
Moscow Exchange operates Russia's main trading venues for equities, bonds, derivatives, currencies and the money market, and owns the central depository and clearing house.
Sector: Financial Services
RU_MOEX
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in B RUB, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueB RUB | Net profitB RUB | AssetsB RUB | EquityB RUB | ROE (annualized) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 35.6 y/y 15.2% | 15.8 y/y 4.7% | 13177.4 y/y 22.8% | 258.1 y/y 9.5% | 23.2% | Report (PDF) |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 33.2 y/y 16.3% | 17.2 y/y 32.2% | — y/y — | 286.1 y/y 2.8% | 24.7% | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 37.8 y/y 6.4% | 14.2 y/y -18.3% | 13027.8 y/y 7.7% | 269.1 y/y 2.9% | 22.7% | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 33.4 y/y -43.9% | 17.3 y/y -24.6% | — y/y — | 253.8 y/y 4.4% | 9.4% | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 30.9 y/y 144.8% | 15.1 y/y -22.8% | 10734.4 y/y 12.0% | 235.7 y/y 6.4% | 23.4% | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 28.6 y/y -16.0% | 13.0 y/y -32.9% | — y/y — | 278.2 y/y 15.0% | 19.2% | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-12-31 | Q4 2024 (3M) | OK | 35.5 y/y 14.7% | 17.4 y/y -13.4% | 12092.6 y/y 27.8% | 261.5 y/y 17.3% | 31.4% | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-09-30 | Q3 2024 (3M) | OK | 59.5 y/y 132.4% | 22.9 y/y 60.3% | — y/y — | 243.2 y/y 21.7% | 13.1% | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-06-30 | Q2 2024 (3M) | OK | 12.6 y/y -37.7% | 19.5 y/y 61.0% | 9584.8 y/y 27.3% | 221.5 y/y 15.7% | 33.7% | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-03-31 | Q1 2024 (3M) | OK | 34.0 y/y 46.5% | 19.4 y/y 35.0% | — y/y — | 241.9 y/y 26.8% | 33.3% | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-12-31 | Q4 2023 (3M) | OK | 31.0 y/y — | 20.0 y/y — | 9464.3 y/y — | 223.1 y/y — | 28.7% | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-09-30 | Q3 2023 (3M) | OK | 25.6 y/y — | 14.3 y/y — | — y/y — | 199.8 y/y — | 9.7% | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-06-30 | Q2 2023 (3M) | OK | 20.2 y/y — | 12.1 y/y — | 7528.5 y/y — | 191.5 y/y — | 25.3% | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-03-31 | Q1 2023 (3M) | OK | 23.2 y/y — | 14.3 y/y — | — y/y — | 190.7 y/y — | — | Report (PDF) |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Current 1.38x · 3-year median 1.72x
Current 5.5x · 3-year median 6.2x
P/B is market cap ÷ equity of the latest reported quarter, P/E is ÷ profit of the last four quarters. EV/EBITDA is not computed for financials: EBITDA is not a meaningful line for them and their net debt is operating liquidity, not leverage.
Group: Financial Services. Every peer trades on the same market, so no adjustment is needed.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | P/E |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTS Bank | Russia | 0.4 | 1.9x |
| Mosgorlombard | Russia | 0.0 | 2.2x |
| Bank VTB | Russia | 15.2 | 2.8x |
| Sovcombank | Russia | 2.8 | 2.9x |
| Sberbank | Russia | 79.7 | 3.5x |
| DOM.RF | Russia | 4.6 | 3.5x |
| Zaymer | Russia | 0.2 | 3.7x |
| Bank Sankt-Peterburg | Russia | 1.4 | 3.9x |
| TBank | Russia | 8.8 | 3.9x |
| CarMoney | Russia | 0.0 | 4.6x |
| Europlan | Russia | 1.0 | 10.6x |
| Credit Bank of Moscow | Russia | 4.2 | 15.3x |
| Group median | 3.6x | ||
| Group average | 4.9x | ||
| This company | Russia | 4.3 | 5.5x |
Group median 3.6x; this company 5.5x — a 51% premium.
Group average 4.9x; against the average this company is at a 11% premium. The average sits 36% above the median: Credit Bank of Moscow (15.3x) skews the group.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be -34% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 28.1x, Russia 6.3x, South Africa 11.2x, Kazakhstan 9.2x, India 27.1x, Indonesia 7.3x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-21; the company's own is live.
