
Rosneft is Russia's largest oil company, state-controlled, producing crude oil and gas and refining and marketing petroleum products in Russia and internationally.
Sector: Oil & Gas
RU_ROSN
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in T RUB, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueT RUB | Operating profitT RUB | D&AT RUB | EBITDAT RUB | Net profitT RUB | Operating CFT RUB | Capex + M&AT RUB | AssetsT RUB | EquityT RUB | ROE (annualized) | Net debtT RUB | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 2.3 y/y 14.0% | 0.3 y/y 37.6% | 0.3 y/y 17.3% | 0.6 y/y 27.4% | 0.1 y/y 13.3% | — | — | 21.7 y/y 6.7% | 9.3 y/y 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 2.0 y/y -11.0% | 0.3 y/y -7.3% | 0.4 y/y 72.3% | 0.7 y/y 24.0% | 0.1 y/y -32.4% | — | — | 22.0 y/y 7.4% | 9.3 y/y 1.4% | 5.0% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 1.9 y/y -19.8% | 0.3 y/y -40.1% | 0.3 y/y 10.3% | 0.5 y/y -23.1% | 0.0 y/y -89.9% | — | — | 21.6 y/y 4.2% | 9.1 y/y -0.9% | 3.2% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 2.0 y/y -19.5% | 0.2 y/y -48.0% | 0.3 y/y 19.6% | 0.5 y/y -26.1% | 0.0 y/y -79.1% | — | — | 21.6 y/y 10.1% | 9.2 y/y -0.3% | 0.5% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 2.0 y/y -23.9% | 0.2 y/y -61.1% | 0.2 y/y 11.9% | 0.5 y/y -42.3% | 0.1 y/y -79.9% | 0.6 | -0.4 | 20.3 y/y — | 9.0 y/y — | 3.3% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 2.3 y/y -12.0% | 0.4 y/y -44.9% | 0.2 y/y 15.5% | 0.6 y/y -30.6% | 0.2 y/y -57.4% | 0.4 | -0.4 | 20.5 y/y 6.7% | 9.1 y/y 2.0% | 7.4% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-12-31 | Q4 2024 (3M) | OK | 2.4 y/y -7.2% | 0.5 y/y -10.4% | 0.2 y/y 51.6% | 0.7 y/y 3.9% | 0.2 y/y -59.4% | 0.7 | -0.4 | 20.7 y/y 10.1% | 9.2 y/y 8.8% | 11.8% | 3.6 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-09-30 | Q3 2024 (3M) | OK | 2.5 y/y -34.2% | 0.4 y/y 0.0% | 0.2 y/y 0.0% | 0.7 y/y 0.0% | 0.2 y/y -22.7% | 0.7 | -0.4 | 19.6 y/y 0.0% | 9.2 y/y 0.0% | — | 3.2 | Report (PDF) |
| 2024-06-30 | Q2 2024 (3M) | PARTIAL | 2.6 y/y — | 0.6 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.8 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 0.6 | -0.4 | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | 2.9 | Evidence |
| 2024-03-31 | Q1 2024 (3M) | OK | 2.6 y/y — | 0.6 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.8 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 0.4 | -0.3 | 19.2 y/y — | 9.0 y/y — | 18.4% | 2.9 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-12-31 | Q4 2023 (3M) | OK | 2.6 y/y — | 0.5 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.7 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 1.0 | -0.2 | 18.8 y/y — | 8.4 y/y — | 17.3% | 2.5 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-09-30 | Q3 2023 (3M) | OK | 3.8 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.7 y/y — | 0.2 y/y — | 0.7 | -0.4 | 19.6 y/y — | 9.2 y/y — | 2.9% | 2.4 | Report (PDF) |
| 2023-06-30 | Q2 2023 (3M) | OK | 5.2 y/y — | 1.2 y/y — | 0.4 y/y — | 1.7 y/y — | 0.9 y/y — | 1.1 | -0.7 | 19.2 y/y — | 9.0 y/y — | — | 2.4 | Report (PDF) |
Quarterly values (₽ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF (₽ mln)
Net debt / cash (₽ mln)
| year | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 10.51x | 1.15x | 1.81x | 2.27x |
| accruals, % of assets | -10.3% | -0.9% | -6.6% | -6.7% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
Oil & gas (PRMS 2P reserves)
| Year | Reserves, mln toe |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 500 |
| Year | Production, mln toe | per day, mln toe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 246.60 −3.6% | 0.68 |
| 2024 | 255.90 | 0.70 |
Роснефть: PRMS 2P запасы 11.5 млрд т н.э. (пресс-релиз МСФО FY2025, 31.03.2026, rosneft.ru/press/releases/item/223841/); добыча 2025 = 246.6 млн т н.э. (181.1 млн т жидких + 79.6 bcm газа), тот же релиз. FY2024 production 255.9 mln toe (-3.6% YoY in 2025, OPEC+ quotas; same FY2025 IFRS release).
Potential discount −37% (factor 0.63)
This company's ranking potential is scaled down by a quality/governance factor from the signals below — de-prioritising 'cheap but problematic' names.
