
Sector: Copper mining
COMM_LUN
Net debt (table and EV/EBITDA): |short-term borrowings| + |long-term borrowings| + |other financial liabilities| when extracted + |non-controlling interest| when extracted − |cash and equivalents|; amounts in millions of the reporting currency.
Shares: connector/market_inputs
Monetary columns are in M USD, one decimal; scale (K/M/B/T) keeps values readable. For the period (default) shows P&L and cash flow for that row’s reporting window: quarterly amounts when the feed uses quarter-duration facts (typical US 10-Q revenue and income), quarterly cash flows after stripping YTD where only cumulative tags exist, and an implied Q4 on 31 Dec FY rows (P&L: FY minus Q1–Q3; operating / investing cash flow: FY 12m minus 9M YTD to 30 Sep when sourced from SEC builder evidence) so they match 10-Q scale. Some issuers still use cumulative YTD minus the prior row in the same calendar year. As reported shows values stored on each row (e.g. full-year on FY). Balance sheet is always as reported. Source JSON may use millions etc.; conversion uses amounts_unit per row.
| Date | Period | Status | RevenueM USD | Operating profitM USD | D&AM USD | EBITDAM USD | Net profitM USD | Operating CFM USD | Capex + M&AM USD | AssetsM USD | EquityM USD | ROE (annualized) | Net debtM USD | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Q2 2026 (3M) | OK | 1212.7 y/y 38.1% | 534.8 y/y 138.4% | 134.5 y/y -12.3% | 669.3 y/y 77.2% | 292.8 y/y 28.1% | 458.8 | -241.0 | 10834.4 y/y 9.8% | 7018.6 y/y 21.9% | 16.9% | ≈ -394.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2026-03-31 | Q1 2026 (3M) | OK | 1158.8 y/y 26.0% | 503.8 y/y 84.3% | 134.3 y/y 0.6% | 638.1 y/y 56.9% | 281.4 y/y 126.4% | 491.9 | -179.9 | 10977.5 y/y -3.5% | 6851.5 y/y 29.8% | 16.7% | -394.3 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-12-31 | Q4 2025 (3M) | OK | 1145.1 y/y — | 445.0 y/y — | 152.7 y/y — | 597.7 y/y — | 767.3 y/y — | 560.9 | -204.5 | 10820.6 y/y 4.0% | 6619.8 y/y 49.7% | 20.7% | -59.1 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-06-30 | Q2 2025 (3M) | OK | 878.2 y/y — | 224.3 y/y — | 153.4 y/y — | 377.7 y/y — | 228.5 y/y — | 334.6 | — | 9871.2 y/y — | 5756.0 y/y — | 16.6% | 130.6 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2025-03-31 | Q1 2025 (3M) | OK | 919.6 y/y — | 273.3 y/y — | 133.5 y/y — | 406.8 y/y — | 124.3 y/y — | 177.0 | -149.3 | 11379.1 y/y — | 5278.0 y/y — | 10.3% | 1518.5 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2024-12-31 | FY 2024 (12M) | OK | 3270.1 y/y 19.2% | 816.7 y/y 73.4% | 574.2 y/y 15.3% | 1390.9 y/y 43.5% | -203.5 y/y -184.2% | 1518.9 | -1006.9 | 10406.8 y/y -4.2% | 4422.2 y/y -10.9% | -4.3% | 1399.5 | Yahoo Finance |
| 2023-12-31 | FY 2023 (12M) | OK | 2743.4 y/y — | 471.1 y/y — | 497.9 y/y — | 968.9 y/y — | 241.6 y/y — | 1016.6 | -1674.5 | 10861.2 y/y — | 4961.3 y/y — | — | 1217.0 | Yahoo Finance |
| Long-term debt (incl. LT leases) | 171 |
| − Cash & equivalents | 565 |
| Net debt | -394 |
|---|
Net debt / LTM EBITDA: -0.2x
Quarterly values ($ mln)
Year-over-year change
FCF ($ mln)
Net debt / cash ($ mln)
Current 14 620spot vs LTM +19%
Target market cap from conservative EBITDA and the historical EV/EBITDA
Upside: +19.2% ▲ +1.3 pp 1d
Main driver: Copper +20% vs LTM; revenue ×1.16 vs costs ×1.11; EBITDA 2 243→2 241; at 10.8× EV/EBITDA → +19%.
