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Warrior Met Coal (HCC) USD

At a glance: strengths & risks
✓Net cash balance sheet✗Revenue declining (-14%)✗Profit falling (-77%)✗Margins compressing (27%→18%)

Sector: Coal

Geography: United States

COMM_HCC

Price chart

98.2 USDDay 4.05%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
98.2 USD · 4.05%
Market cap
5.2 bn USD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
71.3%
Δ EBITDA y/y
199.8%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
23.5x
3y avg: 33.6x
P/B (FY)
2.4x
P/E (ann.)
14.8x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
11.4x
3y avg: 10.0x
EV/EBITDA (ann.)
8.2x

Cash return

Dividend yield
0.3%
FCF yield (LTM)
0.7%

Value creation

to target market cap (spot commodity model)
Upside (potential)
-30.7%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
44.5 mln USD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/HCC

Financial results

Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM USDOperating profitM USDD&AM USDEBITDAM USDNet profitM USDOperating CFM USDCapex + M&AM USDAssetsM USDEquityM USDROE (annualized)Net debtM USDSource
2026-06-30Q2 2026 (3M)OK509.7
y/y 71.3%
94.5
y/y 1123.9%
58.3
y/y 34.8%
152.8
y/y 199.8%
87.4
y/y 1459.6%
132.3-28.92900.5
y/y 9.6%
2290.2
y/y 10.1%
15.6%-167.9Link
2026-03-31Q1 2026 (3M)OK458.6
y/y 52.9%
79.4
y/y —
52.3
y/y 15.5%
131.6
y/y 371.9%
72.3
y/y —
-11.7-80.12823.5
y/y 7.6%
2204.5
y/y 6.2%
13.3%31.4Link
2025-12-31Q4 2025 (3M)OK384.0
y/y 29.1%
34.6
y/y 923.3%
56.4
y/y 44.1%
91.1
y/y 160.5%
23.0
y/y 1919.5%
76.1-104.42783.8
y/y 7.4%
2141.4
y/y 2.4%
2.7%-61.6Link
2025-09-30Q3 2025 (3M)OK328.6
y/y 0.3%
20.7
y/y -47.0%
43.6
y/y 19.0%
64.3
y/y -15.1%
36.6
y/y -12.4%
104.7-124.22682.8
y/y 4.0%
2118.0
y/y 1.5%
2.3%-99.7Link
2025-06-30Q2 2025 (3M)OK297.5
y/y -25.0%
7.7
y/y -89.1%
43.3
y/y 13.4%
51.0
y/y -53.3%
5.6
y/y -92.1%
37.5-94.32645.4
y/y 3.3%
2080.3
y/y 1.6%
1.1%-147.5Link
2025-03-31Q1 2025 (3M)OK299.9
y/y -40.4%
-17.4
y/y -111.7%
45.3
y/y 13.1%
27.9
y/y -85.2%
-8.2
y/y -106.0%
10.9-79.32623.9
y/y 5.9%
2076.8
y/y 5.0%
-1.6%-288.2Link
2024-12-31Q4 2024 (3M)OK297.5
y/y -18.2%
-4.2
y/y -103.2%
39.2
y/y 53.2%
35.0
y/y -78.0%
1.1
y/y -99.1%
54.2-142.22591.5
y/y 9.9%
2090.8
y/y 11.5%
12.0%-318.5Link
2024-09-30Q3 2024 (3M)OK327.7
y/y -22.6%
39.1
y/y -63.7%
36.6
y/y 7.7%
75.8
y/y -46.6%
41.8
y/y -51.1%
62.2-122.82580.4
y/y 16.3%
2086.8
y/y 19.6%
2.7%-416.2Link
2024-06-30Q2 2024 (3M)OK396.5
y/y 4.4%
70.9
y/y -21.6%
38.1
y/y 24.9%
109.1
y/y -9.9%
70.7
y/y -13.9%
147.0-121.62560.9
y/y 14.1%
2048.4
y/y 23.3%
14.0%-543.1Link
2024-03-31Q1 2024 (3M)OK503.5
y/y -1.2%
149.1
y/y -28.9%
40.0
y/y 7.6%
189.1
y/y -23.4%
137.0
y/y -24.8%
104.1-101.72478.6
y/y 15.2%
1978.2
y/y 25.3%
28.4%-529.3Link
2023-12-31Q4 2023 (3M)OK363.8
y/y —
133.6
y/y —
25.6
y/y —
159.1
y/y —
128.9
y/y —
245.1-214.02357.1
y/y —
1874.4
y/y —
26.4%-565.0Link
2023-09-30Q3 2023 (3M)OK423.5
y/y —
107.8
y/y —
34.0
y/y —
141.8
y/y —
85.4
y/y —
138.6-106.52219.2
y/y —
1745.2
y/y —
6.7%-520.2Link
2023-06-30Q2 2023 (3M)OK379.7
y/y —
90.4
y/y —
30.6
y/y —
121.0
y/y —
82.1
y/y —
124.5-136.12244.1
y/y —
1661.3
y/y —
20.3%-503.1Link
2023-03-31Q1 2023 (3M)OK509.7
y/y —
209.7
y/y —
37.2
y/y —
246.9
y/y —
182.3
y/y —
192.9-68.22151.0
y/y —
1578.3
y/y —
—-536.9Link