Current 96spot vs LTM +26%
Oil model: per-barrel, net-of-tax EBITDA projection. Only part of a Urals move reaches EBITDA — the rest is taken by mineral-extraction tax (~75% at the margin). Production × net-of-tax × Δprice → EBITDA → conservative (min spot/avg) → target market cap at the 3-year historical (p75) EV/EBITDA.
USD/RUB: spot 86 vs LTM-avg 78 → ×1.10 (ruble weaker → more RUB revenue); applied to USD-priced commodities (RUB gold left as-is).
Upside (conservative): +64% · spot +91% · 3-yr +37%
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → conservative EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM to 2026-06-30) | |
| Revenue | 8.26 trn RUB |
| EBITDA | 2.32 trn RUB |
| Cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 5.94 trn RUB |
| 2 · Urals oil price ($/bbl) | |
| Spot | $96.3 |
| LTM average | $76.6 |
| 3-yr average | $80.6 |
| 3 · EBITDA projection (per-barrel, net of tax) | |
| Production, mln bbl/yr · Frontier 2025 (mln toe) | 1,808 |
| Net-of-tax pass-through of Δprice (НДПИ) | 25% |
| Price effect on EBITDA — spot | 1.04 trn RUB |
| Price effect on EBITDA — 3-yr | 425.0 bln RUB |
| = Spot EBITDA (LTM + effect) | 3.36 trn RUB |
| = 3-yr-price EBITDA | 2.75 trn RUB |
| = Avg-scenario EBITDA (spot + 3-yr)/2 | 3.05 trn RUB |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg(spot, 3-yr)) | 3.05 trn RUB |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| EV/EBITDA (3y hist. p75) | 3.0x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 9.21 trn RUB |
| Net debt (as of 2026-06-30) · unchanged since 2024-12-31 | 3.57 trn RUB |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 5.63 trn RUB |
| Current market cap | 3.43 trn RUB |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +64%
Dividend-model upside: -57%
The payout is forecast from smoothed profit × payout ratio, capped by free cash flow (developers exempt — escrow) and floored at the recent actual dividend (companies hold payouts while profitable). Fair yield = key rate + the historical yield-spread to the rate (so growers that historically traded below the rate score higher). Upside = fair price / current − 1.
| 1 · Forecast dividend (per policy) | |
| Smoothed net profit (median YTD-ann./LTM/FY) | 293 bn RUB |
| Payout ratio | 47% |
| Recent actual dividend (3-yr median) | 13.83 ₽ |
| = Forecast dividend per share | 13.83 ₽ |
| 2 · Fair yield (spread to key rate) | |
| CBR key rate | 14.0% |
| Historical yield spread to rate (3-yr median) | -7.7 pp |
| = Fair dividend yield | 10.5% |
| 3 · Valuation → upside | |
| Current price | 321 ₽ |
| Forecast dividend yield | 4.3% |
| Fair price (dividend-based) | 139 ₽ |
Forecast, not investment advice. Earnings annualization and policy assumptions are estimates.
Paid, trailing 12-mo: 13.83 RUB/sh · 4.3%
| Pay year | Dividend /sh | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13.83 ₽ | |
| 2025 | 51.15 ₽ | |
| 2024 | 59.78 ₽ | |
| 2023 | 38.36 ₽ | |
| 2022 | 23.63 ₽ | |
| 2021 | 24.97 ₽ | |
| 2020 | 18.07 ₽ | |
| 2019 | 26.67 ₽ |
| Period | Ex-date | /sh |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 q3 | 2026-07-08 | 2.27 ₽ |
| 2026 q1 | 2026-01-09 | 11.56 ₽ |
| 2025 q3 | 2025-07-17 | 14.68 ₽ |
| 2025 q1 | 2025-01-09 | 36.47 ₽ |
| 2024 q3 | 2024-07-08 | 29.01 ₽ |
| 2024 q1 | 2024-01-10 | 30.77 ₽ |
| 2023 q3 | 2023-07-07 | 17.97 ₽ |
| 2023 q1 | 2023-01-10 | 20.39 ₽ |
| 2022 q3 | 2022-07-07 | 23.63 ₽ |
| 2021 q4 | 2021-10-07 | 18.03 ₽ |
No dividend rows found for this issuer.
Share of volume initiated by buyers (crossing the spread):
1d: 47% buy — balanced5d: 50% buy — balanced20d: 48% buy — balanced
Iceberg levels last session: 1 bid / 0 ask; largest — bid 323.9 (filled ×3.1 of displayed, 50 refills).
Robot clips (recurring characteristic order size): 2 bid / 5 ask; largest — ask 929 lots ×966 appearances across 72 price levels. Ping probes (1-2 lots, typical iceberg hunting): ask ×340.
| Day | Buyer initiative | Icebergs bid/ask | Robots bid/ask | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.09 | 47% | 1/0 | 2/5 | 26,613 |
| 03.09 | 48% | 1/0 | 2/2 | 38,261 |
| 02.09 | 50% | 1/0 | 3/4 | 20,407 |
| 01.09 | 54% | 0/0 | 4/6 | 43,853 |
| 31.08 | 51% | 1/0 | 3/3 | 36,537 |
Source: L2 order book + trade tape (TQBR main session, ~23 liquid names). Trade side = the aggressor crossing the spread. Iceberg = level filled a multiple of its displayed size with regular refills. Robot clip = a non-round order size recurring hundreds of times across dozens of price levels (an algo's fingerprint migrating with price); ping = 1-2 lot probe orders. Updated nightly.
