
Sector: Copper mining
Geography: Chile
COMM_ANTO
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | H1 2026 (6M) | PARTIAL | 4479.0 y/y 17.9% | 1896.5 y/y 48.8% | 733.5 y/y -14.5% | 2630.0 y/y 23.3% | 847.3 y/y 62.4% | 2772.9 | — | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | -1194.8 | Link |
| 2025-12-31 | H2 2025 (6M) | OK | 4820.9 y/y 31.8% | 2127.8 y/y 114.6% | 837.7 y/y -9.0% | 2965.5 y/y 55.1% | 807.3 y/y 41.7% | 1259.6 | -3684.5 | 26418.4 y/y 16.7% | 10370.1 y/y 9.6% | — | 4194.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | H1 2025 (6M) | PARTIAL | 3799.4 y/y 28.6% | 1274.8 y/y 89.9% | 857.7 y/y 32.5% | 2132.5 y/y 61.7% | 521.6 y/y 100.9% | 1812.0 | — | — y/y — | — y/y — | — | ≈ 3000.1 | Link |
| 2024-12-31 | H2 2024 (6M) | OK | 3658.2 y/y 6.5% | 991.4 y/y -4.2% | 921.0 y/y 31.6% | 1912.4 y/y 10.2% | 569.8 y/y 12.9% | 1248.0 | -2414.6 | 22634.9 y/y 15.2% | 9462.2 y/y 5.7% | 7.6% | 3000.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-06-30 | H1 2024 (6M) | PARTIAL | 2955.2 y/y 2.3% | 671.3 y/y -13.2% | 647.2 y/y 26.6% | 1318.5 y/y 2.6% | 259.6 y/y -21.4% | 1037.3 | — | 20024.8 y/y 16.9% | 12272.5 y/y — | 4.9% | 4436.9 | Link |
| 2023-12-31 | H2 2023 (6M) | OK | 3434.4 y/y — | 1034.8 y/y — | 700.0 y/y — | 1734.8 y/y — | 504.7 y/y — | 2333.0 | -2129.2 | 19647.2 y/y — | 8951.9 y/y — | — | 3207.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-06-30 | H1 2023 (6M) | OK | 2890.1 y/y — | 773.7 y/y — | 511.3 y/y — | 1285.0 y/y — | 330.4 y/y — | — | — | 17126.5 y/y — | — y/y — | — | — | Link |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 399 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 2 566 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 4 160 |
| Net debt | -1 195 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: -0.2x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 1.22x | 2.79x | 2.75x | 2.31x |
| accruals, % of assets | -1.9% | -7.6% | -6.4% | -6.6% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Production, kt | per day, kt |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 654 −1.5% | 1.79 |
| 2024 | 664 +0.5% | 1.82 |
| 2023 | 660.60 | 1.81 |
Company reports: https://data.fca.org.uk/artefacts/NSM/RNS/27332ba5-3f88-41ac-9dc8-749869e0b0ef.html; https://data.fca.org.uk/artefacts/NSM/RNS/a74ead84-0008-42a9-b7e5-16f2b249decc.html; https://www.antofagasta.co.uk/investors/news/2026/2026-half-year-results/; https://www.antofagasta.co.uk/media/4905/49913-antofagasta-ar25-web-ready.pdf; https://www.investegate.co.uk/announcement/rns/antofagasta--anto/centinela-second-concentrator-financing/8094778; https://www.investegate.co.uk/announcement/rns/antofagasta--anto/chairman-s-comments-at-2026-annual-general-meeting/9557080
Current 14 820spot vs LTM +13%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +18.8% ▲ +0.0 pp 1d
Main driver: Copper +13% vs LTM; revenue ×1.11 vs costs ×1.10; EBITDA 5 723→5 348; at 10.7× EV/EBITDA → +19%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper (rev) | +83% | 14 820.25 | 13 140.33 | 11 220.53 | +13% | -15% |
| US Diesel Index (cost) (input cost) (cost) | -10% | 6.20 | 4.64 | 4.21 | +34% | -9% |
| Gold (rev) | +8% | 4 195.82 | 4 448.39 | 3 370.54 | -6% | -24% |
| Molybdenum (rev) | +5% | 35.90 | 30.56 | 26.25 | +17% | -14% |
| Electricity Spot (input cost) (cost) | -5% | 124.31 | 77.89 | 63.16 | +60% | -19% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 9 300 |
| LTM EBITDA | 5 723 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 3 577 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.110 (+11%) |
| = Spot revenue | 10 326 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.852 (-15%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 7 926 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.097 (+10%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 3 925 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.015 (+2%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 3 631 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 6 401 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 4 295 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 5 348 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) | 10.7x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 57 223 |
| Net debt | -1 195 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 58 417 |
| Current market cap | 49 185 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +18.8%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 H1 | 2 955 | 3 411 | -13.4% | 1 318 | 1 729 | -23.7% |
| 2024 H2 | 3 658 | 3 456 | +5.8% | 1 912 | 1 755 | +9.0% |
| 2025 H1 | 3 799 | 3 663 | +3.7% | 2 132 | 1 908 | +11.8% |
| 2025 H2 | 4 821 | 4 270 | +12.9% | 3 093 | 2 493 | +24.1% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 10.8x · target 75th pct (3y) 10.7x · LTM avg 10.3x
Group: Copper mining. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (global) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGHM Polska Miedz | global | 17.7 | 6.7x | 6.7x |
| Sandfire Resources | Australia | 7.2 | 8.1x | 7.9x |
| Lundin Mining | global | 21.2 | 8.6x | 8.6x |
| Atalaya Mining | global | 2.2 | 8.9x | 8.9x |
| Hudbay Minerals | global | 10.3 | 8.9x | 8.9x |
| Amerigo Resources | global | 1.0 | 9.0x | 9.0x |
| Ero Copper | global | 3.9 | 10.5x | 10.5x |
| Taseko Mines | global | 3.2 | 12.1x | 12.1x |
| Freeport-McMoRan | global | 105.6 | 12.3x | 12.3x |
| First Quantum Minerals | global | 22.9 | 15.9x | 15.9x |
| Southern Copper | global | 178.3 | 18.0x | 18.0x |
| Group median | 9.0x | 9.0x | ||
| Group average | 10.8x | 10.8x | ||
| This company | global | 49.1 | 8.6x | 8.6x |
Group median 9.0x as traded, 9.0x adjusted; this company 8.6x — a 5% discount.
Group average 10.8x as traded, 10.8x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 21% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +6% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 23.7x, Russia 4.0x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.6x, India 18.1x, Indonesia 4.9x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-11; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | 22.736 GBP | Ex-dividend: 22.736 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-04-16 | 35.5766 GBP | Ex-dividend: 35.5766 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-09-04 | 12.2636 GBP | Ex-dividend: 12.2636 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-04-17 | 17.63 GBP | Ex-dividend: 17.63 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-09-05 | 6.0653 GBP | Ex-dividend: 6.0653 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-04-18 | 19.5165 GBP | Ex-dividend: 19.5165 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-08-31 | 9.3645 GBP | Ex-dividend: 9.3645 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-04-20 | 40.4162 GBP | Ex-dividend: 40.4162 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-01 | 7.9475 GBP | Ex-dividend: 7.9475 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-04-21 | 94.809 GBP | Ex-dividend: 94.809 GBP per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Antofagasta — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Metals & Mining Stocks (2026): Copper, Steel, Silver by Valuation · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map