Product prices — moves vs the LTM average
| Commodity | Share | Spot | LTM | 3-yr | vs LTM, $ | 3y vs LTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper (rev) | +80% | 14 619.97 | 12 225.59 | 11 150.96 | +20% | -9% |
| Gold (rev) | +12% | 4 154.46 | 4 242.24 | 3 346.28 | -2% | -21% |
| US Diesel Index (cost) (input cost) (cost) | -10% | 6.38 | 4.21 | 4.19 | +51% | -1% |
| Electricity Spot (input cost) (cost) | -5% | 117.40 | 77.92 | 62.56 | +51% | -20% |
| Molybdenum (rev) | +3% | 35.90 | 28.39 | 26.13 | +26% | -8% |
| Nickel (rev) | +3% | 16 142.25 | 16 464.97 | 17 156.50 | -2% | +4% |
How it is calculated — revenue → costs → EBITDA → target market cap
| 1 · Reported baseline (LTM) | |
| LTM revenue | 4 395 |
| LTM EBITDA | 2 243 |
| LTM cash costs (revenue − EBITDA) | 2 152 |
| 2 · Revenue projection | |
| Revenue multiplier — spot | ×1.162 (+16%) |
| = Spot revenue | 5 105 |
| Revenue multiplier — 3y price | ×0.903 (-10%) |
| = 3-year-price revenue | 3 969 |
| 3 · Costs projection | |
| Cost multiplier — spot | ×1.111 (+11%) |
| = Spot cash costs | 2 390 |
| Cost multiplier — 3y price | ×1.024 (+2%) |
| = 3-year-price cash costs | 2 202 |
| 4 · EBITDA projection (revenue − costs) | |
| = Spot EBITDA | 2 715 |
| = 3-year-price EBITDA | 1 767 |
| Conservative EBITDA = min(spot, avg) | 2 241 |
| 5 · Valuation → target market cap | |
| Historical EV/EBITDA (75th pct) | 10.8x |
| Target EV = EV/EBITDA × conservative EBITDA | 24 270 |
| Net debt | -394 |
| Target market cap = EV − net debt | 24 949 |
| Current market cap | 20 932 |
Upside = target market cap ÷ current − 1 = +19.2%
Spot model vs reported — what the spot model projected (trailing-LTM base brought to the period × the period's commodity-price move) against the actual report, per reported period (quarter, half-year or full year — per the filer's calendar); amounts in USD mln. green = reported above projection, pink = below.
| Period | Act. rev | Model rev | Δ rev | Act. EBITDA | Model EBITDA | Δ EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 FY | 2 743 | 3 004 | -8.7% | 1 049 | 1 144 | -8.3% |
| 2024 FY | 3 270 | 3 011 | +8.6% | 1 224 | 1 270 | -3.6% |
| 2025 FY | 4 053 | 3 833 | +5.8% | 1 835 | 1 679 | +9.3% |
Projected EV/EBITDA 12.2x · target 75th pct (3y) 12.5x · LTM avg 10.8x
| Date | Per share | Details | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 0.028 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.028 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-06-05 | 0.028 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.028 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2026-03-20 | 0.028 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.028 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-12-05 | 0.028 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.028 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-09-05 | 0.028 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.028 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-06-05 | 0.028 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.028 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2025-03-21 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-11-29 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-08-30 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-05-31 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-04-18 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2024-03-21 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-11-30 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-08-31 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2023-03-23 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-06-02 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2022-03-24 | 0.2 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.2 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
| 2021-12-02 | 0.09 CAD | Ex-dividend: 0.09 CAD per share | Paid | Yahoo Finance (ex-div) |
KASE: status follows wording in the news headline (paid vs intends to pay). Yahoo: amounts are cash dividends per share on ex-dividend dates (UTC calendar date). stockscope.uz (UZ): amounts are per share in UZS by publication date (not necessarily ex-div).
Reporting forms detected in loaded periods: ✓ ✓ ✓ (Balance sheet / Profit or loss (P&L) / Cash flows)
Financial results, valuation multiples (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), profitability and dividend yield of Lundin Mining — from primary filings.
See also: The Cheapest Metals & Mining Stocks (2026): Copper, Steel, Silver by Valuation · The Cheapest Stocks in the World (2026): What Value Investing Says About Buying Cheap · global valuation map