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Yancoal Australia AUD

Update

Sector: Coal mining

AU_YAL

Price chart

5.24 AUDDay -3.68%

Key metrics

Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.

Market

Price
5.24 AUD · -3.68%
Market cap
6.9 bn AUD

Growth

Δ revenue y/y
-15.3%
Δ EBITDA y/y
-37.0%

Multiples

P/E (LTM)
15.7x
3y avg: 9.6x
P/B (FY)
0.8x
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
2.7x
3y avg: 2.3x

Cash return

Dividend yield
3.5%
FCF yield (LTM)
7.3%

Value creation

to fair market cap at the 3-yr-average EV/EBITDA
Upside (potential)
-19.0%
↓ details

Liquidity

Daily turnover (listing)
20.4 mln AUD

Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/YAL.AX

Amounts: USD (converted) · As reported
Converted modes use NBK / ECB-linked rates: balance sheet date for BS items, period average for P&L and cash flow (see filing row evidence). As reported keeps each row in its filing currency.

Financial dynamics

Monetary columns are in M AUD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.

DatePeriodStatusRevenueM AUDOperating profitM AUDD&AM AUDEBITDAM AUDNet profitM AUDOperating CFM AUDCapex + M&AM AUDAssetsM AUDEquityM AUDROE (annualized)Net debtM AUDSource
2025-12-31FY 2025 (12M)OK5728.0
y/y -15.3%
1035.0
y/y -51.4%
778.0
y/y 3.7%
1813.0
y/y -37.0%
440.0
y/y -63.8%
1257.0-751.012205.0
y/y -1.2%
9031.0
y/y -3.0%
4.8%-2043.0—
2024-12-31FY 2024 (12M)OK6766.0
y/y -10.5%
2129.0
y/y -31.4%
750.0
y/y -14.9%
2879.0
y/y -27.8%
1216.0
y/y -33.2%
2133.0-705.012356.0
y/y 8.5%
9315.0
y/y 10.4%
13.7%-2349.0—
2023-12-31FY 2023 (12M)OK7558.0
y/y —
3104.0
y/y —
881.0
y/y —
3985.0
y/y —
1819.0
y/y —
1261.0-622.011387.0
y/y —
8440.0
y/y —
—-1251.0—
Data quality No obvious scale, balance-sheet, or cash-flow sanity issues in the displayed periods.

Revenue & EBITDA

RevenueEBITDA

Quarterly values (AUD mln)

02 0004 0006 0008 0002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Year-over-year change

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Cash flow

FCF (AUD mln)

05001 0001 5002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Net debt / cash (AUD mln)

-2 500-2 000-1 500-1 000-50002023 FY2024 FY2025 FY

Key-commodity price — Steam coal AU

Current 128spot vs LTM +7%

Commodity-player potential

Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA

Upside: -22.0%

Main driver: Steam coal AU +7% vs LTM; revenue ×1.07 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 1 436→1 679; at 2.0× EV/EBITDA → -22%.

Product prices — moves vs the LTM average

CommodityShareSpotLTM3-yrvs LTM, $3y vs LTM
Steam coal AU (rev)+65%128.12119.46130.36+7%+9%
Coking coal AU (rev)+25%237.17215.46239.89+10%+11%

How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap

1 · Reported baseline (LTM)
LTM revenue5 728
LTM EBITDA1 436
LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA)4 292
2 · Revenue projection
Revenue multiplier — spot×1.072 (+7%)
= Spot revenue6 143
Revenue multiplier — 3y price×1.088 (+9%)
= 3-year-price revenue6 230
3 · Costs projection
Cost multiplier — spot×1.040 (+4%)
= Spot cash costs4 464
Cost multiplier — 3y price×1.040 (+4%)
= 3-year-price cash costs4 464
4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs)
= Spot EBITDA1 679
= 3-year-price EBITDA1 767
Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg)1 679
5 · Valuation → target market cap
Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct)2.0x
Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA3 358
Net debt-2 043
Target market cap = EV − net debt5 401
Current market cap6 924

Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = -22.0%

Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.

PeriodAct. revModel revΔ revAct. EBITDAModel EBITDAΔ EBITDA
2023 FY7 5586 685+13.1%3 5071 959+79.0%
2024 FY6 7666 163+9.8%2 4701 949+26.7%
2025 FY5 7285 514+3.9%1 4361 046+37.3%

Revenue growth & acceleration

Growth decelerating ▼
Last-year revenue growth -15% vs -10% the year before — a -4.9 pp move. 3-year CAGR -18%.
revenue growth by year: 2023 -28% · 2024 -10% · 2025 -15%
The growth-acceleration signal behind the GARP+acceleration strategy — it favours companies whose revenue growth is speeding up and flags those slowing down (the second derivative of growth).

EV/EBITDA — LTM vs projected

Projected EV/EBITDA 2.6x · target 75th pct (3y) 4.2x · LTM avg 3.1x

EV/EBITDA (LTM)EV/EBITDA (projected)target 75th pct (projected, 3y)

Dividends

Paid (completed)

DatePer shareDetailsStatusSource
2026-03-180.122 AUDEx-dividend: 0.122 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-09-040.062 AUDEx-dividend: 0.062 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2025-03-120.52 AUDEx-dividend: 0.52 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2024-03-110.325 AUDEx-dividend: 0.325 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-09-050.37 AUDEx-dividend: 0.37 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2023-03-130.7 AUDEx-dividend: 0.7 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-09-050.5271 AUDEx-dividend: 0.5271 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)
2022-03-140.704 AUDEx-dividend: 0.704 AUD per sharePaidYahoo Finance (ex-div)

KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).

Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)