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Warrior Met Coal (HCC) USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
✓Net cash balance sheet✗Revenue declining (-14%)✗Profit falling (-77%)✗Margins compressing (27%→18%)

Sector: Coal

Geography: United States

COMM_HCC

Price chart

81.05 USDDay -2.47%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
81.05 USD · -2.47%
Market cap
4.3 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
52.9%
Δ EBITDA y/y
371.9%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
31.0x
3y avg: 33.6x
P/B (FY)
2.0x
P/E (ann.)
14.7x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
12.7x
3y avg: 10.0x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
8.1x

Cash return

Dividend yield
0.4%
FCF yield (LTM)
-7.1%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)
-51.7%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
55.8 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/HCC

Financial results

Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM USDOperating profitM USDD&AM USDEBITDAM USDNet profitM USDOperating CFM USDCapex + M&AM USDAssetsM USDEquityM USDROE (annualized)Net debtM USDSource
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK458.6
y/y 52.9%
79.4
y/y —
52.3
y/y 15.5%
131.6
y/y 371.9%
72.3
y/y —
-11.7-80.12823.5
y/y 7.6%
2204.5
y/y 6.2%
13.3%31.4Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK384.0
y/y 29.1%
34.6
y/y 923.3%
56.4
y/y 44.1%
91.1
y/y 160.5%
23.0
y/y 1919.5%
76.1-104.42783.8
y/y 7.4%
2141.4
y/y 2.4%
2.7%-61.6Link
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK328.6
y/y 0.3%
20.7
y/y -47.0%
43.6
y/y 19.0%
64.3
y/y -15.1%
36.6
y/y -12.4%
104.7-124.22682.8
y/y 4.0%
2118.0
y/y 1.5%
2.3%-99.7Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK297.5
y/y -25.0%
7.7
y/y -89.1%
43.3
y/y 13.4%
51.0
y/y -53.3%
5.6
y/y -92.1%
37.5-94.32645.4
y/y 3.3%
2080.3
y/y 1.6%
1.1%-147.5Link
2025-03-31Q1 2025 (3M)OK299.9
y/y -40.4%
-17.4
y/y -111.7%
45.3
y/y 13.1%
27.9
y/y -85.2%
-8.2
y/y -106.0%
10.9-79.32623.9
y/y 5.9%
2076.8
y/y 5.0%
-1.6%-288.2Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK297.5
y/y -18.2%
-4.2
y/y -103.2%
39.2
y/y 53.2%
35.0
y/y -78.0%
1.1
y/y -99.1%
54.2-142.22591.5
y/y 9.9%
2090.8
y/y 11.5%
12.0%-318.5Link
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK327.7
y/y -22.6%
39.1
y/y -63.7%
36.6
y/y 7.7%
75.8
y/y -46.6%
41.8
y/y -51.1%
62.2-122.82580.4
y/y 16.3%
2086.8
y/y 19.6%
2.7%-416.2Link
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK396.5
y/y 4.4%
70.9
y/y -21.6%
38.1
y/y 24.9%
109.1
y/y -9.9%
70.7
y/y -13.9%
147.0-121.62560.9
y/y 14.1%
2048.4
y/y 23.3%
14.0%-543.1Link
2024-03-31Q1 2024 (3M)OK503.5
y/y -1.2%
149.1
y/y -28.9%
40.0
y/y 7.6%
189.1
y/y -23.4%
137.0
y/y -24.8%
104.1-101.72478.6
y/y 15.2%
1978.2
y/y 25.3%
28.4%-529.3Link
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK363.8
y/y —
133.6
y/y —
25.6
y/y —
159.1
y/y —
128.9
y/y —
245.1-214.02357.1
y/y —
1874.4
y/y —
26.4%-565.0Link
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK423.5
y/y —
107.8
y/y —
34.0
y/y —
141.8
y/y —
85.4
y/y —
138.6-106.52219.2
y/y —
1745.2
y/y —
6.7%-520.2Link
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK379.7
y/y —
90.4
y/y —
30.6
y/y —
121.0
y/y —
82.1
y/y —
124.5-136.12244.1
y/y —
1661.3
y/y —
20.3%-503.1Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK509.7
y/y —
209.7
y/y —
37.2
y/y —
246.9
y/y —
182.3
y/y —
192.9-68.22151.0
y/y —
1578.3
y/y —
—-536.9Link

