
Sector: Copper mining
COMM_ANTO
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | H1 2026 (6M) | PARTIAL | 4479.0 y/y 17.9% | 1896.5 y/y 48.8% | 733.5 y/y -14.5% | 2630.0 y/y 23.3% | 847.3 y/y 62.4% | 2772.9 | — | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | -1194.8 | Link |
| 2025-12-31 | H2 2025 (6M) | OK | 4820.9 y/y — | 2127.8 y/y — | 837.7 y/y — | 2965.5 y/y — | 807.3 y/y — | 1259.6 | -3684.5 | 26418.4 y/y 16.7% | 10370.1 y/y 9.6% | — | 4194.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | H1 2025 (6M) | PARTIAL | 3799.4 y/y — | 1274.8 y/y — | 857.7 y/y — | 2132.5 y/y — | 521.6 y/y — | 1812.0 | — | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | ≈ 3000.1 | Link |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 6613.4 y/y 4.6% | 1662.7 y/y -8.1% | 1568.2 y/y 29.5% | 3230.9 y/y 7.0% | 829.4 y/y -0.7% | 2285.3 | -2414.6 | 22634.9 y/y 15.2% | 9462.2 y/y 5.7% | 9.0% | 3000.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 6324.5 y/y — | 1808.5 y/y — | 1211.3 y/y — | 3019.8 y/y — | 835.1 y/y — | 2333.0 | -2129.2 | 19647.2 y/y — | 8951.9 y/y — | — | 3207.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 399 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 2 566 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 4 160 |
| Net debt | -1 195 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: -0.2x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 1.22x | 2.79x | 2.75x | 2.31x |
| accruals, % of assets | -1.9% | -7.6% | -6.4% | -6.6% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Current 14 486spot vs LTM +18%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +24.3% ▲ +1.6 pp 1d
Main driver: Copper +18% vs LTM; revenue ×1.16 vs costs ×1.11; EBITDA 5 723→5 805; at 10.4× EV/EBITDA → +24%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper (rev) | +83% | 14 486.46 | 12 244.66 | 11 157.33 | +18% | -9% |
| US Diesel Index (cost) (input cost) (cost) | -10% | 6.38 | 4.22 | 4.19 | +51% | -1% |
| Gold (rev) | +8% | 4 174.70 | 4 246.02 | 3 348.41 | -2% | -21% |
| Molybdenum (rev) | +5% | 35.90 | 28.39 | 26.14 | +26% | -8% |
| Electricity Spot (input cost) (cost) | -5% | 117.40 | 77.89 | 62.56 | +51% | -20% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 9 300 |
| LTM EBITDA | 5 723 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 3 577 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.164 (+16%) |
| = Spot revenue | 10 824 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.905 (-9%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 8 420 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.111 (+11%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 3 973 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.024 (+2%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 3 661 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 6 851 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 4 759 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 5 805 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct) | 10.4x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 60 429 |
| Net debt | -1 195 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 61 624 |
| Current market cap | 49 580 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +24.3%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 6 324 | 5 836 | +8.4% | 3 020 | 2 795 | +8.0% |
| 2024 FY | 6 613 | 6 929 | -4.6% | 3 231 | 3 534 | -8.6% |
| 2025 FY | 8 620 | 7 696 | +12.0% | 5 226 | 4 135 | +26.4% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 13.1x · target 75th pct (3y) 12.6x · LTM avg 10.4x
Group: Copper mining. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (global) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGHM Polska Miedz | global | 16.7 | 6.3x | 6.3x |
| Sandfire Resources | Australia | 7.0 | 7.9x | 7.4x |
| Atalaya Mining | global | 2.2 | 8.8x | 8.8x |
| Hudbay Minerals | global | 10.6 | 9.1x | 9.1x |
| Lundin Mining | global | 20.4 | 9.1x | 9.1x |
| Amerigo Resources | global | 1.0 | 9.4x | 9.4x |
| Ero Copper | global | 3.8 | 10.3x | 10.3x |
| Freeport-McMoRan | global | 100.3 | 11.8x | 11.8x |
| Taseko Mines | global | 3.2 | 12.2x | 12.2x |
| First Quantum Minerals | global | 22.5 | 15.7x | 15.7x |
| Southern Copper | global | 172.7 | 17.4x | 17.4x |
| Group median | 9.4x | 9.4x | ||
| Group average | 10.7x | 10.7x | ||
| This company | global | 48.7 | 8.5x | 8.5x |
Group median 9.4x as traded, 9.4x adjusted; this company 8.5x — a 9% discount.
Group average 10.7x as traded, 10.7x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 20% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +11% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 22.4x, Russia 3.8x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.6x, India 18.5x, Indonesia 4.8x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-01; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | 22.7634 GBP | Ex-dividend: 22.7634 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-04-16 | 35.5766 GBP | Ex-dividend: 35.5766 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-09-04 | 12.2636 GBP | Ex-dividend: 12.2636 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-04-17 | 17.63 GBP | Ex-dividend: 17.63 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-09-05 | 6.0653 GBP | Ex-dividend: 6.0653 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-04-18 | 19.5165 GBP | Ex-dividend: 19.5165 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-08-31 | 9.3645 GBP | Ex-dividend: 9.3645 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-04-20 | 40.4162 GBP | Ex-dividend: 40.4162 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-01 | 7.9475 GBP | Ex-dividend: 7.9475 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-04-21 | 94.809 GBP | Ex-dividend: 94.809 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Antofagasta — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Metals & Mining Stocks (2026): Copper, Steel, Silver by Valuation · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map