average 5.4x as traded, 7.6x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 78% premium.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be -55% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 22.4x, Russia 3.8x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.6x, India 18.5x, Indonesia 4.8x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-01; the company's own is live.
No dividend rows found for this issuer (checked: Yahoo Finance (ex-div)).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of International Petroleum (IPCO) — from primary filings.
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