Dividend-model upside: +37%
The payout is forecast from smoothed profit × payout ratio, capped by free cash flow (developers exempt — escrow) and floored at the recent actual dividend (companies hold payouts while profitable). Fair yield = key rate + the historical yield-spread to the rate (so growers that historically traded below the rate score higher). Upside = fair price / current − 1.
| 1 · Forecast dividend (per policy) | |
| Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY) | 64 bn RUB |
| Payout ratio | 75% |
| Free cash flow (FY, OCF − capex) | 98 bn RUB |
| Recent actual dividend (3-yr median) | 19.57 ₽ |
| = Forecast dividend per share | 21.27 ₽ |
| 2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate) | |
| CBR key rate | 14.0% |
| Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median) | -9.0 pp |
| = Fair dividend yield (bank floor ≈ rate−3.5) | 10.5% |
| 3 · Valuation → upside | |
| Current price | 156 ₽ |
| Forecast dividend yield | 13.7% |
| Fair price (dividend-based) | 213 ₽ |
Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.
The number is withheld — here is why
Historical check (18 observations): median profit miss 14.8 pp of revenue, within ±5 pp in 11% of cases, relative error 53% at bias 0.77x — poor on both scales, the model's number is withheld
The path below is computed and shown in full, so you can see what the model rests on and where it breaks. Only the headline price and upside are hidden — those are what we do not trust.
base — LTM на 2026-06-30 (H1)
| Metric, RUB mln | LTM, actual 12m to 30.06.2026 | 2027 12m to 30.06 | 2028 12m to 30.06 | 2029 12m to 30.06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | — | — | — | — |
| Asset growth | — | +1% | +3% | +5% |
| Return on assets | — | — | — | — |
| Opening equity | 258.1 bn | 258.1 bn | 274.6 bn | 292.3 bn |
| ROE | 24.9% | 25.7% | 26.0% | 26.5% |
| Net profit | 64.4 bn | 66.4 bn | 71.3 bn | 77.4 bn |
| Closing equity | — | 274.6 bn | 292.3 bn | 311.5 bn |
| Equity to assets | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend per share | 19.57 ₽ | 21.92 ₽ | 23.55 ₽ | 25.57 ₽ |
| Revenue-growth source | weight | growth: yr 1 · 2 · 3 |
|---|---|---|
| Realised pace (acceleration/deceleration) LTM YoY -1%; acceleration -3.3pp LTM г/г по отчётности | 100% | +1% · +3% · +5% |
| Exit multiple | P/B 1.54x (1.23x…2.26x) |
| Partial re-rating: the mean of today's P/B 1.37 and the three-year median 1.72. For banks this base is measurably better — on our daily series (14 names, 5,163 observations) the median three-year error is 0.42 against 0.45 for today's multiple and 0.50 for the median alone, and the odds of ending above today's are 48%. Full re-rating to 2.26 is the bull case | |
| Key rate by year | 13.2% · 9.8% · 8.1% (averaged over the 12 months to each model year end, not over the calendar year) |
| Cost inflation | 6.2% · 5.6% · 5.3% |
| Dividend policy | 75% of net profit |
| Year-3 EBITDA margin target | 48.0% |
| Current CPI (actual) | 6.3%, на 2026-09-30 |
| Governance | no flags: the dividend has not faded against profit, payouts were not suspended, no audit qualification and no manual penalty — quality multiplier 1.00 |
| Line | model | analysts | gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 Консенсус, houses: 5.0 · blended from 50% 2026 + 50% 2027 | |||
| Net profit | 66.4 bn | 64.4 bn | 1.03x |
| 2028 Консенсус, houses: 3.0 · blended from 50% 2027 + 50% 2028 | |||
| Net profit | 71.3 bn | 68.8 bn | 1.04x |
The comparison runs on financial results, not target prices: a target depends on the multiple and horizon, while revenue and EBITDA forecasts compare directly.
| Historical forecast check | obs | median error | bias | ±20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net profit | 17 | 53% | 0.77x | 29% |
The model is anchored at each past reporting date with only the data available then, and its one-year-ahead forecast is compared with the actual. Rates and inflation are actuals, so this checks the operating forecast, not macro guessing.
Independent one-year estimates: eninvs Company_Forecast — 167 ₽; Frontier див-модель — 213 ₽. Ours on the same horizon — 186 ₽. Dropped as broken: eninvs DividendPrediction (1.926e-07)
A forecast, not investment advice. Related-market prices are held at today's level, so the model answers what the business earns and is worth if markets stay here — it does not predict prices.