Net debt structure (leases included, IFRS 16) 2026-06-30

Long-term debt (incl. LT leases)155
− Cash & equivalents322
Net debt-168

Net debt / LTM EBITDA: -0.4x

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values ($ mln)

02004006002024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Year-over-year change

-200%0%200%400%2024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Cash flow

FCF ($ mln)

-150-100-500501002024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Net debt / cash ($ mln)

-600-400-20002024 q12024 q22024 q32024 q42025 q12025 q22025 q32025 q42026 q12026 q2

Profit and cash

Profit is cash-backed
In a typical year of 2021–2025 operating cash flow came to 1.47x of reported net profit; after capex, 0.37x.
year20212022202320242025
cash flow / profit2.33x1.31x1.47x1.47x4.02x
accruals, % of assets-13.7%-9.9%-9.4%-4.5%-6.2%
Last twelve months (to 2025-Q3): 1.37x of profit came back as operating cash flow.
net debt / EBITDA -0.3x · EBIT covers interest 4.7x · capex 2.3x of depreciation · dividends 26% of free cash flow · share count +0.6% a year
Read from the reported annual statements: cash flow / profit is the median of the yearly operating cash flow over net profit for the years shown; accruals are (profit − operating cash flow) / assets, the classic gap between what was booked and what was collected. A gap can be growth in working capital, capitalised costs, revaluations or profit from associates — the panel points at it, the statements explain it. Not investment advice.

Production & Reserves

Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements

Coking Coal

Proved reserves
186.20 mln tons
2025
Reserve life (R/P)
18.1 yrs
reserves ÷ annual output
Annual production
10.31 mln tons
2025

Production, mln tons

7.1320205.9720215.8720226.9420238.33202410.312025

Proved reserves

YearReserves, mln tons
2025186.20
2024157.80
2023159.10
2022166.20
2021162.80
2020210.40

Production

YearProduction, mln tonsper day, mln tons
20263.50 * (3M)
+55.2%		0.04
202510.31
+23.8%		0.03
20248.33
+20.0%		0.02
20236.94
+18.1%		0.02
20225.87
−1.7%		0.02
20215.97
−16.3%		0.02
20207.130.02

* partial year

EI1 ___NASDAQ_press_comm (NASDAQ / SEC filings)

Key-commodity price — Coking coal (Australia)

Current 233spot vs LTM +8%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -30.7% ▼ -1.0 pp 1d

Main driver: Coking coal (Australia) +8% vs LTM; revenue ×1.08 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 444→533; at 7.1× EV/EBITDA → -31%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Coking coal (Australia) (rev)+100%233.00215.32239.45+8%+11%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue1 681
LTM EBITDA444
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)1 237
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.082 (+8%)
= Spot revenue1 819
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.112 (+11%)
= 3-year-price revenue1 869
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs1 286
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs1 286
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA533
= 3-year-price EBITDA583
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)533
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct)7.1x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA3 802
Net debt-148
Target market cap = EV − net debt3 950
Current market cap5 697

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -30.7%

Life of mine: 20 yrs

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 Q3423374+13.3%142129+10.0%
2023 Q4364482-24.6%159226-29.5%
2024 Q1504435+15.7%189177+6.9%
2024 Q2397370+7.2%10998+10.8%
2024 Q3328289+13.5%7610+663.4%
2024 Q4297298-0.0%3526+33.2%
2025 Q1300295+1.8%289+222.4%
2025 Q2298289+2.8%5114+259.3%
2025 Q3329298+10.3%6433+93.2%
2025 Q4384319+20.3%9151+77.2%
2026 Q1459395+16.1%132119+10.4%
2026 Q2510433+17.8%157143+9.8%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth -14% vs -9% the year before — a -5.1 pp move. 3-year CAGR -9%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -4% · 2024 -9% · 2025 -14%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 9.5x · target 75th pct (3y) 7.1x · LTM avg 14.7x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-08-100.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-05-010.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2026-02-230.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-11-070.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-08-080.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-05-050.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-02-240.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-11-050.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-08-060.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-05-030.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-290.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-02-160.08 USDEx-dividend: 0.08 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-11-020.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-08-040.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-05-040.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-270.88 USDEx-dividend: 0.88 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-02-160.07 USDEx-dividend: 0.07 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-11-030.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-190.8 USDEx-dividend: 0.8 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-08-100.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-120.5 USDEx-dividend: 0.5 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-05-050.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-03-020.06 USDEx-dividend: 0.06 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2021-11-040.05 USDEx-dividend: 0.05 USD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)

Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Warrior Met Coal (HCC) — from primary filings.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports hard-coking coal used in steelmaking, operating underground mines in Alabama. It also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct of its coal production.

Frequently asked questions

What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s P/E ratio?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) trades at a P/E of 23.5x (price to trailing 12-month earnings).
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s EV/EBITDA?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) trades at 11.4x EV/EBITDA.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s P/B ratio?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) trades at a P/B of 2.4x.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s dividend yield?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s trailing 12-month dividend yield is 0.3%.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s return on equity (ROE)?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s ROE is 15.6%.
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s market capitalization?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s market cap is 5.2 bn USD.

See also: The Cheapest Coal Stocks (2026): Out of Favour, Cash-Rich, High-Yield · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map