
Sector: Oil & gas
COMM_OBE
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/OBE
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 144.9 y/y 43.0% | 41.5 y/y 228.0% | 33.5 y/y -0.7% | 75.0 y/y 61.6% | 30.2 y/y 173.0% | 27.5 | -105.4 | 1433.2 y/y 5.3% | 983.4 y/y -3.4% | 12.4% | 249.2 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 110.1 y/y — | -14.3 y/y — | 33.4 y/y — | 19.1 y/y — | -13.6 y/y — | 29.1 | -59.5 | 1413.5 y/y — | 973.1 y/y — | -5.5% | 175.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | PARTIAL | 91.4 y/y — | -6.1 y/y — | 40.7 y/y — | 34.6 y/y — | -8.8 y/y — | 30.5 | -52.2 | 1327.4 y/y -14.0% | 995.9 y/y -3.0% | 2.5% | 131.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 94.9 y/y — | 1.7 y/y — | 32.4 y/y — | 34.0 y/y — | 12.2 y/y — | 32.9 | — | 1295.3 y/y — | 1007.8 y/y — | 1.6% | 103.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 101.4 y/y — | 12.7 y/y — | 33.8 y/y — | 46.4 y/y — | 11.1 y/y — | 39.9 | — | 1361.6 y/y — | 1018.2 y/y — | 4.3% | 161.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | PARTIAL | 552.1 y/y 8.9% | — y/y — | 179.9 y/y 15.0% | 11.1 y/y -96.1% | -147.9 y/y -284.8% | 264.2 | — | 1543.9 y/y -7.4% | 1026.4 y/y -15.7% | -13.2% | — | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | PARTIAL | 506.8 y/y — | — y/y — | 156.4 y/y — | 284.3 y/y — | 80.0 y/y — | 261.4 | — | 1667.7 y/y — | 1218.2 y/y — | — | — | Yahoo Finance |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 249 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 0 |
| Net debt | 249 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 1.5x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 0.48x | 0.56x | 3.27x | — | 6.81x |
| accruals, % of assets | 15.1% | 16.0% | -10.9% | -26.7% | -11.0% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Reserves, mln boe (2P) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 158.40 |
| Year | Production, mln boe | per day, mln boe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11.18 −18.3% | 0.03 |
| 2024 | 13.68 | 0.04 |
Company reports: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1334388/000119312526038933/obe-ex99_1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1334388/000119312526058652/obe-ex99_1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1334388/000119312526058652/obe-ex99_2.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1334388/000119312526325206/obe-ex99_1.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1334388/000119312526325206/obe-ex99_2.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1334388/000119312526390284/obe-ex99_1.htm
Current 94spot vs LTM +30%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: -80.8% ▼ -0.0 pp 1d
Main driver: WTI Crude Oil +31% vs LTM; revenue ×1.27 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 165→225; at 2.0× EV/EBITDA → -81%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (rev) | +85% | 93.93 | 71.96 | 76.52 | +31% | +6% |
| Henry Hub Gas (rev) | +8% | 2.95 | 3.38 | 3.12 | -13% | -8% |
| Propane (NGL) (rev) | +4% | 0.89 | 0.69 | 0.77 | +29% | +11% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 441 |
| LTM EBITDA | 165 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 276 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.266 (+27%) |
| = Spot revenue | 559 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×1.055 (+6%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 466 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 287 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 287 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 271 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 178 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 225 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) | 2.0x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 449 |
| Net debt | 249 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 167 |
| Current market cap | 693 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -80.8%
Life of mine: 14 yrs — before haircut -76.0%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 507 | 477 | +6.2% | 284 | 336 | -15.5% |
| 2024 FY | 552 | 496 | +11.4% | 11 | 264 | -95.8% |
| 2025 FY | 409 | 494 | -17.3% | 195 | -68 | — |
Projected EV/EBITDA 78.0x · target 75th pct (3y) 1.3x · LTM avg 31.9x
Group: Oil & gas. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (global) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aker BP | global | 22.2 | 2.8x | 2.8x |
| Lukoil | Russia | 44.7 | 2.2x | 4.6x |
| Occidental Petroleum | global | 54.5 | 5.1x | 5.1x |
| Gazprom | Russia | 32.4 | 2.8x | 5.8x |
| ConocoPhillips | global | 156.7 | 6.4x | 6.4x |
| Rosneft | Russia | 51.4 | 3.1x | 6.6x |
| Chevron | global | 378.9 | 7.9x | 7.9x |
| Santos | Australia | 19.0 | 8.9x | 8.4x |
| Tatneft | Russia | 20.8 | 4.1x | 8.5x |
| Gazprom Neft | Russia | 37.0 | 4.1x | 8.6x |
| Exxon Mobil | global | 680.1 | 9.6x | 9.6x |
| Novatek | Russia | 44.5 | 7.8x | 16.5x |
| Group median | 4.6x | 7.2x | ||
| Group average | 5.4x | 7.6x | ||
| This company | global | 0.7 | 5.8x | 5.8x |
Group median 4.6x as traded, 7.2x adjusted; this company 5.8x — a 20% discount.
Group average 5.4x as traded, 7.6x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 23% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +29% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 22.4x, Russia 3.8x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.6x, India 18.5x, Indonesia 4.8x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-01; the company's own is live.
No dividend rows found for this issuer (checked: Yahoo Finance (ex-div)).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Obsidian Energy (OBE) — from primary filings.
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