
Sector: Copper mining
COMM_KGH
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 3488.9 y/y 51.8% | 562.8 y/y 110.5% | 148.1 y/y -0.2% | 710.9 y/y 71.0% | 557.1 y/y 738.5% | 509.8 | -214.9 | 17470.0 y/y 16.2% | 10541.6 y/y 19.1% | 21.8% | 1241.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 3247.4 y/y — | 1113.8 y/y — | 133.5 y/y — | 1247.3 y/y — | 965.3 y/y — | 186.0 | -226.2 | 17011.2 y/y — | 9903.2 y/y — | 40.6% | 1542.5 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 2883.4 y/y — | 284.1 y/y — | 183.5 y/y — | 467.6 y/y — | 734.9 y/y — | 371.7 | -354.4 | 16212.5 y/y 23.8% | 9138.4 y/y 21.3% | 10.9% | 1306.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-09-30 | Q3 2025 (3M) | OK | 2281.2 y/y — | 238.4 y/y — | 187.7 y/y — | 426.1 y/y — | 118.8 y/y — | 237.0 | -273.5 | 15153.6 y/y — | 8884.7 y/y — | 1.8% | 1515.7 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 2298.3 y/y — | 267.3 y/y — | 148.3 y/y — | 415.7 y/y — | 66.4 y/y — | 110.7 | -190.8 | 15030.3 y/y — | 8853.5 y/y — | 3.2% | 1499.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 8841.3 y/y 10.3% | 929.2 y/y — | 502.1 y/y -9.3% | 1431.3 y/y 592.6% | 717.9 y/y — | 1174.0 | -1378.3 | 13096.8 y/y 0.1% | 7531.2 y/y 3.5% | 9.7% | 1153.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 8014.3 y/y — | -346.8 y/y — | 553.4 y/y — | 206.7 y/y — | -885.6 y/y — | 1449.0 | -1149.0 | 13084.2 y/y — | 7273.8 y/y — | — | 836.5 | Yahoo Finance |
| Short-term debt (incl. ST leases) | 363 |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 1 201 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 323 |
| Net debt | 1 242 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: 0.4x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
| year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cash flow / profit | 0.52x | — | 1.64x | 1.09x |
| accruals, % of assets | 4.3% | -17.8% | -3.5% | -0.6% |
Our earnings breakdowns and investment notes on this issuer.
Physical operating metrics — supplementary, not part of the financial statements
| Year | Production, kt | per day, kt |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 570.90 | 1.56 |
Company reports: https://kghm.com/sites/default/files/2026-03/Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements%20for%202025.pdf; https://kghm.com/sites/default/files/2026-08/KGHM%20Group%20consolidated%20financial%20statements%20PSr%202026.pdf; https://kghm.com/sites/default/files/2026-08/MB%20report%20on%20activities%20of%20the%20KGHM%20Group%20PSr%202026.pdf; https://media.kghm.com/en/news-and-press-releases/investments-and-costs-control-kghm-s-budget-for-2026
Current 14 486spot vs LTM +18%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +4.9% ▲ +3.1 pp 1d
Main driver: Copper +18% vs LTM; revenue ×1.13 vs costs ×1.11; EBITDA 2 888→2 336; at 8.3× EV/EBITDA → +5%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper (rev) | +72% | 14 486.46 | 12 225.59 | 11 157.07 | +18% | -9% |
| Silver (rev) | +18% | 61.03 | 62.30 | 44.25 | -2% | -29% |
| US Diesel Index (cost) (input cost) (cost) | -10% | 6.38 | 4.21 | 4.19 | +51% | -1% |
| Electricity Spot (input cost) (cost) | -5% | 117.40 | 77.92 | 62.56 | +51% | -20% |
| Gold (rev) | +4% | 4 174.70 | 4 242.24 | 3 348.40 | -2% | -21% |
| Molybdenum (rev) | +2% | 35.90 | 28.39 | 26.14 | +26% | -8% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 11 901 |
| LTM EBITDA | 2 888 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 9 013 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.134 (+13%) |
| = Spot revenue | 13 497 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.875 (-13%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 10 412 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.111 (+11%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 10 011 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.024 (+2%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 9 226 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 3 486 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 1 186 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 2 336 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/projected-EBITDA (75th pct) | 8.3x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 19 319 |
| Net debt | 1 242 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 18 010 |
| Current market cap | 17 167 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +4.9%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 8 014 | 7 623 | +5.1% | 507 | 1 579 | -67.9% |
| 2024 FY | 8 841 | 8 943 | -1.1% | 1 436 | 1 230 | +16.7% |
| 2025 FY | 9 689 | 10 635 | -8.9% | 1 734 | 2 839 | -38.9% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 6.6x · target 75th pct (3y) 8.3x · LTM avg 13.5x
Group: Copper mining. Each peer is shown as it trades and re-priced onto this company's market (global) by the ratio of our coverage medians.
| Company | Market | Cap, $bn | EV/EBITDA | EV/EBITDA, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandfire Resources | Australia | 7.0 | 7.9x | 7.4x |
| Antofagasta | global | 48.7 | 8.5x | 8.5x |
| Atalaya Mining | global | 2.2 | 8.8x | 8.8x |
| Hudbay Minerals | global | 10.6 | 9.1x | 9.1x |
| Lundin Mining | global | 20.4 | 9.1x | 9.1x |
| Amerigo Resources | global | 1.0 | 9.4x | 9.4x |
| Ero Copper | global | 3.8 | 10.3x | 10.3x |
| Freeport-McMoRan | global | 100.3 | 11.8x | 11.8x |
| Taseko Mines | global | 3.2 | 12.2x | 12.2x |
| First Quantum Minerals | global | 22.5 | 15.7x | 15.7x |
| Southern Copper | global | 172.7 | 17.4x | 17.4x |
| Group median | 9.4x | 9.4x | ||
| Group average | 10.9x | 10.9x | ||
| This company | global | 16.7 | 6.3x | 6.3x |
Group median 9.4x as traded, 9.4x adjusted; this company 6.3x — a 33% discount.
Group average 10.9x as traded, 10.9x adjusted; against the average this company is at a 42% discount.
At the adjusted group median the market cap would be +53% versus today.
The gap and the implied upside are measured against the median: one richly priced peer moves an average, not a median. The market adjustment uses our coverage medians (US 22.4x, Russia 3.8x, South Africa 5.1x, Kazakhstan 6.6x, India 18.5x, Indonesia 4.8x); it is about where a name is listed, not what it does. Peer multiples come from the nightly rebuild of 2026-10-01; the company's own is live.
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | 1.5 PLN | Ex-dividend: 1.5 PLN per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-06-27 | 3 PLN | Ex-dividend: 3 PLN per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-07-26 | 1 PLN | Ex-dividend: 1 PLN per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-07-06 | 3 PLN | Ex-dividend: 3 PLN per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of KGHM Polska Miedz — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Metals & Mining Stocks (2026): Copper, Steel, Silver by Valuation · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map