
Sector: Oil & gas
Geography: Western Canada (Alberta, Saskatchewan)
COMM_SCR
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Q3 2026 (3M) | OK | 1058.5 y/y 39.1% | 285.5 y/y 53.7% | 106.8 y/y -2.5% | 392.2 y/y 32.8% | 212.1 y/y -49.0% | 390.1 | -171.6 | 6636.1 y/y — | 3398.4 y/y — | 25.6% | 587.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 1134.2 y/y 57.6% | 297.8 y/y 125.0% | 100.7 y/y -21.8% | 398.5 y/y 52.6% | 239.5 y/y 43.4% | 361.8 | -168.3 | 6459.7 y/y -29.6% | 3222.1 y/y -28.2% | 30.3% | 722.9 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 824.3 y/y 0.3% | 155.6 y/y -25.1% | 103.2 y/y -31.2% | 258.8 y/y -27.7% | 28.4 y/y -80.2% | 287.1 | -234.8 | 6535.3 y/y -18.7% | 3098.7 y/y -25.5% | 3.6% | 869.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 688.7 y/y — | -95.8 y/y — | 109.7 y/y — | 13.9 y/y — | -70.7 y/y — | 186.9 | -178.6 | 6419.1 y/y -15.9% | 3171.9 y/y -21.6% | — | 891.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | PARTIAL | 761.1 y/y — | 185.7 y/y — | 109.6 y/y — | 295.3 y/y — | 415.7 y/y — | 210.4 | — | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | ≈ 1664.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 719.5 y/y — | 132.3 y/y — | 128.7 y/y — | 261.0 y/y — | 167.0 y/y — | 269.0 | -308.0 | 9172.7 y/y — | 4485.0 y/y — | 15.5% | 1664.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 822.2 y/y — | 207.8 y/y — | 150.1 y/y — | 358.0 y/y — | 143.2 y/y — | 358.6 | -244.0 | 8034.0 y/y — | 4158.9 y/y — | 14.0% | 1727.5 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 3237.8 y/y -8.9% | 763.6 y/y 3.0% | 636.2 y/y 17.1% | 1399.8 y/y 9.0% | 439.7 y/y 1.0% | 1450.0 | -973.2 | 7630.0 y/y -3.7% | 4047.1 y/y 0.7% | 10.9% | 1711.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 3553.0 y/y — | 741.2 y/y — | 543.1 y/y — | 1284.3 y/y — | 435.1 y/y — | 1129.9 | -778.2 | 7921.6 y/y — | 4020.1 y/y — | — | 2011.2 | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 23 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 1 224 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 660 |
| Net debt | 587 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 0.6x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
Operating and investing cash flow (OCF + ICF) ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 1.07x | 2.60x | 3.30x | 1.58x |
| accruals, % of assets | -1.1% | -8.8% | -13.2% | -5.9% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Reserves, mln boe (2P) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 166 |
| Year | Production, mln boe | per day, mln boe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55.54 +37.2% | 0.15 |
| 2024 | 40.47 | 0.11 |
Company reports: https://www.strathconaresources.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Strathcona-Managements-Discussion-and-Analysis-Q4-2025-Executed.pdf; https://www.strathconaresources.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Annual-Information-Form-Q4-2025-Executed.pdf; https://www.strathconaresources.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Strathcona-Managements-Discussion-and-Analysis-Q2-2026-Executed.pdf
Current 89spot vs LTM +14%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +14.7% ▲ +0.0 pp 1d
Main driver: WTI Crude Oil +15% vs LTM; revenue ×1.14 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 991→1 131; at 6.5× EV/EBITDA → +15%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (rev) | +90% | 88.92 | 77.21 | 77.01 | +15% | -0% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 3 706 |
| LTM EBITDA | 991 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 2 715 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.136 (+14%) |
| = Spot revenue | 4 212 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.998 (-0%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 3 697 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 2 823 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 2 823 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 1 388 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 874 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 1 131 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct, realized earnings) | 6.5x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 7 330 |
| Net debt | 587 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 6 802 |
| Current market cap | 5 930 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +14.7%
Life of mine: 39 yrs
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 3 553 | 2 842 | +25.0% | 1 354 | 524 | +158.4% |
| 2024 FY | 3 238 | 3 472 | -6.8% | 1 298 | 1 186 | +9.5% |
| 2025 FY | 2 994 | 2 820 | +6.1% | 917 | 803 | +14.2% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 4.4x · target 75th pct (3y) 11.5x · LTM avg 6.5x
Group: Oil & gas. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (global) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aker BP | global | 21.9 | 2.3x | 2.3x |
| Lukoil | Russia | 43.1 | 2.5x | 4.2x |
| Tatneft | Russia | 17.1 | 2.8x | 4.8x |
| Gazprom | Russia | 33.7 | 2.9x | 4.9x |
| Occidental Petroleum | global | 58.7 | 5.0x | 5.0x |
| Rosneft | Russia | 46.2 | 3.2x | 5.4x |
| ConocoPhillips | global | 168.2 | 6.2x | 6.2x |
| Gazprom Neft | Russia | 30.7 | 4.0x | 6.8x |
| Santos | Australia | 20.0 | 9.3x | 7.4x |
| Chevron | global | 432.2 | 7.6x | 7.6x |
| Exxon Mobil | global | 701.5 | 8.7x | 8.7x |
| Novatek | Russia | 41.8 | 8.4x | 14.2x |
| Group median | 4.5x | 5.8x | ||
| Group average | 5.2x | 6.4x | ||
| This company | global | 5.9 | 6.1x | 6.1x |
Group median 4.5x as traded, 5.8x adjusted; this company 6.1x — a 6% premium.
Group average 5.2x as traded, 6.4x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 5% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be -7% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 18.7x, Russia 4.0x, South Africa 5.7x, Kazakhstan 6.1x, India 19.3x, Indonesia 5.2x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-11-15; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 0.3 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.3 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-06-08 | 0.3 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.3 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-03-20 | 0.3 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.3 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-12-23 | 10 CAD | Ex-dividend: 10 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-12-05 | 0.3 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.3 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-09-12 | 0.3 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.3 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-06-13 | 0.3 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.3 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-03-21 | 0.26 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.26 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-12-16 | 0.25 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.25 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.25 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.25 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-09-14 | 0.441 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.441 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-06-14 | 0.441 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.441 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-03-14 | 0.441 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.441 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Strathcona Resources (SCR) — from primary filings.
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