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

02004006002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Year-over-year change

-200%0%200%400%2023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-150-100-500502023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

-600-400-20002023 q42024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q1

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

Coking Coal

Proved reserves
186.20 mln tons
2025
Reserve life (R/P)
18.1 yrs
reserves ÷ annual output
Annual production
10.31 mln tons
2025

Production, mln tons

7.1320205.9720215.8720226.9420238.33202410.3120253.502026

Proved reserves

YearReserves, mln tons
2025186.20
2024157.80
2023159.10
2022166.20
2021162.80
2020210.40

Production

YearProduction, mln tonsper day
20263.50 * (3M)
+55.2%		38 308
202510.31
+23.8%		28 244
20248.33
+20.0%		22 811
20236.94
+18.1%		19 003
20225.87
−1.7%		16 088
20215.97
−16.3%		16 364
20207.1319 540

* partial year

EI1 ___NASDAQ_press_comm (NASDAQ / SEC filings)

Key-commodity price — Coking coal (Australia)

Current 224spot vs LTM +4%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -51.7% ▲ +2.9 pp 1d

Main driver: Coking coal (Australia) +4% vs LTM; revenue ×1.04 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 338→351; at 6.0× EV/EBITDA → -52%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Coking coal (Australia) (rev)+100%224.00215.46239.91+4%+11%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue1 469
LTM EBITDA338
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)1 131
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot revenue1 527
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.114 (+11%)
= 3-year-price revenue1 635
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs1 176
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs1 176
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA351
= 3-year-price EBITDA460
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)351
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct)6.0x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA2 089
Net debt31
Target market cap = EV − net debt2 057
Current market cap4 260

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -51.7%

Life of mine: 16 yrs

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 Q2380351+8.2%121115+4.8%
2023 Q3423374+13.3%142129+10.0%
2023 Q4364482-24.6%159226-29.5%
2024 Q1504435+15.7%189177+6.9%
2024 Q2397370+7.2%10998+10.8%
2024 Q3328289+13.5%7610+663.4%
2024 Q4297298-0.0%3526+33.2%
2025 Q1300295+1.8%289+222.4%
2025 Q2298289+2.8%5114+259.3%
2025 Q3329298+10.3%6433+93.2%
2025 Q4384319+20.3%9151+77.2%
2026 Q1459395+16.1%132119+10.4%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth -14% vs -9% the year before — a -5.1 pp move. 3-year CAGR -9%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -4% · 2024 -9% · 2025 -14%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 10.6x · target 75th pct (3y) 6.0x · LTM avg 15.5x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-05-010.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-02-230.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-11-070.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-08-080.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-05-050.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-02-240.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-11-050.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-060.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-05-030.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-290.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-160.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-11-020.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-040.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-05-040.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-270.88 USDEx-dividend: 0.88 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-160.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-11-030.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-190.8 USDEx-dividend: 0.8 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-100.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-120.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-050.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-03-020.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-11-040.05 USDEx-dividend: 0.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-08-060.05 USDEx-dividend: 0.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Warrior Met Coal (HCC) — from primary filings.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports hard-coking coal used in steelmaking, operating underground mines in Alabama. It also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct of its coal production.

Frequently asked questions

What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s P/E ratio?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) trades at a P/E of 31.0x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s EV/EBITDA?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) trades at 12.7x EV/EBITDA.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s P/B ratio?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) trades at a P/B of 2.0x.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s dividend yield?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 0.4%.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s ROE is 13.3%.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s market capitalization?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s market cap is 4.3 bn USD.