Substantive mentions last 7 days: 6 (1 positive, 2 negative), last 30 days: 11 (1 positive, 4 negative) across tracked channels, broker research and shows. 3 passing mentions (digests, calendars) hidden.
Sources: Telegram channels (bloggers — blue chip, broker research — green), YouTube shows via transcripts (orange). Tone (▲/▼) is an automatic assessment in the stock's context. Quotes are fragmentary; authors' views are not our recommendations.
| 04.09.26 | Material event | Сведения, оказывающие, по мнению эмитента, существенное влияние на стоимость его эмиссионных ценных бумаг ПАО «НК «Роснефть» сообщило о приобретении 0 облигаций серии 004Р-02 на сумму 0 юаней, что произошло из-за непредъявления их владельцами к выкупу. Приобретение облигаций было осуществлено в соответствии с решением Совета директоров от 29 июня 2023 года. |
| 28.08.26 | Buyback | Приобретение (наступление оснований для приобретения) размещенных эмитентом облигаций ПАО «НК «Роснефть» планирует приобрести свои биржевые облигации серии 002Р-12 по цене 100% от номинальной стоимости с выплатой накопленного купонного дохода. Период предъявления облигаций к приобретению будет с 9 по 15 сентября 2026 года, а срок оплаты – 18 сентября 2026 года. |
| 07.08.26 | AGM / Board | Решения совета директоров (наблюдательного совета) Совет директоров ПАО «Роснефть» утвердил Политику Компании № П4-01 П-02 «О внутреннем аудите» версия 2 на заседании 4 августа 2026 года. Кворум заседания был присутствующим, решение по вопросу №5 повестки дня принято. |
Source: e-disclosure material filings over the last 180 days; ★ — flagged important by the classifier; summaries are automatic.
Disclosed in the top-10 of 5 of 17 funds, ≈1,3 млрд ₽ combined. Last month: added — 4, entered top-10 — 4.
| Fund | Manager | Weight | ≈Position | Δ weight m/m | Disclosure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIVD ДОХОДЪ Индекс дивидендных акций | ДОХОДЪ | 5.93% | 56 млн ₽ | — | 31.07.2026 |
| TRND Т-Капитал Трендовые акции (new) | Т-Капитал | 5.10% | 25 млн ₽ | +5.10 pp | 31.07.2026 |
| EQMX ВИМ - Индекс МосБиржи (new) | ВИМ Инвестиции | 2.94% | 357 млн ₽ | +2.94 pp | 31.07.2026 |
| TMOS Т-Капитал Индекс МосБиржи (new) | Т-Капитал | 2.87% | 373 млн ₽ | +2.87 pp | 31.07.2026 |
| SBMX Первая - Фонд Топ Российских акций (new) | Первая | 2.71% | 512 млн ₽ | +2.71 pp | 31.07.2026 |
Source: monthly fund portfolio disclosures (investfunds); NAV is daily. Disclosures list each fund's top-10 only, so absence does not mean no position. Weight changes mix revaluation with trading. Fund flows and betas live in the fund monitor on the RU region page.
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Rosneft — from primary filings.
| Issue | YTM | Coupon | Price, % | Volume, ₽ | Maturity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Роснфт4P2 | 5.8% | 6.5% | 105.1 | 12K | put 09.2026 |
| Роснфт2P12 | 8.2% | 6.5% | 99.9 | 864K | put 09.2026 |
| Роснфт1P8 | 5.8% | 8% | 100.1 | 630K | put 10.2026 |
| Роснфт4P3 | float | float | 101.5 | 2K | put 11.2026 |
| Роснфт3P01 | — | 8% | 101.8 | 626K | put 11.2026 |
| Роснфт3P02 | — | 8% | 101.8 | 626K | put 11.2026 |
| Роснфт1P1 | 5.5% | 8% | 102.1 | 664K | 11.2026 |
| Роснфт2P1 | — | 8% | 104.6 | 1K | put 11.2026 |
| Роснфт2P2 | — | 8% | 104.6 | 628K | put 11.2026 |
| Роснфт1P2 | 8.1% | 8% | 100.0 | 54K | 12.2026 |
| Роснфт1P3 | — | 9.5% | — | — | 12.2026 |
| Роснфт2P4 | 14.0% | 8% | 97.6 | 166K | put 02.2027 |
| Роснфт2P13 | 6.7% | 6.5% | 99.9 | 39K | put 03.2027 |
| Роснфт5P2 | — | 8% | — | — | put 03.2027 |
| Роснфт4P1 | — | 6.5% | — | — | put 03.2027 |
and 12 more issue(s)
YTM and turnover from MOEX; floaters have no fixed YTM. Not investment advice.
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