Paid, trailing 12-mo: 19.57 RUB/sh · 12.6%
| Pay year | Dividend /sh | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.57 ₽ | |
| 2025 | 26.11 ₽ | |
| 2024 | 17.35 ₽ | |
| 2023 | 4.84 ₽ | |
| 2021 | 9.45 ₽ | |
| 2020 | 7.93 ₽ | |
| 2019 | 7.70 ₽ | |
| 2018 | 5.47 ₽ |
| Period | Last day to buy | /sh |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 q3 | 2026-07-08 | 19.57 ₽ |
| 2025 q3 | 2025-07-09 | 26.11 ₽ |
| 2024 q2 | 2024-06-13 | 17.35 ₽ |
| 2023 q2 | 2023-05-10 | 4.84 ₽ |
| 2021 q2 | 2021-05-12 | 9.45 ₽ |
| 2020 q2 | 2020-05-13 | 7.93 ₽ |
| 2019 q2 | 2019-05-10 | 7.70 ₽ |
| 2018 q2 | 2018-05-11 | 5.47 ₽ |
| 2017 q3 | 2017-09-27 | 2.49 ₽ |
| 2017 q2 | 2017-05-12 | 7.68 ₽ |
No dividend rows found for this issuer.
Share of volume initiated by buyers (crossing the spread):
1d: 45% buy — sellers5d: 49% buy — balanced20d: 52% buy — balanced
Iceberg levels last session: 1 bid / 0 ask; largest — bid 155.35 (filled ×5.9 of displayed, 151 refills).
Robot clips (recurring characteristic order size): 16 bid / 24 ask; largest — ask 3 lots ×4383 appearances across 212 price levels. Ping probes (1-2 lots, typical iceberg hunting): bid ×1114, ask ×2057.
| Day | Buyer initiative | Icebergs bid/ask | Robots bid/ask | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10 | 45% | 1/0 | 16/24 | 20,620 |
| 20.10 | 54% | 0/0 | 18/14 | 7,694 |
| 19.10 | 48% | 1/0 | 18/24 | 12,431 |
| 16.10 | 58% | 0/0 | 16/12 | 9,544 |
| 15.10 | 43% | 1/0 | 12/15 | 10,420 |
Source: L2 order book + trade tape (TQBR main session, ~23 liquid names). Trade side = the aggressor crossing the spread. Iceberg = level filled a multiple of its displayed size with regular refills. Robot clip = a non-round order size recurring hundreds of times across dozens of price levels (an algo's fingerprint migrating with price); ping = 1-2 lot probe orders. Updated nightly.
Substantive mentions last 7 days: 2 (1 positive), last 30 days: 15 (7 positive, 1 negative) across tracked channels, broker research and shows. 22 passing mentions (digests, calendars) hidden.
Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.
| 25.06.26 | Filing | ★ Дата определения (фиксации) лиц, имеющих право на осуществление прав по ценным бумагам эмитента На 9 июля 2026 года будет определена дата для фиксирования лиц, имеющих право на получение дивидендов по обыкновенным акциям Московской Биржи. Соответствующее решение было принято 25 июня 2026 года. |
| 25.06.26 | AGM / Board | ★ ▲ Решения общих собраний участников (акционеров) На общем собрании акционеров ПАО Московская Биржа, проведенном 25.06.2026, были приняты решения, включая утверждение годового отчета за 2025 год и распределение прибыли с выплатой дивидендов в размере 19,57 руб. на акцию. Общая сумма дивидендов составила 44,5 млрд. руб. |
| 14.07.26 | AGM / Board | Решения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета) Совет директоров ПАО Московская Биржа избрал нового члена Правления на срок с 02.10.2026 по 01.10.2031. Также одобрено заключение трудового договора с заинтересованным лицом, причем цена сделки определена в Приложении 5. |
Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.
Disclosed in the top-10 of 4 of 17 funds, ≈101 млн ₽ combined.
| Fund | Manager | Weight | ≈Position | Δ weight m/m | Disclosure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROD ДОХОДЪ Индекс акций роста | ДОХОДЪ | 8.29% | 16 млн ₽ | — | 31.08.2026 |
| DIVD ДОХОДЪ Индекс дивидендных акций | ДОХОДЪ | 7.79% | 79 млн ₽ | — | 31.08.2026 |
| SBRI Первая - Фонд Ответственные инвестиции | Первая | 3.86% | 6 млн ₽ | — | 31.08.2026 |
| SCFT Технологии будущего | Доверительная | 3.68% | 0 млн ₽ | — | 31.08.2026 |
Source: monthly fund portfolio disclosures (investfunds); NAV is daily. Disclosures list each fund's top-10 only, so absence does not mean no position. Weight changes mix revaluation with trading. Fund flows and betas live in the fund monitor on the RU region page.
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B), profitability and dividend yield of MOEX — from primary filings.
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