
Sector: Oil sands & refining
COMM_CVE
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: yahoo_fundamentals_timeseries/CVE
Monetary columns are in B USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueB USD | Operating profitB USD | D&AB USD | EBITDAB USD | Net profitB USD | Operating CFB USD | Capex + M&AB USD | AssetsB USD | EquityB USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtB USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 13.7 y/y 46.7% | 3.1 y/y 517.1% | 1.1 y/y 24.8% | 4.1 y/y 206.0% | 2.1 y/y 235.4% | 4.1 | -0.8 | 45.7 y/y 12.1% | 24.0 y/y 11.7% | 34.9% | 3.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 9.7 y/y — | 1.7 y/y — | 1.1 y/y — | 2.8 y/y — | 1.1 y/y — | 1.6 | -0.8 | 46.5 y/y — | 23.3 y/y — | 19.9% | 5.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | PARTIAL | 10.0 y/y — | 0.8 y/y — | 1.0 y/y — | 1.8 y/y — | 0.7 y/y — | 1.7 | -2.6 | 45.4 y/y 10.0% | 22.6 y/y 4.2% | 13.1% | 6.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 9.6 y/y — | 1.1 y/y — | 1.0 y/y — | 2.1 y/y — | 0.9 y/y — | 1.5 | -1.0 | 38.5 y/y — | 20.4 y/y — | 5.9% | 3.8 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 9.4 y/y — | 0.5 y/y — | 0.9 y/y — | 1.4 y/y — | 0.6 y/y — | 1.7 | -1.0 | 40.8 y/y — | 21.5 y/y — | 11.4% | 3.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | PARTIAL | 39.6 y/y 2.4% | — y/y — | 3.6 y/y 3.3% | 6.7 y/y -8.8% | 2.3 y/y -24.7% | 6.7 | — | 41.3 y/y 3.3% | 21.7 y/y 2.1% | 10.7% | — | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | PARTIAL | 38.7 y/y — | — y/y — | 3.4 y/y — | 7.3 y/y — | 3.0 y/y — | 5.5 | — | 40.0 y/y — | 21.3 y/y — | — | — | Yahoo Finance |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 6 012 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 2 227 |
| Net debt | 3 785 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 0.4x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 10.08x | 1.77x | 1.80x | 2.94x | 2.09x |
| accruals, % of assets | -9.9% | -8.9% | -6.1% | -10.8% | -6.8% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Reserves, mln boe (2P) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 607 |
| Year | Production, mln boe | per day, mln boe |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 304.48 +4.6% | 0.83 |
| 2024 | 290.98 | 0.80 |
Company reports: https://mc-3405db07-6660-4b4e-8bc8-1763-cdn-endpoint.azureedge.net/-/media/Project/WWW/docs/investors/2026/corporate-guidance-Q2-2026.pdf?rev=8b4120aed73f459994d090be4506b08a&sc_lang=en&hash=778AC1AECB5281376EE672BF0BDCBCBE; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1475260/000147526026000006/q42025newsrelease.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1475260/000147526026000008/a2025annualinformationform.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1475260/000147526026000023/q22026managementsdiscussio.htm; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1475260/000147526026000023/q22026newsrelease.htm
Current 94spot vs LTM +30%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +15.4% ▼ -0.7 pp 1d
Main driver: WTI Crude Oil +31% vs LTM; revenue ×1.16 vs costs ×1.04; EBITDA 10 659→13 068; at 5.2× EV/EBITDA → +15%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (rev) | +22% | 93.93 | 71.96 | 76.52 | +31% | +6% |
| US Crack Spread (oil refining) (rev) | +8% | 65.16 | 30.59 | 30.87 | +113% | +1% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 43 013 |
| LTM EBITDA | 10 659 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 32 354 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.158 (+16%) |
| = Spot revenue | 49 790 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×1.015 (+1%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 43 643 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 33 648 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.040 (+4%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 33 648 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 16 142 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 9 995 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 13 068 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct, realized earnings) | 5.2x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 67 302 |
| Net debt | 3 785 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 64 890 |
| Current market cap | 56 252 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +15.4%
Life of mine: 32 yrs
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 FY | 36 977 | 12 357 | +199.2% | 5 903 | 2 022 | +192.0% |
| 2022 FY | 51 399 | 42 901 | +19.8% | 10 438 | 10 584 | -1.4% |
| 2023 FY | 38 688 | 48 757 | -20.7% | 7 340 | 6 158 | +19.2% |
| 2024 FY | 39 628 | 37 770 | +4.9% | 6 693 | 5 165 | +29.6% |
| 2025 FY | 35 565 | 38 327 | -7.2% | 7 093 | 4 075 | +74.1% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 10.7x · target 75th pct (3y) 6.4x · LTM avg 5.2x
Group: energy (global). Every peer trades on the same market, so no adjustment is needed.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equinor | global | 108.2 | 2.9x |
| Shell | global | 282.7 | 5.1x |
| TotalEnergies | global | 192.2 | 5.5x |
| Suncor Energy | global | 82.8 | 6.1x |
| ConocoPhillips | global | 156.7 | 6.4x |
| Chevron | global | 378.9 | 7.9x |
| Petrobras | global | 269.0 | 8.3x |
| Marathon Petroleum | global | 121.0 | 8.4x |
| Valero Energy | global | 119.8 | 9.3x |
| Exxon Mobil | global | 680.1 | 9.6x |
| Phillips 66 | global | 102.4 | 16.0x |
| Eni | global | 82.1 | 17.5x |
| Group median | 8.1x | ||
| Group average | 8.6x | ||
| This company | global | 56.3 | 5.6x |
Group median 8.1x; this company 5.6x — a 31% discount.
Group average 8.6x; against the average this company is at a 35% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +50% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 22.4x, Russia 3.8x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.6x, India 18.5x, Indonesia 4.8x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-01; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0.158 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.158 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-06-15 | 0.157 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.157 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-03-13 | 0.147 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.147 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-06-13 | 0.147 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.147 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-03-14 | 0.125 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.125 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-12-13 | 0.127 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.127 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-09-13 | 0.133 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.133 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-06-14 | 0.131 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.131 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-05-16 | 0.099 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.099 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-03-14 | 0.104 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.104 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-12-14 | 0.104 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.104 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-09-14 | 0.103 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.103 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-06-14 | 0.105 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.105 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-03-14 | 0.076 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.076 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-12-14 | 0.078 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.078 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-11-17 | 0.086 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.086 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-14 | 0.08 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.08 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-06-14 | 0.081 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.081 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-03-14 | 0.027 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.027 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2021-12-14 | 0.027 USD | Ex-dividend: 0.027 USD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Cenovus Energy (CVE) — from primary filings.
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